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datpuz

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My ex girlfriend was a doctor and we talked about this once. The gist of it that I got was that excessive early tests have a lot of risk factors that come along with them, because tests themselves being harmful (CT scans cause something like 5% of all cancers), and because false positives lead to unnecessary treatments, surgeries, medications, etc which can cause real harm. Basically, if the expected harm from the proactive testing is greater than the expected harm it would mitigate, you don't do it.

Benchmarks in software have always been bullshit. AI benchmarks are just even more bullshit since they're trying to measure something significantly more subjective and nuanced than most.

Okay, but the therapy industry is also a total grift. So I guess the trick is to reinforce your external locus of control by blaming your trauma, so that you go to a pseudoscience practitioner who will fix the problems that were created for you? That way they've got a lifelong customer!

It seems strange that one of the steps is admitting you have no control over your addiction. I feel like the first step should be deciding that you do. But that kind of self assuredness doesn't really align well with whole surrendering to Jeebus thing.

Yep that was a deal-breaker for me going to AA. I eventually just quit drinking on my own after a few years, but AA being the only option for addiction support groups in many places is a bummer.

It's just another tech hype wave. Reality will be somewhere between total doom and boundless utopia. But probably neither of those.

The AI thing kind of reminds me of the big push to outsource software engineers in the early 2000's. There was a ton of hype among executives about it, and it all seemed plausible on paper. But most of those initiatives ended up being huge failures, and nearly all of those jobs came back to the US.

People tend to ignore a lot of the little things that glue it all together that software engineers do. AI lacks a lot of this. Foreigners don't necessarily lack it, but language barriers, time zone differences, cultural differences, and all sorts of other things led to similar issues. Code quality and maintainability took a nosedive and a lot of the stuff produced by those outsourced shops had to be thrown in the trash.

I can already see the AI slop accumulating in the codebases I work in. It's super hard to spot a lot of these things that manage to slip through code review, because they tend to look reasonable when you're looking at a diff. The problem is all the redundant code that you're not seeing, and the weird abstractions that make no sense at all when you look at it from a higher level.

MCP in LM Studio 1 year ago

I genuinely cannot wrap my head around spending this much money on hardware that is dramatically inferior to hardware that costs half the price. MacOS is not even great anymore, they stopped improving their UX like a decade ago.

The productivity gains decrease with user experience. A high-performing senior engineer won't get a lot, but I think they've reached a point now where even seniors will benefit a fair amount. For me it's not really that they increase my productivity directly, but they let me offload a lot of the cognitive load. I'm getting a similar amount of work done and I don't feel as drained at the end of the day.

Claude 4 1 year ago

DeepSeek never mopped the floor with anyone... DeepSeek was remarkable because it is claimed that they spent a lot less training it, and without Nvidia GPUs, and because they had the best open weight model for a while. The only area they mopped the floor in was open source models, which had been stagnating for a while. But qwen3 mopped the floor with DeepSeek R1.

Yes, let's cite the most biased possible source: the company that's selling you the thing, which is banking on a runway funded on keeping the hype train going as long as possible...

I guess the main (valid) concern is that LLMs get so good at thought

I don't think that's a valid concern, because LLMs can't think. They are generating tokens one at a time. They're calculating the most likely token to appear based on the arrangements of tokens that were seen in their training data. There is no thinking, there is no reasoning. If they they seem like they're doing these things, it's because they are producing text that is based on unknown humans who actually did these things once.