copenja

Most deathbed advice I've encountered resolves around wishing they had accomplished less and focused more on friends/family. For me at least, it is a good reminder. YMMV.

Shannon published a paper on Chess AI, just give it a quick google.

Was he not a US Senator?

I'm not the parent post and I have not tried autopilot, but I do have a question.

Does autopilot make you orders of magnitude more productive?

The reason people find the 'zero inflation' headlines misleading are mainly for three reasons:

1) Aggregate month-to-month inflation metrics were flat/low due to gas prices falling, but many important categories were still quickly inflating. Notably rent, but also food.

2) The reason people normally reference 12 month inflation windows is because many things, like energy prices, are very volatile month to month. It is going to take time to really see the trends.

3) For things that skyrocketed like food, people are hoping to actually see the prices come back down.

So, yeah, you are correct on your numbers, clearly. But as an non-expert, I'm not really sure the current trends are positive. I think they are still pretty troubling.

I don't think the stimulus being one of the drivers of inflation is an 'extremist fringe theory' at all. I thought the consensus was it was one of many factors, and the exact contribution of the different factors (stimulus, supply issues, etc) was up for debate.

US inflation is higher than other wealthy nations and the US also did a larger stimulus. So there is evidence that the additional stimulus may have created greater inflation in the US. Scope this paper here: [0]

As far as the consensus for the cause of inflation being unclear among experts, scope this article in left leaning VOX: [1].

[0] https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economi...

[1] https://www.vox.com/23036340/biden-american-rescue-plan-infl...

I thought flip once rule was to encourage keeping the lid closed so the temperature stays even.

Everytime u open the lid, all the hot air is released and the grill takes time to reach steady temp.

Still... I've done both ways and they certainly work.

So are we saying that cognitive ability CAN be accurately measured with a test?

I've seen people repeatedly claim IQ like tests were invalid.

Check out 'Exhibit 4' in report linked from the article: https://archive.md/DRUiI.

It shows that in the USA "net worth relative to nominal GDP" is actually pretty stable. The US has the lowest multiple of all the countries under analysis. Indeed the graph shows the US being almost exactly at the historical average.

I'm not sure what this means, but I certainly found it surprising.

The human mind requires practice to retain skill and proficiency. Period. People who were solid engineers and later become executives, 20 years down the line many say they no longer can code. I've seen this many times.

Where are you getting this concept that humans never forget skills? That's completely false.

According to this article[1], large investment companies accounted to 16.1% of all single family home sales in the US in Q2. I'm not an analyst. But, I would think that would be plenty of extra demand to influence the price?

FYI, what was reported was that Facebook was previously weighting all emoji reactions at 5 times the like button, but not specifically the angry reaction.

By the end of last year, they changed it so the angry reaction specifically gets a zero bonus, but love/sad still get boosted. Apparently this did not affect engagement.

I got this all from the Washington Post article on the subject.

Epic pays pretty well. I've seen senior developers getting 350k plus total comp, so it's not horrible.

It's fair to say that NYC was stretched to the limit, and certainly stretched farther than anyone would want, but it is hard to make a claim that hospitals were overwhelmed anywhere like predicted. New York hospitalizations peaked at 18,825[0], while Cuomo predicted they would need 30,000 additional ventilators. The expanded bed capacity in New York reached 90,000 at Cuomo's command[0]. There is no known case of an american not receiving a ventilator if needed [1][2].

And, remember disease models did not just predict unmitigated spread. They absolutely incorporated percentages of social distancing into their models. The original imperial college study predicted that a high income county with around 50% social contact reduction would still exceed hospital capacity by 700%.

Cuomo's New York model that predicted 30,000 additional ventilators absolutely incorporated lockdown measures, if they didn't they have some serious explaining to do.

Of course I still agree a lockdown was needed, and agree the lockdown did about as well as it could. But is there any reason to not revisit data and determine if we could do better?

[0] https://www.newsweek.com/new-york-coronavirus-hospitalizatio... [1] https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2020/04/13/coronavirus-p... [2] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2020/04/14/dfc_ceo_t...

In the article he implies these are people who are not working, not commuting, and not travelling. Here are some quotes from the article:

"He said the information shows that those who are hospitalized are predominantly from the downstate area in or around New York City, are not working or traveling and are not essential employees. He also said a majority of the cases in New York City are minorities, with nearly half being African American or Hispanic."

"Cuomo said nearly 84% of the hospitalized cases were people who were not commuting to work through car services, personal cars, public transit or walking. He said a majority of those people were either retired or unemployed. Overall, some 73% of the admissions were people over age 51."

These are interesting references thanks.

The Commerce Clause seems to specifically give the federal government control over people ENTERING the country and people CROSSING state lines, but doesn't seem to address the federal government declaring statewide lockdowns.

It does seem that the federal government can issue quarantine orders to individuals suspected of being infected, but again this is directed towards a specific person, and is an actual hard quarantine order.

The "Compagnie Francaise de Navigation a Vapeur v. Louisiana State Board of Health" says that the state can enact quarantine laws unless Congress decided preempts them. It seems to handle the opposite case: can the federal government prevent my quarantine? And the answer is only if Congress passes a federal law. This is a big hurdle, because the decision doesn't lie in the Presidents or his administrations hands.

The idea is that the economic effects will have ripples. Google depends on advertising dollars right? Do you think Disney is spending the same cash advertising Disney hotels right now?

It's a ripple effect. Movie theaters, bars, golf courses, gymborees, concert venues, wedding planners, travel agents, hair dressers, massage parlors, party supply stores, wedding dress stores, SAT prep centers go out of business first.

Then, home remodel contractors, flooring supply depots, life coaches, car dealerships, finacial advisors, nanny's, and more.

Then, advertising collapses slaying Google and Facebook.

And, finally, as the whole house of cards comes crashing down, people cancel Netflix.

Honest question here.

How would they continue to operate post-bankruptcy if they cannot pay their employees? Or why would they?

Won't forcing property taxes up just force lower income owners to move?

You buy a home in a poor neighborhood. Twenty years later the value quadruples... and now the cost of living skyrocket?

Also, would make retiring tricky.

In Lone Echo, a VR game, you can grab any and all surfaces with your hands.

Hearthstone apparently has 100 million users, and at some points was banking about 40 million a month.

Most employer sponsored healthcare plans in the US have a maximum out of pocket the patient can be charged per year.

The average cost for someone with cancer and an employer sponsored plan in the US is around $6000 per year. That's $500 a month.

https://www.cheatsheet.com/health-fitness/how-much-you-can-r...

Both my parents had cancer and survived in US, so I do know from first hand experience. They did not get ruined financially.

That said, I do support healthcare for all in the US.

Right, but what can easily happen is you show gameplay footage at E3 with good intentions, then the game changes.

Maybe, things change because the mechanics proved to hard to learn.

Maybe, things change because to fit X number of characters on screen in level Y, you had to downgrade the main character visuals.

Either way... Is that a lie?

In the eyes of most developers no, it's just part of development.

In the eyes of consumers...yes?

Over 40 percent of Americans don't pay ANY Federal income tax.

So, by natural law, doesn't any tax cut not benefit them?

This includes most of the countries poorest citizens.

Where do you work?

That's an interesting question. Bernie Madoff’s Ponzi scheme is estimated to have lost clients $65 billion. The Bitcoin market cap is nearly double at $107 billion.

But Bernie Madoff's $65 billion is all real dollars paid into the scheme. Bitcoin market cap doesn't track the amount of the money that has been paid into the current Bitcoin market. It simply estimates the current market price, then multiplies that number by the total of number of Bitcoins.

So the amount currently paid into the current Bitcoin market is going to be much, much lower. Experts estimate that nearly 30% of current bitcoins are 'lost' forever in non-recoverable wallets. Also, the gal who bought 1000 bitcoin at 5 dollars hasn't re-paid another $6 million into the system. But, if Bitcoin crashed to zero today, would you also need to account for dollars lost by investors who built mining stations and gear?

I guess we will never know. But, I think it is fair to say that the Madoff scheme is in the same ballpark of Bitcoin.

Canada

So, you are under the impression your connections gave you these opportunities out of friendship, not because they thought you were great for the job?

For what it's worth, almost all McDonald's are franchises. If you buy a breakfast sandwich there, the money likely goes to a local owner.

Do you feel that the value of Steve Jobs is underappreciated? In the mainstream media he has received perhaps more attention and praise than anyone else in the computer industry. He is widely considered to be a genius and given nearly sole credit for a wide range of innovations.

I think it's okay for the guys who invented the GUI to also get a small fist bump.