consumer451

But you're also showing a lot of bias and ignorance towards Africa and India and their financial means.

OMG. I just finally scrolled through all of these replies, and yes! I was extremely dismissive about their financial means by at least one order of magnitude. Solid catch, and I genuinely apologize for my stupidity.

I am sorry to be negative, but after living in a commercial fishing area for a while: I wish we would stop discovering reefs, as that just invites horrible things like drag net fleets into these areas. [0]

We are strip-mining the oceans' remaining bounty.

When I lived in that commercial fishing area, I learned about bycatch. That is a top-tier euphemism for destroying the entire ocean ecosystem/protein-provider, where sometimes only 3% of caught biomass makes it to any table. [1]

Shrimp is by far the worst. Please stop eating shrimp. If you knew the truth, and respect efficiency, you would never eat wild shrimp again.

I went from thinking that seafood was a good thing, to now mostly eating chicken. We are such morons with how we treat the seas. BTW, I love spearfishing. If that is how I got my seafood, then not only fun, but no waste/bycatch.

[0] https://globalfishingwatch.org/map/

[1] https://www.fao.org/4/w6602e/w6602E09.htm

Shitposting ourselves into extinction would be so on-brand for this century.

I would imagine that LLMs would be uniquely susceptible to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nominative_determinism

Just realized my typo, hopefully it was obvious that I meant 8B param, not 8T.

I use AI chat every day, I find it endlessly useful. It’s replaced google search.

Extremely subsidized agentic search is very superior to Google at the moment, and of course it is. Google is a public company. The AI summary model has to work instantly, is likely as dumb as a 8T param model, and gives you incorrect details constantly. This sucks so much for Google. If you click on "AI Mode," suddenly the facts become more accurate.

Of course, if I want a real answer I happen to go to claude.ai, set it to a the best model, wait for a minute, and use many watts of energy. Slow agentic search that takes many seconds, and is greatly subsidized, is certainly better. This should not be a surprise, should it?

I think it was on a sub like r/singularity that I saw a post along the lines of "of course most people think that 'AI' sucks, as normies are interacting with 8T param models."

tone: genuinely confused about the world, not criticizing

Very fun. My only gripe is that you should be able to overfly taxiing aircraft, without crashing.

Zuckerbergs 8 billion dollar VR metaverse flop has something to do with this maybe?

I believe that was an investment into controlling the next platform, so what happened on iOS with could never happen to them again.

What's far crazier and more applicable to the current balance sheet is the $14.3B acqui-hire of Alexandr Wang. But, what do I know?

But doesn't this mean that the new indoor level will be new outdoor level + the increase that arises indoors?

There's a lesson there: if you think you understand a bleeding edge emerging technology better than Musk does, think again. Think for a long time - maximum reasoning effort.

Starlink is undeniably some of the coolest tech I have ever seen. However, I was once one of Musk's biggest fans and defenders, and I am no longer that.

He really was the best of us, going all-in on physics-based ideas, not giving any f's about money... until the Tesla payout. That appears to have broken his brain. He went from a real truth-seeker, to a financial engineer. I get it, how could that much money not change one? I bet it would change 99.9999% of us.

As far as musktradumus, he once stood in front of a very warbley Starship prototype and answered "yes, this specific article is going into orbit." It took many more years, and many more articles to even start to get close.

FSD is still incoming, maybe. Tesla created a special call center in Las Vegas to deal with the fact that Tesla greatly over-promised the range on all their vehicles.

Agreed. We are like the myth(?) of the Central American natives, who supposedly could not "see" the conquistador ships... similar to the fact that most people appear to unable to visually comprehend what this means: elon-salute.gif.

It is so hard to logically accept either possibility. I am there with everyone else.

I wish I lived in boring times.

But, are there enough? Generally, people live in high-density areas :)

So, the lesson is not to mention that in the future.

This was Opus agentic search, that's all. Opus-based agentic search is far superior to Google, but if I said I "googled it," I guess that would be fine?

I stated that openly so that others didn't waste Kw of energy asking the same thing.

Yes, Terawave is satellite based, but I believe it's not for moving stations like airplanes, and instead for many Gbps from point to point backhaul for data centers. This is what I thought laser-based Starlink was going to quickly move into, back in the day. A space-based Internet backbone is pretty cool.

Right, which is a data point against the "of course, these people are just greedy and want more money" narrative.

Too late to edit my parent comment, but I want to add one additional thought:

Is it that at Anthropic, you are technically an IC due to the fact that all of your direct reports are Claude agents? That sounds about right, doesn't it?

I came out of retirement just to watch the spectacle.

While I certainly have no hand in steering the ship, agentic building brought me out of hibernation/mild depression. I am neither young, nor rich. However, I still had lots of product ideas, and now I am able to create and test them in days. And yes, I am actually making sales now.

I got into this early at Sonnet 3.5 release time, so I went through initial AI psychosis almost two years ago, but still today, I am more excited to wake up and work than I’ve ever been in my life.

Well yeah, but being a CTO at a major org isn't exactly a low-paying gig.

The interesting thing to me is that the belief that Anthropic is going achieve something like AGI appears to have really spread through SV. If not AGI, at least greatly disturb their old cushy SaaS jobs.

Also, I still do believe some people just want to work on "cool" stuff.

edit: not just CTOs and CPOs, I mean John freakin Jumper, who got the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry, left his VP role at DeepMind to have no reports, and be an IC at Anthropic.

I find this whole trend extremely interesting.

What I find more interesting is how many people have left big orgs where they had major leadership roles, to become ICs at Anthropic.

Is it possible that you meant Amazon Leo? I thought Terawave was for terrestrial station backhaul.

Delta and JetBlue appear to be waiting for Amazon Leo, and it seems to be coming online in 2027, not 2028.

Unfortunately, that is really bad advice in this case.

Can washing remove Cyclospora?

No. According to the CDC, there is currently no method known to completely eliminate Cyclospora from contaminated fresh produce. [0]

Thoroughly cooking your lettuce, and other vegetables, is the only way to reliably decontaminate in this case.

If you want to eat fresh vegetables, the correct solution is separating sewage from irrigation water.

[0] https://extension.psu.edu/ongoing-cyclospora-outbreak-highli...

I believe it's why they went all-in on Metaverse/VR. They want to own the next platform so that could never happen to them again. IIRC, Zuck has stated the latter openly.

I am curious what interesting opportunities free power for a short time opens up.

I know crypto mining in TX can operate like this, but that's boring.

Desalination and carbon capture are both energy restricted, that sounds a lot more interesting. However, the deployed equipment has to be cheap if you only have 3hrs per day of free power, right?

The regime change will come, but likely different than we thought - AfD in Germany, Farange in the UK and LePen in France.

Unfortunately you are correct, as Ruski Mir's greatest export is corruption.

The West suffers from the Paradox of Tolerance, and is generally unprepared to deal with Moscow's political operations.

The good news is that those are just three countries, and the EU is made of many more.

The crazy thing to me is that all that Europe wants is for Moscow to join us in the 21st century, and just stop murdering your neighbors.

Apparently this is too much to ask of the old guard. But, we all went through this and eventually became "normal countries." Russia will as well one day, and the Russian people will be one of the greatest beneficiaries of this maturation.

Douglas Firs are silly tall in the PNW.

That is freaking amazing. I want to be clear that reusable first stage of Falcon 9 + Starlink is the coolest tech that I have ever seen. It was just that for me, the financials didn't work out.

There is no broadband or fiber on remote islands along the coast.

I have family on the USA side of the islands. Kenmore Air is subsidized, but the trees are so darn tall that at many homes, Starlink is not an option. (they like the trees and use directional microwave, which sucks for Zoom)

The benefits of LEO internet is obvious.

No, I disagree, maybe. The terrestrial Internet was literally designed to route around a nuclear war. That was its initial purpose, was it not?

Starlink needs ground stations, which are visible from orbit, and can be Shaheded... unless every Starlink terminal can also become a down-link.. which would be cool. However, then it all still relies on terrestrial fiber, right? Or, then that would be a Starlink-only WAN?

I don't want to call out a specific HN'er, but he is an HN hero. Years ago, in person, he told me he was bored. I tried to convince him to work for Starlink in Redmond, as what could be cooler than working on an entire new satellite laser-based Internet 2 backbone?! This was back when GMaps labeled that office "A Place of Worship."

I failed at that, because he probably saw that the entire concept was questionable. My point here is that this is all very complicated, and while Starlink is the coolest tech in my lifetime, it still relies on terrestrial fiber in the end.

Please, help me work through this. I am likely very confused.

I agree with that, but it's great for a greenfield project/area. Say, Mars or very high and low latitudes, or ships/airplanes.

However, once you are in an area of "civilization," there is not only an opportunity for fiber, but also maybe the locals don't want a foreign power controlling your citizens' data access. India + China = 35% of the global population, and Starlink is not legal in either place.

Meanwhile, the free speech absolutist is focused on breaking up the ~5.4% of the globe, (EU) where Starlink is legal.

I was only trying to talk about Starlink here, as that is what TFA is about. Starlink is AMAZING in-flight, out at sea, etc.. But since you brought it up:

Separately, from SpaceX's own prospectus, Starlink is only a tiny fraction of the overall conglomerate that went public recently. It "only" needs to support double digit billions of valuation to pull its weight inside of the company.

So, where does the rest of the valuation come from?

It feels like it comes from the alien simulation-theory overlords.