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codeDruid

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The Coming Loop 30 days ago

Yeah I don't know. Don't get me wrong, the article points makes sense. But sometimes I think that we're going to stay near this current point of productivity for a little while.

Currently my org of 8 people use around 1000 euro worth of tokens per month. We've recently had a discussion near the water-cooler, that if the cost climbs 5x-10x it may be just more worth it to get more developers (we're EU based). While the tools work and are definitely nice, even in our little org with our little budget, using Opus 4.8 we've noticed code quality going down.

If I had to bet money, I'd bet that the models will get 30-50% more nice, around 2x more expensive and we will settle into some mode where we'll use llms for some tasks, manually doing others and calling places focusing on speed at any cost some funny name like "gulags, 996, sweatshops, etc" and collectively try to somewhat avoid those places, which will need to offer a premium to attract talent. Wishful thinking.

I believe the real devil is in the details - in the article:

"He added that the threat from generative AI is not the only challenge for Chegg, which struggled to maintain its rapid growth as learning moved online during the Covid-19 pandemic."

Perhaps ChatGPT in this instance is a scapegoat. Having worked in a company where stock price experienced explosive growth during the pandemic, it was really hard for everyone, investors and workers to swallow that it was not "real" per se, just inflated over the uncertainty of what might life look like if covid would stay forever. Chegg, the company from the article just could not offer the same growth after the pandemic.

It feels as though the online community is about to circle back in a cyclical way, to semi-private forum-like communities. Atleast that's my wishful thinking. I remember being involved in a local bowmaking (archery) forum almost a decade back. The quality of posts there was something I remember fondly to this day.

A 50cc gas scooter! I've never been into motorcycles and learned to ride a bike pretty late in life. My friends got into dirt bikes and that got me thinking, maybe I'd like to try something similar.

Well so far its been a wonderful experience. I love the sense of freedom it gives me. And its actually super economical with 80 miles per gallon. I became a scooter/moped preacher!

This is exactly the resource I was currently looking for! I've recently started a pet project as a way to learn deployment and CI. I work in a big company, where the devops parts are worked on by different teams, are mighty complex and are pretty much black boxes for other teams. I've already submitted my request for the book. Best of luck for the author and thank you!

Remember What Used to Work, Then Do It Again - this one really resonated with me. Recently I've taken up meditation with an app, and a recurring theme of it is to "Just begin again" - in context, meaning begin again, when you mind wanders. But I've found that the idea is very applicable to almost every faced of life. For example, I wish to start working out, but my willpower is low and I tend to miss some days. By just beginning again, without judgement, without guild, I'm getting back to the problem and working on it again. Sounds like this is the same idea. Remember what used to work, then do it again. Just begin again.