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btheshoe

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bradleyhsu.github.io

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Huh, in my circles the real trophy jobs are quant roles at top firms. And given the caliber of the people there - and the compensation - they're arguably not trophy roles. Tbh ppl going for the pm/vc path are seen mostly as tools.

so based. But I do have to say that when the president of one of your top institutions resigns over misconduct, the level of misconduct is probably a fair amount over optimal. And speaking with my friends in, eg, alzheimer's research, the fraud and inability to trust the veracity of unreplicated results does really slow down work in the field.

The peer review system is not designed to catch fraud, it's designed to catch scientific or experimental errors.

Yes.

Giving up on science is such a vast overgeneralization. You could take your statement and replace "manipulated research", "scientific institutions" and "established scientific truth" with just about any negative article in any domain. You could just as easily make this statement about startups (Theranos, Juicero), or government, or religion, or suburbs, or cities...

Institutions go through similar cycles of breaking and systemic reform. Not surprised that you can see patterns in other domains.

On the whole, all these scandals in manipulated research have deeply shaken my trust in many of our scientific institutions. It's clear by now this isn't the case of a few bad apples - our scientific institutions are systemically broken in ways that promote spreading fraudulent results as established scientific truth.

ya so notice the pattern before anyone else and extract money by filling the inefficiency. this isn't a profound insight, the nature of alpha is that it's temporary and limited. doesn't mean it doesn't exist and you can't take advantage of it - as long as you're better than everyone else (faster, smarter, cheat-ier). tbh it's just like entrepreneurship - starting a business will attract competitors. but you can just outcompete them.

I personally don't like the undertone of the class (tho very grateful that this material exists!!!) - this idea that universities are failing their students by not teaching them necessary material. I think a better phrasing is that students are failing themselves by not learning the material. I've personally never considered it the responsibility of my university to educate me - some of the classes are certainly useful for learning, but the ultimate onus falls on me to gain the skills that will lead me to success. I find it kind of distasteful how classes encourage a sort of passive victim mentality when it comes to learning - as if students need to be bribed with credits and cudgeled with a gpa to be forced to learn genuinely useful things.

nah, i have plenty of similarly smart friends who are doing just fine. he'll fit right in in some college environments, and he can take the time he's not wasting doing class and pursue real things that matter, like research.

Openai is a bunch of scientists. And their product is not exactly unique - all the major cloud vendors will have a chatgpt available soon. So openai won't copy for the same reason AWS can't copy all of its customers - presumably the ppl building the product are better at building that product than, like, a room full of scientists.

doomer take but tbh i respect it. but the central thesis of the tech industry is that it allows for products to be created with very low marginal cost which facilitates the high returns and if that thesis turns out to no longer be true then i would say that the identity of the tech industry has irrevocably changed.

I think this makes assumptions about the demand for software engineers that seem unproven. Law salaries are bimodal because the demand for lawyers is limited, so there's only so many big law firms that can exist. In the near future, at least, it seems like demand for software engineers far outstrips supply and I think this will stay true in the long run because the market for software engineers is just different from the market for lawyers, in that software engineers can work on a multitude of different industries (faang covers personal devices, social media, entertainment, e-commerce, search, and more).

I think the real concern is for when the rate of new startups decreases, because I view startups as basically the tech industry's way for searching for ways to increase the overall size of the pie, and startups slowing down means demand for software engineers will start to stagnate.

Social Quitting 4 years ago

I'm sorry but I'm unable to take anything nick land says seriously anymore

But in general I don't think I'm taking the permanence of twitter or fb for granted - they both fill a clear need and I don't see any new players emerging to dominate the niche they fill (mastodon is not going to replace twitter)

The problem isn't chatgpt, it's curriculum. If students were motivated to learn to write (and the skill is genuinely useful, this shouldn't be a hard task) this wouldn't be a problem. But instead for whatever reason we've adopted a coercion based system of education where we assume students innately dislike learning. Personally I think it's a good thing that chatgpt is allowing students to ignore the coercive education system.

Social Quitting 4 years ago

It seems to me that the deaths of Twitter and Facebook are being greatly exaggerated (by this article, and by the vibes generally). A decrease in users is not the same thing as a mass exodus. And I'm frankly skeptical of any claims that Twitter is facing an existential decrease in users.