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anakaine

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Not entirely true. Australian emergency services routinely prep for earthquake despite having only one or two decent shakes causing mass damage in recorded post colonisation history.

That prep doesn't extend to building standards for higher magnitude quakes.

Appropriate prep is still important for a possible credible threat, even if it is likely to be a rare issue, and the magnitude of that prep differs by personal posture and exposure.

New vehicles with bright lights are subject to light angle testing. I rarely see new cars being the issue. What I do see, is older cars with reflector headlights where someone has installed high intensity LED globes, and now that hole reflector pattern, without any attenuation, is set to "retinal burn". Similarly, people replacing reflector headlights with projector lights, but not calibrating them to a legally acceptable throw angle.

Many newer lights are even capable of dinning their pattern in the specific part that affects oncoming vehicles whilst leaving the rest of the pattern bright.

I dont get this.

In Australia we have had reverse cycle air conditioning for decades. These are heat pumps that both heat and cool. I have 15kW of installed heat pump tech at home and run my whole house off grid, despite mainta8ning a grid connection. The systems run as heaters in winter, and air conditioning in summer. They are very efficient, enough so that I dont worry about our solar and battery being able to keep up.

The appliances are very common, and Ive seen them throughout much of Asia, too. Its like Europe and the US are just discovering this tech, yet its been reachable by half the world's population for 30+ years, and continues to improve.

Others have corrected your confusion between prediction and observation. Lets instead show what we have already seen, today, that was previously predicted.

Kiribati and Tuvalu have measurable loss of land due to rising sea levels that is impacting people today. About 80% of the Maldives Islands will likely be uninhabitable within the next 25 years. The Marshall Islands have lost 18 out of their average 200cm above mean sea level height - roughly 6% of its land.

We have seen massive glacial retreat even in just the past 10 years, let alone the past 50. This is happening the world over, and at a rate that is not previously seen in the geological record (happy to argue this, thats my background). We are seeing large ice loss and lack of matching accumulation over Antarctica and Greenland - two great places to observe large scale processes. We just saw the Arctic stay largely unlocked for sea ice/shipping last season. The sum of these will take a moment to kick in, but the failure of conveyor currents will kick us all in the arse quite significantly and likely within our lifetime, and we have already seen hiccups.

Australian here. We generally have 1st world internet for most towns. The moment you are outside suburbia, speeds are embarrassingly slow. On my own farm, we dont even have power, or city water, and little to no mobile / cellular reception. We are like hundreds of thousands of other people with rural property here. I suspect the same is true in New Zealand, much of South America, Pacific Islands, Indian Ocean Islands, rural Canada, and often times rural USA.

And thats a pretty big annoyance. You need to perfectly line up all the holes in the swiss cheese for the AMD stack to work, then their dev team kicks you in the nuts anyway.

They have made a few attempts at investing in the hardware, but the software side is letting them down hard, and that part is almost entirely their own fault. They have underinvestment in their own stack, and into popular standard and Community libraries that would make it easy to use their gear.

Verbally minimising potential threats is not a valid approach to managing risk. We have seen mass misuse of tokens acquired through nefarious means to distill models and enhance training as a way of catching up recently, among other related issues. It is quite appropriate to wonder what else might be going on.

Sorry mate, but thats quite the underinformed reply. You have pote tially hundreds of metres of drill string sitting above the face of the drill. Material is being vaporised or cut, and depending on whether this setup is traditional circulation or reverse circulation, you're going to have vaporised material, cut material, and sidewall material appearing at the cutting face. You do need a lot of gas to move it out of thw way, even if its dust. You have only the hole down the centre of the rotating string, or the hole between the outer and inner steel jacket of the string through which to send gas. That in its own is not a teivially small space. You need to swap rods, which necessarily introduces a depressurisation pathway and event every 6m, and of course you need enough pressure to lift cuttings. Gas recapture will be very difficult and dirty, so recirculation is going to be extremely troublesome, not to mention escape to formation.

If the goal is to simply purge the content of the hole, compressed air is typically sufficient. That said, the wider the hole, and the deeper it is, the harder it is to lift material on air.

To be clear though, I'd love to have one of these rigs on my old project and compare rate of progression and hole quality. Particularly when establishing the hole in sedimentary gravels and clays. I imagine casing will still be required.

One thing that I'd be concerned about is the ability to collect samples if most of the material is being vaporised or melted. Similarly, the cooking of the side of the hole on the way down could make geophysical responses much more difficult to interpret. Sonic velocity would probably increase, televised would probably be harder to interpret, harder to spot hydrothermal infill in sedimentary cover, would it affect gamma tools (probably not)

Edit: also wondering how the hole holds up around aquifers. Does the super heating cause wall instability immediately above the non geothermal aquifers as superheated steam is created? How does this affect the hole stability if we are not casing?

Edit 2: if we are not casing, how does the hole hold up around aquifer sands, loose fill, fractured or brecciated mass?

Edit 3: Also! Do we ream open the top of the hole to down past the last aquifers before the geothermal horizon? If not, how are we stopping stopping aquifers interplay and interaquifer contamination?

From the thesis: https://www.proquest.com/openview/624989df3cdd8055a6cee9affc...

"For the application in EGS drilling, this device uses a metallic waveguide to carry the millimeter wave (MMW) beam to a standoff distance from the crystalline rock. Argon gas is used as the waveguide fill medium due to its ability to stay transparent to MMW’s at such deep depths and thus higher pressures [12]. Purge gas is also used to pump out the excess material that has been transformed into smaller particles (Figure 2.4). "

As a former geologist involved in drilling, thats going to get real expensive, real fast, in terms relative to regular mechanical drilling thanks to the requirement for argon. Perhaps theres an economically efficient changeover point at depth as mechanical drilling becomes less capable due to increasingly plastic deformation.

In all fairness the cabal was only busted up in recent years, and it was largely responsible for ensuring that alternate lines of research could never get meaningful funding by denying publishing. So where the amyloid plaque line of researxh has had decades the alternate lines of research are only really getting enough sunlight to begin growing now.

The amyloid plaque cabal has quite likely sentenced tens if not hundreds of millions of people to premature death through their actions by preventing appropriate and alternative lines of research.

As a foreigner it just seems.so braindead that the administrations would tarrif solar panels. The US doesnt have a great manufacturing capacity for solar panels compared to established manufacturers. The high cost of new production ensures slow uptake.

From a place that embraced solar rebates, and has subsequently benefited from having in place solar battery rebates, we have a thriving industry of solar installers, electricians, and an ever increasing amount of local grid energy security in the event that storms or accidents cause supply disruptions. About 5% of households will likely not see an energy bill for the next 20 years. Another 40% have solar that covers daytime energy requirements.

The requirement for baseline coal.and gas has been decreasing - though will not completely abate.

I live in a state that produces abundant coal for power and steel. We have decreased our carbon emissions to 35% below 2005 levels.

It seems that you've not worked out how to harness the LLM as a tool to improve your qualified knowledge and abilities in a domain, and have instead focused on whether or not its a crutch for lack of knowledge or laziness.

When paired with your skill and knowledge, it is a force multiplier. You maintain control, the ability to direct, structure, strategise, and refine.

That some are using it as the entire brain does not mean that this is how everyone is using it, or how you must use it. The models can be fantastic at breaking past certain issues, surfacing qualified information, and surfacing related distributed information to help you acquire it and pick up what you need on niche topics quickly. Something as basic as copilot hooked into sharepoint can make life a lot easier when you are in a big org. Something like claude code or codex can be great at hunting down issues in an unfamiliar code base rapidly. Whether or not you outsource the thinking component is entirely up to you, but ignoring the productivity side of the tool because it can do some of the thinking is a case of focusing too hard on the negative.