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I wonder what is the contextualization of the OP's preference of the "Palantir as a data/power broker" narrative to that of "Palantir as a highly profitable staffing agency".

Re the "Manhattan project in 1944" argument - I am very cautious about the "modulo engineering scaling" carve-out -- unlike the uranium manufacturing pipeline of World War 2, that involved massively scaling up a known process, on the face of it there's no uncontroversial process/architecture to scale up in this case.

On the face of it, even relatively "point-target" goals of this kind could take many decades if at all; GaN for blue diodes come in mind as an example of a field that was stuck for a generation -- until it wasn't.

Is the question at hand about balancing local building authorization with the government's intent to encourage a specific kind of national infrastructure businesses?

This seems to be supported by this quote:

Putting arbitrary deadlines on state, local, and Tribal governments to start and finish complicated permit reviews...

I'm not an American but I am alarmed at the recent tendency for bad-faith rule making. However - the above sounds in reasonably good faith - is that indeed the case or am I missing some angle?

There's correlation all right, but is there causation?

A lot of folks I know regard mechanical watches as a type of jewelry, a high value item that's not intended for the everyday.

I concur that that popularity of mechanical watches is on the rise, but having a cool mechanical piece on in the evening does not preclude having a digital watch at all other times.

I find merit with the core point as well the delivery.

I wish it was more commonly accepted that choosing not to act is effectively a stand against one's own value system in favor of the value systems of those who do act.

I think Python's centrality is a consequence of its original purpose as a language intended for instruction.

Yeah, some of its design decisions required immense cost and time to overcome to make for viable production solutions. However as it turns out, however suboptimal it is a language, this is quite made up by the presence of a huge workforce that's decently qualified to wield it.

I came to regard YAML as a kind of a syntactic HFC syrup, a bearable idea that was taken too far.

Alas, YAML is just about everywhere, so the chances for a replacement that'll be both better behaved and as ubiquitous are unfortunately slim.

To the extent a random person's evidence on the Internet amounts to proof:

From people at Facebook circa 2018, I know that end user privacy was addressed at multiple checkpoints -- onboarding, the UI of all systems that could theoretically access PII, war stories about senior people being fired due to them marginally misunderstanding the policy, etc.

Note that these friends did not belong to WhatsApp, which was at that time a rather separate suborg.

The CTO Was ChatGPT 11 months ago

TL;DR: is the described business viable?

I can see how a tech-centric person would see the described business as viable, but putting on my founder hat, I realize that it faces enormous risks:

- Any competitor could build the same product with less janky UX; users tend to hate even unavoidable usability issues.

- There's no compliance strategy even remotely possible in the described scenario.

- If a capital investment becomes necessary for business scaling, I cannot imagine this organization passing even a perfunctory level of due diligence.

Would be happy to hear out if that makes sense.

I'd like to encourage you consider the following two perspectives --

1. A senior Google leader telling the shareholders "we've asked 1% of our engineers, that's 270 people, costing $80M/year, to work on services that produce no revenue whatsoever." I don't think it would pass that well.

2. A Google middle manager trying to figure out if an engineer working exclusively on non-revenue projects is actually being useful or otherwise; this is made more complex by about 30% of the workforce trying to go for the rest and vest option provided by these projects.

Proper disclosure: I'm not a US resident, and I'm deeply alarmed by the de facto defunding going on right now.

Furthermore, I concur with the piece that a proper investment in the said fields would further the common good.

However, take objection with equating investment with investment in the way specifically done up until now.

The article opens with longevity; the Alzheimer amyloid hypothesis, which served as a bandwagon for low impact, perhaps even bad faith research, whole syphoning out billions of public spending and blocking out alternate research pathways.

Many of the other domains mentioned exhibit similar dynamics. To my ears, it makes little sense to champion further spending without exploring the reform that needs to be carried out to align that spending with the various notions of public good.

To reiterate, I abhor the populist choice of dismantling everything and putting cronies to feed off the rest. I'd be looking forward for a way forward to make change, because some change is due.

Hey, I've been developing professionally with Python for 20 years, so wanted to weigh in:

Decent threading is awesome news, but it only affects a small minority of use cases. Threads are only strictly necessary when it's prohibitive to message pass. The Python ecosystem these days includes a playbook solution for literally any such case. Considering the multiple major pitfalls of threads (i.e., locking), they are likely to become a thing useful only in specific libraries/domains and not as a general.

Additionally, with all my love to vanilla Python, anyone who needs to squeeze the juice out of their CPU (which is actually memory bandwidth) has a plenty of other tools -- off the shelf libraries written in native code. (Honorable mention to Pypy, numba and such).

Finally, the one dramatic performance innovation in Python has been async programming - I warmly encourage everyone not familiar with it to consider taking a look.

Thank you, that's a well stated and thorough critique.

A lot of your reaction is towards the notion of dramatic impact. Note that I tend to distinguish between an "intellectually capable" researcher and a "right stuff" researcher, which involves the ability to manage risks in self-led multi-year high-risk high-impact programs.

My icons are Katalin Karikó and James P. Allison, who are not necessarily the brightest people of their fields, and subpar at politics, but are actually very good at making impact (duh).

Circling back to the original thesis, setting up a Bell Labs necessitates spotting out the Karikós and Allisons out of a very large flock of (at best) diligent followers of current academic fashions or (worse) popularity contest winners, and I reckon that's not practically possible today.

This raises the question of what constitutes "dramatic impact"

That's a valid critique. What I had in mind is the overwhelming prevalence of researchers who in my opinion have never even carried out a high risk high reward project, regardless of impact (not every high risk high reward project is going to make impact, and that's fine).

As example of what I have in mind by high risk high reward, I'd like to point at the work of Katalin Karikó and James P. Allison, both highly untypical science practitioners who have been rejected and indeed denigrated during much of their careers.

There are two root causes that for the most part, grad student do not develop into a Karikó or an Allison:

(a) Most grad students are never put in a position where choosing a high risk high reward project is legitimate.

(b) Many grad student in the first place do not have the character such projects (tolerance to sparse rewards and inclination to long term project risk management)

Regardless of the root cause, I observe that a grad student who was never trained to properly manage a big bet project is not likely to succeed doing that after graduating.

To be clear, I do not blame anyone in that situation. The graduate school system selects candidates for being good underlings to the thesis advisor, and down the road for aligning into field/department politics. There's little wonder to me how this system perpetuates a meek research mentality.

Proper disclosure,

I have a graduate degree with a thesis in a STEM field from a university that's occasionally ranked worldwide top-100. I appreciate a lot of my former classmates on a personal level, but do think that a lot of them did not make it as high impact researchers.

Would that clarification qualify my opinion as held in good faith?

Bell Labs grew to be a dominant player in an age that was characterized by an oversupply of a manageable number highly capable scientists who did not all have a chance for getting anything resembling funding.

Today we have a huge oversupply of scientists, however there's too many of them to allow judging for potential, and many are not actually capable of dramatic impact.

More generally, a standard critique for "reproducing a golden age" narratives are that the golden age existed within a vastly different ecosystem and indeed - stopped working due to systemic reasons, many of which still apply.

In particular, just blaming 'MBA Management' does little to explain why MBAs appeared in the first place, why they were a preferable alternative to other types of large scale management, and indeed how to avoid relapsing to it over a few years and personnel shifts.

Overall I am afraid this post, while evocative , did not convince me what makes 1517 specifically so different.

Dead Reckoning 1 year ago

What I find remarkable is the way the Admiralty - a very imperfect system with multiple facets that are downright clownish is nevertheless principled as a whole when it comes to strategic interests - the nation's foes are harassed, leadership positions are manned by technically competent individuals, regulations are amended to incorporate major learnings and so on.

Also, the banality of how the system treats sailor lives as expendable is almost incomprehensible from a 21st century perspective.

The duty cycle (number of business days per year) is less than 1% for typical guests but around 100% for a sizeable chuck of hosts, and in the 20-80% range for a lot of the rest.

Hence I expect the host LTV to be a couple of orders of magnitude greater to that of guests.

I mean by "competitive economic prosperity" the ability of a national economy to endure multiple successive economical challenges of modernity as well as other nations.

Such challenges include the changes in labor costs, evolution of supply chains, emergence of new types of value etc.

I hypothesize that adapting to such challenges is misaligned with a populist value system.

I have very little sympathy towards the Soviet empire, but the war remained on the Afghan side of the border, and was of a limited scope for most of its duration; construing the Soviet defeat into a direct cause of regime collapse is an extraordinary claim warranting extraordinary proof.

For example, one wouldn't claim that the de-facto American loss of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan is directly affecting the stability of the American regime, would they?

Coming back to the Soviets, I would concur to a claim that the Afghan War was a failed national project, alongside the Chernobyl tragedy and the ecological disaster of the Aral Sea. The narrative I think proper here is first and foremost is the ordinary Soviet citizen's loss of trust in the Soviet way as such, rather than the specific fear of a foreign invasion.

My only non-truvial tip about tmux is that the only thing that one needs to do is to look for help: Ctrl+B then '?', and then figure the rest out.

When I learnt tmux, I had to access multiple VMs which were de-facto ephemeral, which meant customization was not an option anyway. I kind of learnt to like the defaults as they are.

That thing isn't going to last 3 winters let alone a volcanic eruption.

Could it have been a case of survivorship bias? I.e., perhaps jankier facilities have been built at Pompeii but simply did not make it at all or were not prioritized for excavation?

The home in question is thought to have belonged to the wealthiest family around - which, for a society where economics are generational and local, practically means super-rich.

In modern societies such super rich people flock to major cities, but in pre-industrial societies relocating would leave familial assets under-attended. Accordingly a well adjusted wealthy person would arrange for an excellent standard of living adjacently to their possessions

While I'm not a mathematician, I think such an attitude on behalf of the journal does not encourage healthy community dynamics.

Instead of allowing the community to join forces by breaking up a larger problem into pieces, it encourages siloing and camper mentality.

Do we know for certain that a major cause of the failure has been a GSM-R failure?

Industrial grade communication systems tend to be very well behaved in terms of fault detection and management. I'd be very surprised if the whole whack-a-mole dynamic described in the post was a failure mode of GSM-R system per se.