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HFguy

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I think you are 100% misunderstanding what they are saying.

They are saying almost no one in Texas can walk to a grocery store. Hence, it is a flex if you can. And Europeans don't understand that it is that unusual.

"short term greed"

There is a certain amount of capacity to produce memory. They are building new facilities but it takes a long time. They have been burned going down this route many times in the past (e.g., losing money, firms that are no longer in business).

What would you have them do instead?

FWIW, what you will see at times in the HF world is a firm will want to get into a strategy and build competing teams. It lights a fire under both. It diversifies the risk. You can select winner and move some people over from loser. And if they both work, they both work.

It isn't a crazy idea if the opportunity is large enough to make the larger investment required worth it.

The problem I see in applying this to products is it can be very confusing for clients.

Perhaps if an ETF holds similar underlying instruments. It is unlikely this impacts Blackrock more broadly or other unrelated ETFs.

Stepping back, the idea with private credit was to move a lot of lending and credit risk taking away from the banks. Because if the bank fails, then it causes risk to the financial system. If a private credit fund does badly, you have sad investors. But the broader financial system is not imperiled.

And there will always be periods where credit does badly. It is the nature of these markets and lending.

TBC, I think the private credit guys got over their skis over the last 5 years and we'll see some sad investors in the next few years.

I'm a long way from embedded development. But I was under the impression a lot of microcontrollers these days have some ID capability built in, even some relatively low-end ones. This strikes me more as laziness than anything.

“When my brother is fourteen, I’m going to get him a job here. Then, my mother says, we’ll take the baby out of the ‘Sylum for the Half Orphans.”

That is quite a quote. Hard to believe that wasn't long ago.

Your numbers make sense from what I've seen in private sector. And meet the common sense threshold as well.

Whether the numbers are either wrong or if that is truly what support costs look like at a university would be interesting to know.

"And as for your second paragraph, it has that thing I don't understand that so many people seem to have in their brains that if you explain why a thing is true, it is no longer true. I do not understand it."

This is an interesting observation. I've seen the same thing.

I think the clue is in the "it is a choice"...perhaps they are perceiving seeing some sort of judgement being made of Atari implicit in your argument???

In other words, it can be true at the same time that (1) The are not moving on and (2) It is a choice.

And #2 does not invalidate #1.

Growth isn’t necessary for high returns on equity. And it isn’t necessary for the investment to provide a return.

Equity returns ultimately come from risk premiums. (Which are small now in US equities BTW).

I’m invested in a microcap private equity fund that has returned >20-25% for years. They have high returns because they buy firms at 3-4x cashflow. You will get the high returns even with no growth. And with no increase in valuation. The returns are a function of an illiquidity premium.

With Apple explicitly, growth is expected given the valuation level. If it doesn’t grow, the share price will decline. So yes, in their case, firm is certainly under pressure to grow.

I also don’t agree with your “best interest for wages to be high and everyone else’s lower”. That is one aspect. It is more complicated. Consider Baumol Effect for starters.

I worked for a "start-up" in 1994. I was employee number 600. And it had just gone public. The firm eventually had something in the range of 30,000 employees.

Anyway, at that point in 1994, the first 30-50 employees all made $$$. That included the secretaries and receptionists. They were all millionaires.

Something has changed and that is the terms that VCs and Executives have negotiated for themselves. I have not heard of any secretaries getting $$$ in a long time. There is a lot less sharing in the spoils than there used to be.