ConceitedCode

I feel like the much simpler explanation is that the US is winning because it's dumping the most money into it. By a very large margin.

I ran into the same issue with my play group. I told them that I will only learn 3 new games a year.

Since I added the rule about a decade ago, we've never once hit the 3 game limit. Just having the rule made them rethink if it was worth learning a new game or playing one we had a lot fun with already.

I suspect we'll address this by just going back to older ranking algorithms for search. We'll go back to the primary signal of good content being links from trusted sources.

People gaming the content based algorithms will eventually cause their own downfall.

Recent essay and data the article is based on - https://www.urban.org/research/publication/states-demographi...

Is an intel version of the 16 in the pipeline?

Wikipedia page for the incident - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aurora,_Texas,_UFO_incident

As pointed out by another commenter the NBER has never failed to declare a recession after two consecutive quarters of GDP reduction.

That isn't 100% accurate. There is 1 example from 1947 where we had two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, but positive jobs, positive industrial production and positive consumer spending and NBER doesn't consider it a recession.

2001 was the opposite. It was called a recession without consecutive 2 quarters of negative GDP growth. [1]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_2000s_recession#/media/F...

Great question! Not that I'm aware of (EDIT: sseagull provided a good example in 1947). To be fair, I can't think of any time where we've seen 2 quarters of negative GDP growth while maintaining "full" employment and wage growth. This is an unusual recession if it is a recession.

I'd say listen to the economists that are actually apart of the group and form your own opinion. I didn't get that impression personally. Although I'm sure there is some impact.

Both of those are up to the consensus of the group of economists. They regularly talk about it with each other and compare with historical data mostly. Keep in mind economics is a social science, not exact science.

It would strike me more as "feeling it out", but they are not in a rush to announce it is or is not a recession until they have a better feel. Everyone seems to be rushing to call it a recession as early as possible. The economist I heard talking had a "wait and see" attitude on the podcast which was refreshing to hear.

In the USA, "officially" a group of 8 economists at the National Bureau of Economic Research decides when a recession starts. I suspect other countries have their own definitions.

"The NBER's definition emphasizes that a recession involves a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months. In our interpretation of this definition, we treat the three criteria—depth, diffusion, and duration—as somewhat interchangeable. That is, while each criterion needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another. For example, in the case of the February 2020 peak in economic activity, the committee concluded that the subsequent drop in activity had been so great and so widely diffused throughout the economy that, even if it proved to be quite brief, the downturn should be classified as a recession." [1]

Planet Money (podcast on NPR) did an episode [2] a little while ago about it that I recommend listening to. They talk with one of the 8 economists. It was honestly refreshing hearing the economist talk about it, I got the impression that it was a more neutral take on the circumstances rather than pushing a narrative.

[1] https://www.nber.org/research/business-cycle-dating

[2] https://www.npr.org/2022/06/24/1107581150/recession-referees

Wages are rising too. A part of the rising costs at the moment is rising labor costs.

Median usual weekly real earnings adjusted for seasonality - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881600Q

"Many of the F-16's past problems are mirror images of the issues we see in the F-35. According to the article, the Air Force expected the F-16's research and development costs rose by some $7 billion to reach $13.8 billion by 1986.... The fly-by-wire mechanism of the F-16, in which an aerodynamically unstable but highly maneuverable aircraft was tamed by computers to keep it flying, was an expensive problem that was eventually solved. Like the F-35, the F-16 had problems with its engine and also had to be modified to placate U.S. allies who wanted a fighter capable of air-to-ground missions, a real multi-role fighter. " [1]

Almost all of them have similar stories from what I've seen. To be fair, most of these were developed before I was born so I certainly could be missing some context from that time period.

[1] https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a21587/197...

While there are certainly issues, the issues are more with the procurement process than the actual aircraft.

Virtually every single aircraft program has been flogged by the press for being too expensive and less capable than the aircraft it replaced. This included the F-111, the C-5, the F-14, the F-15, the B-1, the F-16, the A-10, the F-18, the C-17, the B-2, the V-22, the F-22, and now the F-35. Overall the track record for these aircraft turned out to be outstanding, far exceeding the capabilities of their predecessors.

The actual track record for the F35 has been very positive. Most the reports I've seen from pilots are generally very positive [1].

Other countries continue to buy it over other platforms [2].

Most the major complaints are around costs compared to the aircraft that are being replaced, but this isn't a fair comparison.

As for the cost to fly the F-35, a unit measure the Air Force terms “cost per flying hour,” today the F-35 costs around $35,000 per flying hour. Comparative aircraft in this class are generally in the mid $20,000s, a target the F-35 is slated to hit by 2025. However, it must also be remembered, as the F-35 pilot’s above comment highlights, far fewer F-35s can accomplish far more with fewer aircraft than legacy aircraft types. It does not require a math major to understand this yields far lower real-world total costs to achieve a particular mission result. [3]

[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/italian-pilots-raved-about-f...

[2] https://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2019/5/24/i...

[3] https://www.forbes.com/sites/davedeptula/2020/07/20/f-35-pro...

1. Taking a shot in the dark - Maybe check your ethernet cables? Not all ethernet cables are the same. If it's a cheap / old ethernet cable then it might not be rated for the same kinds of speed as your wifi. There is a chart on this page labeled "Ethernet Cable Performance Summary" with some stats for different ethernet cables.

https://www.electronics-notes.com/articles/connectivity/ethe...

2. Yes, although in my experience this is very minor. On my network - good wifi has a 3ms latency and good ethernet has a .3ms latency. While that is a 10x improvement, in the scheme of things I don't notice 3ms of latency. I live in a high rise condo with lots of interference in a major city and can't say it's caused me any issues.

FYI - Background on the guy being quoted

"Gregory Travis, a veteran software engineer and experienced, instrument-rated pilot who has flown aircraft simulators as large as the Boeing 757"

I know a few veteran software engineers that are instrument-rated and frankly I'm not sure I would listen to any of them over the FAA or aeronautical engineers. Probably good for some perspective, but not exactly a great source for determining if an airplane is "aerodynamically flawed by design".

European regulators now allow the plane to fly after conducting their own investigation so it's more than just the FAA.

Just curious, what would it take for you to get on a 737-Max?

European and American regulators have gone over it with a fine tooth comb at this point and allow it to fly. There is always gonna be people that will say the plane shouldn't fly. Arguably the amount of attention this plane has gotten will probably make it one of the safest in the industry going forward.

Different aerodynamics probably had a little impact but it's mostly just a much better power to weight ratio. It helps that you didn't launch a raspberry pi and battery :)

Just curious, what would you have liked to see the U.S. do about Hong Kong? Arguably if anyone was gonna do something it should probably be the British being their agreement was broken. I'm sure the British would have U.S. backing them if they wanted to retaliate.

The U.S. started removing the extra trade agreements from Hong Kong (which arguably is a large part of what made Hong Kong what it is today) and sanctioned individuals in the Chinese government [1]. While this seems to be a "weak" response, I'm not sure what else I would like to see short of getting the military involved.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hong_Kong_Autonomy_Act

The article talks about the airline focusing on shorter routes and cutting the longer routes that they were losing money on. Even if the airline doesn't go through bankruptcy the long haul routes at the same price will probably no longer be around.

"However, with the scheduled flights gradually resuming, the airline is restructuring its fleet and focusing on short- and medium-range destinations. Europe’s fourth-largest low-cost carrier will likely completely discontinue the long-haul flights that sank the company into debt."

I'm still working through the paper which is fascinating and have only had a chance to glance it over so forgive me if I ask any questions that are answered in the paper.

I see lots of large timeframes of the data (20 years), but nothing about how much data that actually is. I'm not very familiar with this kind of data, but am curious about the software side and how much data was needed, timeframes for processing the data, any special hardware required, etc....

How much data did you start with (gigabytes? terabytes?)?

What does this data actually look like? csv, custom binary format, some open spec maybe?

How much did you end up filtering out for the various reasons in the paper?

Was there anything that surprised you personally while working on this paper? It seems like most of this is confirming existing theory which is great, but curious if you had any new take aways.

Does the team want to continue to pursue this? If so, what do they hope to accomplish or maybe there's some odd data / behavior that you would like to continue to look at?

This is misleading to most people. The US census counts the suburbs as urban. I don't believe most people referring to urban areas are referring to people in the suburbs.

"To qualify as an urban area, the territory identified according to criteria must encompass at least 2,500 people, at least 1,500 of which reside outside institutional group quarters."

https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/geography/about/faq/...

Full digest of the bill - https://www.parliament.nz/en/pb/bills-and-laws/bills-digests...

Lots to read over, but this stuck out to me so far.

"gross emissions of biogenic methane in a calendar year are 10% less than 2017 emissions by the calendar year beginning on 1 January 2030; and are at least 24% to 47% less than 2017 emissions by the calendar year beginning on 1 January 2050 and for each subsequent calendar year"

"no remedy or relief is available for failure to meet the 2050 target or an emissions budget, and the 2050 target and emissions budgets are not enforceable in a court of law, except that if the 2050 target or an emissions budget is not met, a court may make a declaration to that effect, together with an award of costs"

The US census counts the suburbs as urban. I don't believe most people referring to "city-folk" are referring to people in the suburbs.

"To qualify as an urban area, the territory identified according to criteria must encompass at least 2,500 people, at least 1,500 of which reside outside institutional group quarters."

https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/geography/about/faq/...

I came down to the same choice, but went with the t480s for the extra RAM and the ethernet port (only used twice, but been a life safer each time).

Both are great options.

I use a Thinkpad t480s (last years model). This laptop has done a great job "getting out my way". It has one of the best keyboards on any laptop I have used. It runs ubuntu great out of the box. 14in screen happens to be be a very nice size for me. I have the touchscreen model which has been nice for testing mobile sites. The screen could be a little brighter / more vibrant, but I do prefer the matte display for when I setup outside when the weather is nice. A brighter glossy version is available if you prefer that.

It has great port selection:

- 2 usb-c ports (1 thunderbolt)

- 2 usb-b

- 1 hdmi port

- 1 ethernet port

- 1 sd card reader

Overall I'd say it's a very good well rounded laptop that I don't have any major complaints about.

A town is more open to competition, anytime a third player can open up a store with relatively small investment. Meanwhile to take on a dominant player like Amazon is extremely hard.

You think it's easier to open a physical store to compete with Walmart than to spin up an ecommerce site to compete with Amazon?

That doesn't strike me as a very clear line. Let's change the scale a bit instead of nationally / internationally.

If there's only 1 Walmart store in a small town (no competitors near by), does that mean they can't sell their house brand there?

What about a Walmart in a town with a Target and 80% of the sales are at Walmart? Can Target sell their house brand if Walmart can't in this scenario?

HN really seems to like these stories. Previous discussions:

8 months ago - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18593407

4 months ago - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19463225

4 months ago - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19491763

8 days ago - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20615403