Why Apple Will Switch to ARM-Based Macs (2014)

http://mattrichman.net/post/94262130903/why-apple-will-switch-to-arm-based-macs

by dmmalam • 11 years ago

38 60 11 years ago

jimsmart• 11 years ago

If they do switch to ARM, I hope they'll do something like Rosetta to help with the switch. The last switch wouldn't've been as easy if it wasn't for Rosetta.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosetta_(software)

_up• 11 years ago

They probably make it mandatory for Mac App Store Apps to support both systems.

protomyth2• 11 years ago

How would they do Bootcamp? This is not an insignificant factor in the decision to purchase a Mac.

gress• 11 years ago

Is it? What proportion of mac laptops are used to run windows?

rednukleus• 11 years ago

Almost everyone I know that owns a Mac dual boots Windows, uses it in a VM, or doesn't use OSX at all. Macs would not have anywhere near the success they have had without Windows compatibility.

dagw• 11 years ago

I have no idea, but I do know that at most Windows or .Net developer meetups I've been to half the people there are running windows on Apple laptops.

protomyth2• 11 years ago

I'm sure we are not alone in the "Must Run Some Windows Software" requirement. ARM might make that tough.

sxcurry• 11 years ago

Agreed - I am using Virtual Box right now on my MB Air to run some specialized astronomy software. I always tell people that Macs make the best Windows machines. I'd really miss this capability.

RKearney• 11 years ago

Windows 10 will run on ARM so there will be no problem using bootcamp. Getting developers onboard with compiling ARM executables though is another story.

hamstergene• 11 years ago

Since Windows 8, there has been no need for Bootcamp anymore. Just create a partition via Disk Utility, boot Windows installer in EFI mode and install on that partition. (The necessary drivers have to be downloaded onto a usb drive from under OS X though, from Apple's website).

Frankly, if Microsoft had embraced EFI & GPT earlier, we could be able to install WinXP without any Bootcamp many years ago. This whole Bootcamp technology is a ridiculous dinosaur that shouldn't exist.

(Important note: That "just create a partition" advise won't work if you have Fusion drive, because Windows have no knowledge of that technology. Still, with few magic tricks, it is possible to have OS X installed on CoreStorage partition, and Windows on outside-of-CoreStorage HDD partition. That's how I have my Win8 installed on my iMac right now, no Bootcamp was ever involved.)

Also, as a person who plays "Dragon Age: Inquisition", "Far Cry 4", "Wasteland 2", "Bioshock: Infinite" on my 680MX iMac, I think the proposition of the topic-starter is not going to happen. Or at least, it's not going to happen to iMac and Mac Pro, because disregarding desktop gaming would be the most dumb decision. Who would possibly own the expensive black cylinder, if it didn't have a capability to run everything cool that is currently around?

0x06• 11 years ago

I think ARM performance is still way off from the i5/i7 x86_64 you get at the higher-end macs, and rosetta-style x86_64 emulation on arm is probably even further off. Lack of virtualbox/vmware support is also a bit of a showstopper, at least for cross-browser testing and web development.

My guess is that ARM based high-end macs are at least 3-5 years away from today.

At least with Adobe CC being a monthly subscription and all, there won't be an extra upgrade cost for the arch switch :)

cpeterso2• 11 years ago

Given how long Adobe took to add 64 bit support, I think we will be waiting for ARM ports of CC applications for a long time.

wtallis• 11 years ago

Adobe took forever to add 64-bit support because Apple wasn't offering 64-bit versions of many Classic Mac OS APIs, for x86-64 or PPC64. Now that Adobe's using OS X-native APIs, they can benefit from the proven portability of those frameworks: OS X has run on PPC, x86, and ARM in both 32-bit and 64-bit versions of each, and NeXTSTEP also ran on 68k, SPARC, and PA-RISC.

noahl• 11 years ago

Given the large base of x86 applications they will want to support, Apple might ship computers with both x86 and ARM chips. If the ARM chip was running the OS, it could turn off the x86 chip when it wasn't needed to reduce power consumption, and Apple might hope that applications would migrate to the ARM chip over time, until it could finally remove x86 entirely.

However, I would be worried about the power consumption of the two chips, even with the ability to turn off the x86 one on demand. Maybe Apple would be able to reduce the power consumption when the computer was running only on the ARM chip enough that it would be worth it overall.

__bjoernd4• 11 years ago

But then all software will have to be shipped as ARM and as x86 binaries. Sure, that is possible engineering-wise, but at least the binaries are going to double in size. And there may be slight issues when you migrate applications between the ARM and x86 world with respect to data layout etc.

WallWextra3• 11 years ago

If Apple tried that, Intel would stop giving them such sweet prices.

hvjackson• 11 years ago

I don't think Apple gives two hoots about VM support. They only released Bootcamp because it cost them almost nothing, but I think they would drop it in a heartbeat if it let them lower power consumption in laptops.

0x06• 11 years ago

With the switch to x86 and with hardware virtualization available via virtualbox/vmware fusion/parallels, combined with a much larger user base with many having switched over from pc, I think they may find the demand for backwards compability and virtualization is much greater now than during their ppc->intel switch (which happened at a time where, at least from my vantage points, macs were still considered a fringe/specialists/niche platform)

cmsj3• 11 years ago

FWIW, there are ARM instructions for virtualisation. Linux's KVM hypervisor supports them.

JoelSutherland• 11 years ago

The Anandtech quote compares the A7 to an Atom chip, not a Core chip. That's not to say that Apple can't eventually match Core performance at higher TDPs but the distance is greater than the article suggests.

bhauer• 11 years ago

And it's a quote from a year and a half ago.

cpeterso2• 11 years ago

ARM based Macs will probably herald the merge of iOS and OS X (version 11?) with universal apps that can run on devices and desktops. And Apple can drop the 'X' and probably just use the better known name iOS.

tomphoolery2• 11 years ago

I wonder how Apple will deal with this from a software perspective. Will developers be making "responsive apps" that appear one way on a phone/tablet but another way on a computer? It would certainly make it a lot easier for new startups to gain traction if they only had to develop their app once.

TheOtherHobbes• 11 years ago

Apple and the other big names will deal with it by moving processing to the cloud, and selling processor cycles as a public utility accessed through relatively simple devices - like a Chromebook, only more so.

This can't happen until there's much better access to bandwidth. But it is happening already - Siri is just the start - and it's going to continue.

I'm expecting Windows 11 (12?) and Mac OS 11 to be cloud-based.

I have no idea where this leaves Linux. (Possibly nowhere, except on servers and embedded devices?)

There will probably be a legacy market for expensive high-end performance personal computing for the relatively few applications where it's essential to have a beefy processor on a desk next to you.

But aside from games and maybe music/video editing, most domestic and office computing is already so light-weight that it can be cloudified without issues.

Of course this also means your data will be cloudy too, and you'll be stuck inside a walled garden with very strong access controls for apps and content - so you probably won't be able to run any app you want.

I suspect the big names will see this as a feature rather than a bug.

0x06• 11 years ago

Doubtful. The UI paradigms are too far off. MS tried to take a step in this direction with metro on win8 and I would dare say it was a very unsuccessful execution.

OSX has done well so far, even with macs being a single digit percentage of desktop and laptops. Why change a winning team now that it is expanding into the double digit percentages of the market?

Equivalently, iOS did extremely well because it was designed from scratch for small touch screen devices, where others - like Nokia - were running with a "small desktop OS" - the symbian browsers even had a virtual mouse pointer that you had to clumsily navigate with a D-pad.

__bjoernd4• 11 years ago

"There wouldn’t have been a “secure enclave” on the iPhone’s processor to store the fingerprint data, nor would there have been perfect hardware-software integration."

Well, Intel aren't totally sleeping. They will provide SGX for exactly that reason in the near future: https://software.intel.com/en-us/blogs/2013/09/26/protecting...

mojuba3• 11 years ago

That's a 2013 announcement, and still no news. Another reason to dump Intel.

__bjoernd4• 11 years ago

There seem to be research prototypes available, though:

https://www.nccgroup.com/en/blog/2015/01/intel-software-guar...

mojuba3• 11 years ago

Or, Apple might manufacture both Intel and ARM based macs. You want virtualization? Or maybe x86-based games, Audio Units and other binaries that are slow to catch up? Here is your Intel iMac. You don't care? Fine, get a cheaper ARM Mac/MBP with a longer battery life. And more compact too. This could go on for some 5-10 years until Apple's ARM gets better at everything and all the relevant apps get recompiled.

tomphoolery2• 11 years ago

That would be an absolute nightmare for app developers...I think Apple will most likely convert the whole Mac line over to ARM in a single release while maintaining some kind of translation or virtualization layer for apps that need to run on the "old architecture". They did it before with Rosetta: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosetta_%28software%29

mojuba3• 11 years ago

Universal binaries, or otherwise VM-based approach with JIT. I think Swift is moving in that direction. Just imagine you have pure Swift with no ObjC or C code allowed: the compiler will be able to easily build a VM binary that will be JIT'ed on the machine.

micro-ram• 11 years ago

Maybe if all the apps were coming from the Mac App Store. I think the limits of Sandboxing have slowed that progress significantly. They should have reasonable allowances to bypass the sandbox for apps that really do need the entire machine. Instead we are now so restrictive a text editor isn't feasible and the Mac App Store is faltering.

http://www.panic.com/blog/coda-2-5-and-the-mac-app-store/

PS-I don't think they will switch to ARM. The new USB-C MacBook is very power efficient.

rchowe• 11 years ago

This was exactly what Microsoft tried to do with the Surface Pro and Surface RT. The Surface RT hardware was very well made, however it only ran Metro-style Windows apps, so the only piece of big-name software for it ended up being Office.

Apple does have the scale on its app store to force developers to change over to ARM (say, if they announce ARM computers a year before they are for sale), but at the PPC -> x86 switch, Intel processors were more powerful than equivalent PowerPCs, allowing Rosetta to bridge the gap. This is more difficult (but not impossible) with ARM processors.

Also, if all of the computers are ARM, you lose out on virtualization, which is a biggie for many business users.

MichaelGG• 11 years ago

Microsoft totally screwed that up. They should simply have added another arch, full stop. Like they did for MIPS and Alpha in the past. The Office example is great, since they didn't follow their own rules-it was a desktop app.

Just another part of their mishandling of things for no good reason.

benwilber0• 11 years ago

In 5-10 years maybe.

staunch2• 11 years ago

The winner will be the one to figure out how to make mobile chips that don't overheat after 20 minutes of high utilization. These badass GPUs and quad core CPUs aren't much use because you can't actually use them!

Either that or we're going to need 10lbs of mobile water cooling attached to any smartphone running VR.

giovannibajo1• 11 years ago

The A8 on iPhone 6 doesn't get hot even after extensive use. They even mentioned this during the keynote, so they consider it an achievement

staunch2• 11 years ago

Does it avoid getting hot by clocking down the processors? Or do you mean it can actually operate all CPU/GPU cores at 100% until the battery drains, like these darn things should be able to?

WallWextra3• 11 years ago

Even if Apple could match Intel's performance in the laptop power envelope (implausible), that still wouldn't be enough. They'd have to beat it by a big enough margin to make binary translation feasible. When they switched from PPC to x86, they got enough of a performance boost to make Rosetta Stone work ok, despite the overhead. I'd be surprised if it's even possible to beat the current crop of x86 processors in single-threaded performance by such a huge margin, ever. Let alone beat whatever Intel has out by that time.

cmsj3• 11 years ago

(Rosetta Stone is software for learning human languages. Apple's tech for runtime binary architecture translation was called Rosetta. It was written and supplied by a UK company called Transitive, which was acquired by IBM to bring foreign instruction set support to their non-x86 high end platforms)

WallWextra3• 11 years ago

Oops! Good catch.

ForHackernews• 11 years ago

Debian will still run on ARM, right? That's all I care about.

WhitneyLand• 11 years ago

The big flaw in this reasoning is assuming Apple would win big enough from a switch to make the upheaval worth while.

The Apple ARM chips are great but there is no publicly known reason to believe Intel cannot keep pace. This leaves price and manufacturing economies as the only reasons which is much different than the Motorola scenario.

You say Apple will do this to offer Macs for $50 less? That's a meaningless differentiation for their product line.

I believe you also underestimate the importance of dual-booting/running VMs, which is quite widespread. A lot of people run Windows for just one or two apps, but it's apps they have to have.

Also what about gaming? New games could target ARM/Neon but massive libraries of existing games would become unplayable.

Even the price argument is not a slam dunk because Intel has already been willing to forego profits and subsidize in the mobile space, they might be willing to do the same in the desktop space if they truly felt threatened.

hurin• 11 years ago

Is there any advantage for consumers in such a switch? If so could someone explain what it would be?

phkahler• 11 years ago

It will be easy when AMD make a truly ambidextrous chip that can run code for either architecture. Jim Keller already said the ARM has a "bigger engine" and zen seems to be a derivative of their new ARM core or at least shares a lot of design. He also said the ARM requires almost no decode stage. One site even wrote a piece speculating along these lines. It doesn't make a lot of sense from a software point of view though - you want one or the other and parts would be disabled for either ISA. But it would serve Apple well. It would be this biggest coup the industry has ever seen.

joars• 11 years ago

A switch to arm would be easily justifiable if it was the only road to fan-less macs and apple controlling the processor development, but intel has made huge strides in power efficiencies lately as well as opening up the possibility for using intel IP in SoC's. And isn't the ipad already a mac with an arm processor?

CyberDildonics• 11 years ago

This is so off base it is staggering. The single thread performance divide between intel chips and arm is enormous.

meesterdude• 11 years ago

First, the title is click bait and inaccurate; short of the author having a magic crystal ball, this is 100% speculation and theory.

The move from PowerPC to Intel was great and helped break down several barriers that were in the way. While ARM could offer them some advantages, it has its own downsides that must be factored, and is not as clear a slam dunk.

Also, the author references a projection they made three years ago about how ARM-Based macs are coming - Which would make sense if it actually since came true, but there has been no change in the state of ARM on Mac's that would justify even mentioning this. They are still making a wild guess that still has not come true.

So maybe they'll roll out a mac mini with an ARM processor - or maybe something else entirely. Or nothing. It's (relatively) safe to say they'll keep pushing the ball, but it remains to be seen which direction.

Why Apple Will Switch to ARM-Based Macs (2014)

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