Agentic Trading with Safe Guardrails

https://github.com/ShurikenTrade/shuriken-skills

by jgan0978 • 2 months ago

55 33 2 months ago

github.com

0x5FC3• 2 months ago

More ways than one to burn money with agents :)

jgan0978• 2 months ago

giving y'all another way

m3kw92• 2 months ago

You cannot possibly get info faster and analyse them more then the hedge funds. It better be some crazy bespoke stuff you are doing to get ahead for maybe a couple seconds before the gap gets filled.

KellyCriterion• 2 months ago

there are tons of other trading activities than HFT, in which you can easily deploy agents as it is not everywhere about milliseconds and exchange-CoLo

satvikpendem3• 2 months ago

HFT != Algorithmic trading

this_user• 2 months ago

Trying to trade with generalist LLMs is just an exercise in futility, because none of these models have ever seen the inside of a real trading firm. None of that knowledge is in their training sets.

cheesemayo• 2 months ago

It's worse. The special lingo doesn't make a good trader.

You can be certain the firms looked ahead and had specialized ML tools built and ready to go. And yet, none of them stand out for success, over the past decades and into this LLM bloom.

The way to riches there is just like during the gold rush: The people making money are the ones selling shovels and canteens and wheat, not the ones running sluice boxes.

AI is no panacea.

cyanydeez• 2 months ago

also, the bulk of literature is indistinguishable from bunkum

ano-ther• 2 months ago

Didn’t DeepSeek originate from a HedgeFund model?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DeepSeek

askmike• 2 months ago

They are quants with a deep experience in trading that started to develop general LLMs as a side business, that does not mean their experience is baked into their models.

mlmonkey• 2 months ago

Plug your agent into the sources where information breaks first. Twitter, Telegram, Discord, on-chain activity. Your agent acts before the market does.

In a world where people are fighting with each other to see who can get closer to the trading systems in order to shave off milliseconds, this seems glacial.

satvikpendem3• 2 months ago

High frequency trading != algorithmic trading, common misconception. HFT is a subset of algorithmic trading but does not encompass all of it.

HolyLampshade3• 2 months ago

While true (I 100% agree with you in the distinction), the statement is “Your agent acts before the market does”, which is simply not going to be the case (assuming this is helping run some sort of trend following strategy). Professional traders who are sensitive to alternative public data sources are already taking that data in quickly and their execution is colocated with the venues. You’re still going to be significantly behind the curve (to a financially dangerous extent in my opinion).

quantumleaper• 2 months ago

The belief that there is some kind of market-impacting underground "wisdom of the crowd" to be found on all these public social platforms is an artifact of the GameStop craze that never went away.

HolyLampshade3• 2 months ago

It existed prior to GME as well, which really should tell you that anyone who is using this is going against people who have spent the last decade at least perfecting signals based on this exact same data.

The hope isn’t that you find some unique signal to trade on. The hope is you find some signal that does not scale in a meaningful way, so it is less likely professional firms are going to devote resources to trading it.

If you stumble into a fresh, scalable signal it’s unlikely it will continue to be profitable after six months. Once you scale to any real profitable size the market will notice and either change behavior, or trade the same signal at a faster speed.

m3kw92• 2 months ago

Twitter/fb/reddit etc is like the towel that gets the water after it already spilled, while the hedge funds or advanced traders already placed sensors at the entire pipe to detect the leak.

asdff2• 2 months ago

It isn't so much that. Imagine if you were able to abrogate a pattern out of general communication networks that predicted a meme stock rise or a shitcoin ahead of a pump and dump. That would be extremely lucrative. That being said I don't think LLM is any tool for the job. You'd be better off working with the underlying datasets yourself using some graph based analysis.

jpfromlondon• 2 months ago

In a world where people are fighting with each other to see who can get closer to the trading systems in order to shave off milliseconds, this seems glacial.

the race to zero is over, nobody is doing that any more.

victorbjorklund• 2 months ago

Using LLM:s to trade makes no sense at all (outside some narrow strategies trying to trade fast on news etc)

la64710• 2 months ago

While most folks are quick to write off agentic trading attempts for various reasons, one strength that I see in using LLMs is its capability to bring together disparate information sources and chart a path forward.I do agree it is a very advanced word calculator but that seems to work most of the time unless there is a massive information gap in the original data sources.

asdff2• 2 months ago

capability to bring together disparate information sources and chart a path forward

This isn't really anything you couldn't do already though.

torlok• 2 months ago

It's there any evidence that trading off of headlines works long-term?

yieldcrv• 2 months ago

I agentically track potential catalysts that the market forgets about (judging from implied volatility in the options market)

It works

AMA

m463• 2 months ago

I remember a friend telling me the state highway department used to call them guardrails, but after some lawsuits, they started calling them guide rails. This legal distinction was because they didn't want to imply they could prevent accidents.

jacobr1• 2 months ago

Where are the "Safe Guardrails" ?

SpicyLemonZest• 2 months ago

I know it's bad manners to point out when "repositories" of "code" are just markdown files, but these are even more pointless markdown than most. They're just telling agents how to use their public, documented API. What is the possible scenario where an agent working with Shuriken would not load "Integrating and building with Shuriken" into context? (Where are the "safe guardrails" in the hallucinated title?)

btbuildem• 2 months ago

I have one very simple rule when it comes to anything "stockmarket" or "trading"

If it worked, you would not have published a paper or a OSS project -- you would have leveraged it to do actual trading.

Anything in these domains that you find on the internet for free, does not work.

vpribish• 2 months ago

this is the rock solid truth

Agentic Trading with Safe Guardrails

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