Nothing new to see here

https://feld.com/archives/2026/03/nothing-new-to-see-here/

by guiambros • 4 months ago

11 13 4 months ago

cyanydeez2• 4 months ago

reads like chatgpt talking to claude about imaginary things.

While this may be a real human reality, the way it's presented is in the golly-gee-whiz, I'm just a farm-folk engineer.

If you meant this to be convincing, it's not. It looks like copy-paste-find-replace of all these other tech blogs where they found $SHINYNEWEVIDENCE of $MODUS_OPERANDI and you should too.

guiambros3• 4 months ago

I don't understand what your comment is about. You don't like his style, you disagree with the evidence, or the conclusion?

The author is Brad Feld [1], who wrote checks to thousands of startups, wrote a dozen books, and advises a bunch of founders. He's talking about his personal experience observing the shift in the typical profile of a startup entrepreneur.

I think his perspective is very valid. For the past 20 years we assumed (and confirmed through empirical evidence) that having a technical co-founder was critical for the success of a startup.

This era is getting to an end, and the next 20 will be radically different in the next 20. You'll probably still need human engineering skills to scale, but getting from 0 to 1 will depend much more on taste than how good you are in <language X>.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brad_Feld

amarant2• 4 months ago

Yeah why are all these people considering evidence in the first place? Have they no faith? $ONLINEGURUINFLUENCER said AI can only produce slop so it must be true!

What does Linux kernel Devs know about real software development anyway? [1]

[1] https://www.theregister.com/2026/03/26/greg_kroahhartman_ai_...

cyanydeez2• 4 months ago

Andecdotes are not evidence; failing to see that within a few paragraphs is golly-gee-whiz why don't you just trust this noname person.

bradleyy• 4 months ago

Brad Feld is a pretty smart guy and I agree with his take. Is there a lot of AI slop out there? Sure.

But is it possible to build real apps that work well? I can absolutely confirm. Deploying software that's used by household names.

I think people are making a lot of false dichotomy around this, just because there's AI slop doesn't mean that it never works.

satisfice• 4 months ago

The world seems to be divided between people who assume that things work well until they are proven not to, and the other kind of people, who are known as “responsible adults.”

Responsible adults say that vibe-coding a serious product is a bad idea, because you aren’t capable of recognizing or fixing certain serious problems that commonly arise.

seydor3• 4 months ago

Why would you invest in a vibe app though? What's the moat that will protect your investment? That somebody "had an idea"? Conventional wisdom is that ideas are a dime a dozen

amarant2• 4 months ago

What's your moat with any software these days?

seydor3• 4 months ago

things that make it non-replicatable. But an AI-made app is pretty much replicatable. Maybe the moat would be the network effect, but that shows up later, not at the time of investment.

guiambros3• 4 months ago

Same reason you invest in any seed stage startup: the founder has a vision, you believe they have researched the topic more than anyone else, there's a meaningful total addressable market, and they have the focus and ability to get there. More importantly, you believe they have the resilience to endure for the next 10-15 years, even if they have to pivot a dozen times until they succeed.

Software - at seed stage - was never a moat. It was just a prerequired (and scarce) resource. Classic example: Dropxbox in 2007 [1].

That's not the case anymore (or won't be, at some point soon).

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8863

seydor3• 4 months ago

good software (and hardware) was a moat in many cases, google had the best software, others tried to copy pageRank, but google scaled better and faster and killed them. Amazon, youtube, netflix. Many such cases. OSs, Browsers, those are huge moats and moneymakers.

If it can be commoditized, why not just steal the idea and give it to a tried-and-true professional CEO

moribvndvs• 4 months ago

Even before AI, writing software isn’t even the “hardest” part. This is new enough that I wouldn’t be waving Mission Accomplished flags just because someone was able to dump out a react front end, wire up some managed services, and get paying users. Let’s see how this pans out long term when someone grapples with cost, reliability, security, growth, competition, and all the other actually hard parts. Also, using “I’ve heard this all before” and pointing to cloud, mobile, whatever as the basis of your argument is a bit awkward… yeah a lot of folks made a shit ton of money but the current tech landscape is increasingly a wasteland of broken and harmful things. I’m not sure I’m thrilled that we invented a machine to accelerate decline.

But the underlying point, I think, is that the right tool in the right hands is an extraordinary thing, especially when you bring execution closer to smart visionaries who aren’t otherwise technical. I can’t sit here in denial that LLMs have drastically changed things to that effect, whether I like it or not.

Nothing new to see here

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