Vicarious Raises $15M to Build Software That ‘Learns Like A Human’

http://techcrunch.com/2012/08/21/vicarious-good-ventures-funding/

by thedoctor • 14 years ago

45 32 14 years ago

seiji2• 14 years ago

The company to get all of this right will be the first two trillion dollar company.

acomar• 14 years ago

I'm going to be thrilled if it looks like they're even within shooting distance of solving this problem, but for the time being I'm skeptical. I hope they prove me wrong.

seiji2• 14 years ago

I was just speaking generally. I know nothing about this company apart from their self promotional material and ego shouting.

debacle4• 14 years ago

What good is learning software if you don't have the hardware to run it on (and probably wont for a decade) to attain even mammalian levels of intelligence?

paulsutter• 14 years ago

Cool, that gives them 10 years to prepare.

Big advances take time. I'm thrilled that Dustin and Founders Fund are willing to take on investments that have a long time horizon. That's where big breakthroughs will come from.

pedalpete• 14 years ago

What makes you say that the hardware doesn't exist?? I don't see that in the article.

debacle4• 14 years ago

http://theness.com/neurologicablog/index.php/artificial-brai...

That's just one example. We're currently using a machine with 10k cores to model just a piece of the brain of a rat.

Neurons fire at up to 1kHz, which means, theoretically, that a modern 4-core CPU could potentially model 5 million neurons, in some sort of crazy 'breaking the laws of physics and ignoring synaptic modeling' scenario.

So then we would only need roughly 80 thousand cores to simulate the human brain, ignoring RAM.

Keep in mind that's an extremely rough (and terribly bad) guess, which makes a disgustingly bad number of broad assumptions that have no basis in reality. Its only purpose is to show how much better evolution is than us at computing.

sbanach2• 14 years ago

Presumably you're referring to the neuron-level simulations that crop up in the news every time some university gets a new supercomputer? Maybe there are some shortcuts.

Just like 10 years ago the only conceivable way of rendering diffuse light was with raytracing or radiosity simulations. Now we have modern techniques like ambient occlusion that makes it reasonably cheap to do in a rasterizer in realtime.

debacle4• 14 years ago

We can simulate approximations of intelligence now, and those will continue to get better all the time, however, like raytracing, we simply don't have the technology to do real AI at the human scale right now.

sown• 14 years ago

Maybe it's OK if we don't have the HW now. Sort of like in the 1980s, people we're writing accounting or physics software that needed math co-processors n' stuff -- stuff that didn't quite exist in the early 80s on PCs but people went ahead with the software anyways. Eventually the HW worked out.

I think it'll work out. And a decade's not soooo long.

duaneb• 14 years ago

That's a big assumption - perhaps they can solve this problem and actually make better algorithms.

olalonde• 14 years ago

Could be the last startup ever, but I am not betting my money on it. Would be cool though if they re-named the company to Last Startup :)

"Let an ultraintelligent machine be defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual activities of any man however clever. Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines; there would then unquestionably be an 'intelligence explosion,' and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make." - I. J. Good

fuelfive2• 14 years ago

We seriously considered Last Invention as an alternative name, and actually still own lastinvention.com. For a bunch of reasons, we decided on Vicarious instead. :)

finnw• 14 years ago

I'll guess this is one of the reasons? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Last_One_(software)

fuelfive2• 14 years ago

IIRC, the reasons were:

- Depending on how you read it, Last Invention can sound really ominous.

- LI is a bit of a mouthful to say, whereas Vicarious is a single word

- People generally responded better to Vicarious as a name when we asked around

Never heard of The Last One...

miahi2• 14 years ago

A long, long time ago, in a country far, far away there was a game company that was on the brink of bankruptcy, and with the last efforts they created a game they called Final Fantasy. The series has now 14 games.

loup-vaillant• 14 years ago

Lets' not forget that if they actually pull that off without taking extreme precautions, we're all dead. http://singularity.org/files/IE-EI.pdf

tluyben2• 14 years ago

There are quite a lot of people working on this 'problem' of AGI; amateurs, academics and commercial. The 'only way' this would be possible currently is like a Watson; some way of approximating intelligence / learning while not emulating it directly with neurons. While AGI amateurs think we are actually close to that right now, there is not much else pointing in that direction.

So let's see what they come up with :) Anyone has more information?

Edit: searching for "Recursive Cortical Network" is a good start.

diego• 14 years ago

Software that learns like a human is like a car that gallops like a horse. I don't see the point.

miahi2• 14 years ago

It means that it can learn by its own - so you don't have to program every behavior and data that it has access to. Of course, it's way easier said than done.

BTW, horse-robots do exist[1]. 4 legs are very useful on a rough terrain.

[1] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3G-UE1HwGI

wissler• 14 years ago

$15M won't be enough.

RobPfeifer• 14 years ago

The founder Dileep George was a founder/advisor at Numenta. I believe it was his paper on HTMs that led to its founding. He left in 2010, but curious as to how Recursive Cortical Networks differ from Numenta's product, which is moving waaay more slowly than they would like.

saraid216• 14 years ago

Thanks for pointing out the connection to Numenta. I was looking for it in the article, but it had nothing.

argonz• 14 years ago

Any idea/paper depicting this "recursive cortical network"?

tryitnow• 14 years ago

My immediate reaction is to be skeptical. AI has been tried before and has failed many, many, times.

Having said that, I think this exactly the sort of innovation timeline real venture capitalists should be considering - funding real R&D that could have a revolutionary impact even if the odds are against it.

If I had a lot of money that I really didn't need I would invest it. That is meant to be a compliment.

Best of luck. This is what smart people should be doing.

Furcas• 14 years ago

Has any consideration been given to making sure the AGI is designed and built to have goals that won't lead it to improve its intelligence vastly beyond human levels, and then do something very bad to humanity? Like, say, use the atoms that make up our bodies to make more processors to increase its computational capacity.

Vicarious Raises $15M to Build Software That ‘Learns Like A Human’

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