Should the leap second be eliminated?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16597191

by ColinWright • 15 years ago

28 24 15 years ago

bbc.co.uk

chalst3• 15 years ago

For a backgrounder, read this CACM article:

http://cacm.acm.org/magazines/2011/5/107699-the-one-second-w...

I've wondered, would the technical problems described be ameliorated if a longer timeframe was given? At the moment, we have about six months notice of leap seconds; what if we lengthened this to, say, two years?

That said, I'm not really sympathetic to the proposal. We already have the highly predictable International Atomic Time (TAI); why if we want this predictability, not just use TAI instead of trying to change UTC?

Lewton2• 15 years ago

>Over decades, the difference between Earth-based time and atomic clock time would amount to a few minutes, but over 500 years, they would be out by an hour. Over millennia, the discrepancy would grow even more.

Is this really true? Based on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leap_second

It seems like there's only been 25 leap seconds in 40 years. That's around a minute every century..

chalst3• 15 years ago

Leap seconds are expected to become more frequent, and the last decade has had unusually few leap seconds.

Lewton2• 15 years ago

Does that mean we expect there to be more than a couple of leap seconds every year? (Based on the "more than an hour over 500 years" statement)

gojomo2• 15 years ago

I like the leap-hour once every 500 years or so idea.

But I suspect in practice, it would never be actually assessed. When it comes due, everyone alive would be more accustomed to the 'hour off' times than the 500-years-ago time, so natural tendencies to eschew change in such matters would make following-through on the promised leap-hour unlikely.

Splenivore• 15 years ago

We’re willing to shift our clocks by an hour twice a year to “save daylight,” whatever that means. Correcting for 500 years of clock drift is a far more tangible reason. It’s rather pessimistic to assume that the people of 500 years from now would be unwilling to implement this.

extension• 15 years ago

Correcting for clock drift is not tangible in a practical sense though. We (allegedly) have good reasons for changing our schedule twice a year. Changing it because that's how people lived 500 years ago is not any kind of reason, and I think our ancestors will just laugh at the idea when it comes time for the leap hour.

So if these leap seconds are causing problems, I don't see any reason to keep them. By the time the consequences of getting rid of them are noticeable, they will no longer be negative consequences.

SquareWheel• 15 years ago

I think the counter-argument is the United State's resistance to metric, despite the obvious superiority to the system.

gojomo2• 15 years ago

I'll be spinning in my grave, cryogenic storage tank, or positronic simulation matrix if our ancestors 500 years' hence are still observing (and thus familiar with) "Daylight Savings Time".

Gring• 15 years ago

Why don't we let GPS satellites and NTP broadcast both "regular time" and International Atomic Time (TAI), and let each user use the one that fits best?

So: satellite navigation, financial services and flight control systems use TAI, everybody else uses regular time?

To make the difference obvious and prevent misunderstandings, TAI could even have a different form, like a pure integer of "seconds after date X". So nobody except programmers for financial services and other specialized systems would ever get to see TAI, and everybody's happy?

mseebach2• 15 years ago

I think you're on the right track, but I'd take it a step further: Whenever you're displaying what the time is to a human being, convert to UTC. In all other cases - especially storage and transmission etc. - use TAI.

We have very rich libraries for dealing with time in software, so it's not like it would be a huge drag.

There are still some unaddressed edge cases, of course. Say there's a leap second on 1 July. Now consider the interval 14:00 30 June - 14:00 1 July. In "human time" it's 24 hours, but in computer time it's 24h00m01s - and, conversely and perhaps more dangerous, should "14:00 30 June" + 24 hours come out as 13:59:59 or 14:00:00?

masklinn2• 15 years ago

> We have very rich libraries for dealing with time in software

99.9% of which suck goats though.

And then, there's the problem of correctly syncing time display with internal representation: let's say the library stores time as a monotonically increasing number (which it should, ideally, that's the first failure of many libraries). This monotonically increasing number is then mapped onto "human" dates and times via more or less complex schemes.

The problem is that those mapping change over time, for instance the leap second is provided with 6 months of advance, DST/GST changes may be provided with far less (to say nothing of timezone changes). So those time libraries need to be updated all the bloody time or to have a mechanism through which they download mapping updates.

> conversely and perhaps more dangerous, should "14:00 30 June" + 24 hours come out as 13:59:59 or 14:00:00?

Well this is a human time mapping, in human time mappings the leap second is part of one of those 24h, so it'd be 14:00:00 (same as adding "1 day" or "1440 minutes"), whereas adding 86400 seconds would yield 13:59:59.

The internal storage should not have a concept of hours (or minutes, or even maybe seconds), it would have its "time unit" and then contextual mappings from the time unit to "human units" through calendars and calendar operations.

qntm2• 15 years ago

It seems[1] that GPS at least already broadcasts "GPS time", which is fixed at TAI plus 19 seconds, and hence doesn't include leap seconds.

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Positioning_System#Timek...

qntm2• 15 years ago

This article doesn't give clear enough reasons for abolishing leap seconds. One passage says:

> But those seeking to abolish the leap second say these one-second jumps are becoming increasingly problematic for navigation and telecommunication systems that require a continuous time reference. These include satellite navigation, financial services, the internet, flight control and power systems, among others.

But elsewhere,

> Ron Beard, chairman of the ITU's working party on the leap second, said: "This is not a technical issue, it is more a diplomatic one."

drostie• 15 years ago

Well, let me phrase it a little more analytically, then. The biggest reason to switch UTC to atomic time is hacker-cultural. Basically, many countries have said, in law, "we use UTC." This causes most specifications -- in particular NTP, Javascript, and POSIX timestamps -- to also say "we use UTC -- but we ignore leap seconds." Unfortunately, these specifications are thereby rendered useless and incompatible in a bunch of different ways. NTP servers, we'd like, should just broadcast atomic time, TAI. Similarly, Javascript's Date.getTime() should give TAI, and POSIX should give TAI. But TAI isn't what countries have legally specified -- UTC (and in some cases GMT) is what countries have legally specified.

Governments use UTC because we like the idea that the sun rises at around 6 AM. (Or, on my base-10 clock, at around 0 ki.) But that's when the sun rises -- that's a question of setting a time zone!

So the best way to include leap seconds for now is via time zone information: allow the time zones to drift with leap seconds. Time zones are already pretty crazy and hard-to-anticipate and may change by a much larger offset at even shorter notice (e.g. "This summer, we are not observing Daylight Savings time"). If you can't anticipate upcoming political "leap-hours", your software already can't handle the less-political question of "when is the next leap-second?"

During my free time I've been playing with designing a base-10 clock. (Obligatory plug: http://drostie.org/time/ .) So I've been thinking about this topic off-and-on for a couple years now. During that time I guess I've convinced myself that the right way to handle this is to define a named time zone which implements leap seconds -- this requires derivative time zones. So for example, my clock above automatically assigns to New York the base-10 time zone of "+300". With named time zones, it could shift to leap seconds by passing a law saying "the base-10 time zone in our jurisdiction is instead leap+300." Or perhaps the US as a whole would design their own time zone to standardize a base-10 daylight savings time, and call it "us" and then New York might be in the time zone "us+300".

The goal is to really make specifications designers think, "oh, leap seconds are a cosmetic choice, I'd better just use the base-10 'rational timestamp' format rather than rolling my own implementation of POSIX timestamps." Right now they think "oh GMT is old and UTC is new and everyone knows what UTC is so we don't have to worry about it, right?" -- and they don't get it right.

So is this a technical issue or a diplomatic one? Well, it's technical because it affects technical specifications, but it's nontechnical because there is no good technical argument for using UTC versus TAI -- that's a time zone question, a political or diplomatic question about when you want the Sun to rise.

The only technical situation that I know of is the claim that some old telescopes might be using time to find stars -- and might misalign if the time comes unsynchronized from Earth's rotation. I don't consider this a serious technical difficulty, because those telescopes are manned by hackers smart enough to get a feed of Terrestrial Time and pipe it into whatever clock input was receiving UTC. "Hey look, it uses this NTP server, let's just redirect that DNS query to a smallish Linux box which serves TT over NTP." I think we're smart enough to ignore this technical case.

rnadna• 15 years ago

There is no way to know whether a leap second will be used in the future, beyond the half-year "notice period". This can make it tricky to plan for synchronized events past the notice period. The solution, of course, is to use non-leaped time for such planning. As several have pointed out, libraries handle both times. As someone who needs to deal with both types in data processing, I can report that it's definitely not a big deal.

lucian1900• 15 years ago

Leap minutes seem like the simplest option to me, if keeping synchronisation with sunrise/set is really that important.

its_so_on• 15 years ago

Having read the article, I for one am glad they're not leaping to any conclusions without a second thought.

jeffl8n• 15 years ago

I know not all of the world observes daylight savings time, but why not coincide any leap seconds/minutes/hours with the changing of daylight savings time? It would at least make it simpler for those who do practice DST.

Nick_C• 15 years ago

The answer (for software engineering) is to stop thinking of time as a continuous flow with periodic markers such as second, minute, etc. Instead, think of it as chunks.

Mostly one chunk flows seamlessly into another. Occasionally, a chunk is "missing", such as skipping an hour at Daylight Saving. We are already set up to handle that. It would be very simple to add another rule to the DS database to globally add a second now and then.

I really don't see what the problem is.

Should the leap second be eliminated?

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