Ubuntu market-share is in a nosedive

https://lunduke.substack.com/p/ubuntu-market-share-is-in-a-nosedive

by sam345 • 4 years ago

19 29 4 years ago

lunduke.substack.com

gigatexal• 4 years ago

Lol. Desktop market share for Linux matters as much as getting extra sand while in a desert. The server is what matters. Anecdotally I just install the LTS of Ubuntu and use snaps or flatpak or appimages for my tools — the distro is becoming less and less important.

akvadrako2• 4 years ago

Ubuntu has never been very popular on servers and it's mostly been from people who are comfortable with it on the desktop.

ThrowawayR2• 4 years ago

"Ubuntu just released, a few days ago, their latest “Long Term Support” release (version 22.04)..."

Isn't the release date for Ubuntu 22.04 LTS on April 21? This article is dated April 16.

chomp• 4 years ago

Probably referring to the Beta release. Just one of the many inaccuracies in this post.

locusofself• 4 years ago

Not sure about desktop but I would imagine cloud-vendor specific distros ie: "Amazon Linux" have pretty high market share..

RcouF1uZ4gsC• 4 years ago

I wonder what the influence of WSL is on this.

WSL makes installing Linux Distros so easy, and using multiple distros on the same computer easy, so I wonder if people are experimenting more with other distros.

jeffbee• 4 years ago

It’s not measuring usage in data-centers or as development or cloud virtual machines.

Big caveat.

oxff• 4 years ago

It's not a very good OS. I just use it because I dislike Windows 1*s more.

dm3192• 4 years ago

Still using Ubuntu here, it's become the boring choice I guess (especially as I'm using ubuntu-mate) - but I need it that way to get my work done. A lot of the froth around linux is enthusiasts distro-hopping and whatever is fashionable at the time. Bit unsure about the move to snaps as I've experienced performance and permissions issues, but that isn't a deal-breaker, and the benefits of having recent builds of apps on LTS is not to be overlooked either.

sliken3• 4 years ago

Same here, but looking to jump. Snaps seem pretty broken, had numerous issues, and forcing popular apps into snaps is annoying, like say firefox, thunderbird, etc. Sadly looks like ubuntu is doubling down on snaps in 22.04.

I'm not against containers in general, but am against snaps.

dm3192• 4 years ago

I think this was partly driven by Firefox, but Ubuntumate is certainly shipping with flatpak and another package manager (maybe appimage, I lose track).

bkuehl• 4 years ago

Snaps and the continuous issues with them was the main reason for me to leave. I'm very happy with Linux Mint now. I'll use Ubuntu on the server but never again on the desktop. I get what Snap was trying to accomplish, but it failed miserably IMHO.

thawaya3113• 4 years ago

The problem is that Ubuntu isn’t the boring choice. They keep making drastic changes without much notice.

For example, switching the default and recommended browser to snaps which breaks a whole bunch of extensions.

Or suddenly dropping Unity and switching to Gnome, which completely changed the workflow until Canonical bridged the gaps.

II2II• 4 years ago

When I used Ubuntu about 10 years ago, it was clear that they were pushing to make Linux more accessible. When I dropped by their website last week, it was clear that they were more interested in commercial clients. That's fine if that is where success lies for them. There are plenty of other options for Linux users.

I do hope that a clear replacement pops up soon. One of the big advantages of Ubuntu's dominance was the ability to suggest a Linux distribution to someone without them receiving a conflicting recommendation from someone else. (That, and I'm not going to suggest my distro of choice simply because it is not suitable for people who are new to Linux.)

rglullis3• 4 years ago

Pop!OS is becoming the beginner-friendly distro to recommend.

goodpoint• 4 years ago

The sources for those charts are very questionable. It's indeed difficult to measure desktop usage and most metrics are heavily biased due to vocal minorities.

rglullis3• 4 years ago

Anecdata, but with their push for snaps I moved away to NixOS on my personal computers and to debian on my servers...

tommiegannert• 4 years ago

Why not Nix on servers? Naively, I'd expect NixOS to make more sense on servers.

rglullis3• 4 years ago

Short answer: I have a lot more experience with terraform/ansible/docker than with nix and nixops. Maybe when nixops gets a bit more tractable I will go full nixos.

freedomben• 4 years ago

I'm both surprised and not surprised to see Fedora climbing. I'm not surprised, because it is IMHO one of the best (if not the best) distros, but I am surprised because I expected it to happen years ago (before I realized that "build it and they will come" is not true at all).

On the data center, many people I know who get to make the choice of which distro to run in prod make that choice based on what they know. i.e. if you run Fedora locally, really good chance you run RHEL or centos in data center. If you run Ubuntu locally, really good chance you run Ubuntu in the data center. I don't know how Arch will translate, but it will be interesting to see. I expect to start seeing the impact of the desktop numbers in the data center within a couple of years.

akvadrako2• 4 years ago

I've only become interested in Fedora recently due to the innovations that go into Silverblue.

It's just a better way to build a system and makes switching from a Debian based distro worth it.

Shadonototra• 4 years ago

moving to Gnome 3+ is what killed ubuntu imo

i loved Unity 7 desktop, it was the perfect mix between macOS and windows, i was hyped for Unity 8, going full QT and finally getting rid of gnome, when they announced moving to Gnome 3, i nuked my ubuntu partition the same day

people didn't believe me whenever i said "with this move it's the end of ubuntu", there we go, gnome drive away people

MattPalmer1086• 4 years ago

I also loved Unity - glad to meet one of the few others who are willing to admit it!

But I could live with gnome 3 with a few extensions. What made me move away from Ubuntu to PopOS was snap.

RappingBoomer• 4 years ago

a lot of desktop use of ubuntu ...but android tablets and phones are getting so powerful and cheap, why use a desktop PC at all?

sliken3• 4 years ago

Wanting to work on two 27" monitors is hard on tablets and phones.

rvieira• 4 years ago

I've been using other distros for more than 10 years on PCs (mostly Fedora).

By a twist of fate, Ubuntu is now the distro I use the most. The reason being that I had a bunch (well, three) of old Apple machines that I wanted to wipe-install Linux on, and Ubuntu was the only distro where everything worked out-of-the-box.

Perhaps I was doing something wrong with the others, but the Apple HW support is quite good.

anotherhue• 4 years ago

Ubuntu is consumer facing. Consumers like to click on things and tend not to do anything important. I am CLI happy and like to think I do important things. Ubuntu fights me in this regard.

I will never use anything other than NixOS again. And I say this as a 20 year FreeBSD advocate.

cookrn• 4 years ago

I’m still an Ubuntu user on a X230t laptop because the auxiliary buttons/switches, touch screen, and drawing pen work out of the box. I use Debian on other devices when possible.

Ubuntu market-share is in a nosedive

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