Putin is likely to invade Ukraine this winter

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1485241734925897728

by DrNuke • 4 years ago

14 4 4 years ago

King-Aaron• 4 years ago

Really hoping a diplomatic solution can be found here, otherwise it's going to be an appalling bloodbath

effie• 4 years ago

U.S. don't want to look weak and make concessions to Russia. If that persists, it will continue to increase the probability that Putin will act and invade, to prevent Ukraine in NATO once and for all, for moderate/low price of sanctions.

Everybody including Putin knows that NATO is divided on this and won't put its full weight behind Ukraine. When Putin is taking control of Ukraine, U.S. will boost its presence in Eastern Europe substantially but then may want to (and have to) talk to Russians again to establish some predictable environment.

If U.S. and war-hungry European states keep their insane stance, behaving as if Ukraine is somehow already in NATO, the result will be lots of suffering in Eastern Europe. It would be best for U.S and Europe to change strategy and let Russia and Ukraine deal with their problems themselves and maybe help in negotiations. Like Germany is trying to do.

pylua• 4 years ago

Insane stance ? A country gave up its nuclear weapons in exchange for peace , and is now going to be invaded ? The world should support Ukraine .

amai• 4 years ago

Believe it or not: Some people claim it will not happen before winter olympics, because a military invasion during olympics won't look good for Putin.

Putin is likely to invade Ukraine this winter

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