Top Scientists Just Ruled Out Best-Case Global Warming Scenarios

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-22/top-scientists-just-ruled-out-best-case-global-warming-scenarios

by yogthos • 6 years ago

30 16 6 years ago

They also ruled out the worst case scenario, but this doesn't sell equally well...

semaj1112• 6 years ago

It makes sense to phrase it like that when politics worldwilde neglected the issue presumably hoping for best case scenarios.

devcouvert2• 6 years ago

It makes sense to phrase it like that

No, it's lying by omission.

imtringued• 6 years ago

"Best case scenario" is a moving target when you do nothing.

goatinaboat• 6 years ago

It makes sense to phrase it like that when politics worldwilde neglected the issue presumably hoping for best case scenarios.

Constantly banging the drum of the worst case scenario has lead to doom fatigue. That is the only explanation for the current apathy.

devcouvert2• 6 years ago

They also ruled out the worst case scenario, but this doesn't sell equally well...

Fear sells better.

netsharc• 6 years ago

An imaginary doctor tells you: "You have between 2-10 years left to live."

A few months later: "Ah, we have an update, you have 4-8 years."

Yay?

solstice• 6 years ago

True but from what I understand of the matter (which isn't that much tbf), +2.3C is predicted to be already pretty fucking horrible, to say nothing of +3C...

pauljurczak2• 6 years ago

+3C still sounds much better than +4.5C, which was the upper bound mentioned there.

yogthos• 6 years ago

That doesn't make the scenarios we're headed for any less horrific.

semaj1112• 6 years ago

It makes sense to phrase it like that when politics worldwilde neglected the issue presumably hoping for best case scenarios.

credit_guy• 6 years ago

Which politics neglected the issue? On an almost daily basis I hear a new statement like "UK will ban all petrol and diesel cars by 2035" [1].

Sure, Trump withdrew the US from the Paris agreement, but individual states, like California, New York or Massachusetts still have a very strong environmental agenda. For example "California bans government purchase of gas vehicles" [2].

[1] https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-51366123

[2] https://www.truckinginfo.com/344909/california-bans-governme...

jbdigriz• 6 years ago

Saying this is asserting the "by any means necessary" doctrine whereby manipulation and misrepresentation are the first spots on the decent into outright propaganda and tyranny.

Why not disconnect your internet abs unplug from everything yourself if genuinely so concerned? At least prove your principled instead of just power hungry for control

azepoi• 6 years ago

I don't understand why these articles don't link or at least provide a full title of the paper.

The paper itself:

An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence, Sherwood et al., Reviews of Geophysics, 2020, doi: 10.1029/2019RG000678

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019...

preprint manuscript: https://climateextremes.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/WC...

another mainstream article on the subject https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/07/200722112648.h... > Four years of research confidently narrows range of 1.5°C-4.5°C down to 2.3°C-3.9°C

Top Scientists Just Ruled Out Best-Case Global Warming Scenarios

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