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In early December of 2019 with absolutely no indication that a new virus was being spread, the Chinese figured out that they had a) a new virus and b) they were able to identify the virus.

In this case the Chinese knew, in early December, they had a problem when they only had a handful of cases. HOW????

COVID presents like the flu, so there isn't a novel symptom to help them identify that something new is in play.

There wasn't a significant rise in cases or deaths. There couldn't be a significant rise in deaths because there weren't that many cases. A small cluster of flu cases escalating into pneumonia, and then death won't raise a red flag because it happens all the time. I've had multiple Chief Medial Officers tell me this.

With COVID presenting like the flu, and with so few cases the ONLY way they could know that a new virus was spreading was if they had prior knowledge. The only way they could get prior knowledge was because someone working at the lab got sick, and then people they came in contact with got sick.

If this really happened organically then it should have been spreading pretty damn fast, and because it presents like the flu it wouldn't have raised any eyebrows until either the case rates spiked or the death rates spiked. In the U.S. flu cases per year range from a low of 9.3M to a high of 45M and deaths of 12,000 up to 61,000.

I suspect that China sees the same fluctuations in yearly flu cases so localized spikes wouldn't have raised any eyebrows it wouldn't have gotten anyone's attention until hospitals started to get overwhelmed. But in early December they didn't have that many cases.

So how did they know?

Decriminalization is not the answer.

Legalization is the answer, it moves the money from the illegal market to the legal market. Instead of funding crime, and illegal activities, the money in the legal market creates jobs, money in the legal market is taxed, and tracked.

Another political article about how it's not possible that the Chinese were studying the virus and some underpaid lab tech screwed and and exposed himself and then did what humans always do, the tech tried to cover up the mistake.

Nobody has still explained how the Chinese knew they had a problem in early December when they only had a handful of cases, like less than 100 cases. This is the question that needs to be answered. Until this question is answered satisfactorily the lab leak is the most reasonable explanation.

The normal ways you detect a new virus is because:

a) you have novel symptoms, COVID presents as the flu and early on tests didn't exist. b) you have a statistically significant number of cases, early on the number of cases didn't exceed the seasonal variability of the flu. c) you have a statically significant number of deaths, early on the number of death's didn't exceed the seasonal variability of the flu.

When the Chinese knew they had a problem, there was NOTHING that would indicate anything out of the ordinary was taking place, so then how did the Chinese know they had a problem?

If the virus really jumped species in the wet market, the Chinese wouldn't have known they had a problem until either the cases or the death totals started to exceed the normal variability of the flu. If that had happened we wouldn't have know about COVID until Late Jan or early Feb, and then it would have been really, really ugly. But that's not what happened, the Chinese knew about it in early December. The only way they could have known is if they had prior knowledge.

Frankly the odds of a lab leak are much greater than a bat virus from a thousand miles away jumping across two species in a the Wuhan market.

$18 WI-C310 Sony Bluetooth earbuds and $49 Movo vxr10-pro shotgun microphone.

The earbuds are hardly noticeable, and the shotgun microphone can be kept off camera with outstanding audio and no concern of feedback.

It isn't just sugar, it's all the simple carbs that get turned into sugar, such as breads, pasta, rice, cereals, potato chips, popcorn, milk, rice milk, etc once digested.

Whole grain bread and pasta's don't have enough fiber to really change their glycemic index, even whole grain bread has a worse glycemic index than Coke.

It's no wonder that they expect that 60% of all Americans will be obese by 2030. Insulin, it's a helluva of thing.

Not in November when the Chinese first discovered the virus.

Not enough, and not in November when the Chinese first discovered the cases.

flu cases year to year have a very wide variety. In the U.S. the low number of cases one year was 16M two years later it was 68 Million cases.

What I find extraordinary is that none of the developers who play the game never bothered to fix this problem.

If I was a developer at Rockstar and played this game I would have have spent my own time to fix this problem just so that I didn't need to sit around and wait every time I played the game.

Publicly available software suffers from the fact that millions and millions of people can poke and prod at the software in ways that the manufacture can't due to resource and time constraints driven by the need to generate revenue.

Microsoft runs their software through multiple code scanners looking for weakneses. Developers do unit testing, and then there is acceptance testing. Microsoft conducts internal penetration tests on their software. Microsoft hires 3rd parties to conduct penetration tests on their software. Large corporations conduct internal penetration tests on Exchange, and hire 3rd party companies to conduct penetration tests on Exchange, just to be sure. Governments conduct penetration tests on Exchange.

A lot of people have been poking at Exchange for years, and years, and years, and this bug was just discovered, and it's been present in the code base for at least 7 years, I'd say that's pretty damn good, it seems like a hardened product to me, not a slipshod product as you suggest.

You are so funny. First you complain that Microsoft has no incentive to deliver quality software, then you complain that they can't delivery quality software quickly.

I guess they would have been better off not bother to conduct all the testing necessary to ensure that they didn't fix one problem and create two more.

why don't you try it out and report back?

The cholesterol theory doesn't hold water.

The claim is that cholesterol is so sticky that is clogs up the largest arteries of the body, is almost laughable.

If cholesterol is as truly sticky as claimed then it should be clogging up the tiny capillary vessels in the lungs, but it doesn't do that.

Linus Pauling discovered the basis for heart disease, but his theory has been 'discredited' by scientists who have bought and paid for by big pharma.

I'm not a snarky person ever, but seriously, is the the best that you are able to contribute?

I'm sure that if we would 'relax' bioethics standards we could make faster progress.

So they should fund all research for all time?

No, that's not reasonable. I know, they should just fund the research that will eventually be proven to be ground breaking. Seems pretty straight forward. Of course they are dependent on the research at Penn for the crystal ball.

I've been saying it was an accidental release since mid December of last year.

Everyone is focused on the genetics of the virus, but honestly that doesn't really tell us anything about how it was introduced into the human population. Frankly someone could have been legitimately studying the virus which was was circulating naturally in the bat community, with zero intention of trying to weaponize the virus, but anyone with access could have easily stolen some of the virus and deliberately infected themselves or someone else.

I read an article on December 13 or 14 of 2019 about a 20 cases of a "strange new flu" circulating in Wuhan. When the Chinese publicly admitted they had a problem at the end of December, they said they only had a handful of cases.

Finding 20 cases of a 'new flu' that has the same symptoms as the regular flu is impossible, there wasn't a test available for months, so the Chinese would have had no way to identify a 'new flu' at the time of infection.

There is only 3 ways for the health officials to know they have a 'new flu' circulating based on cases:

1) There are significantly more cases of the flu circulating than during a peak year. 2) There are significantly more flu deaths relative to the number of patients. 3) The cases have significantly different symptoms than the regular flu.

None of these situation was present for Wuhan during the early days of the virus. So that means the Chinese needed some other way to identify that they had a new flu circulating, and identify it with so few cases. Even when the COVID19 was peaking in China they still didn't have enough cases that would be significantly higher than the number of flu cases they would have during the same period.

A deliberate release or an accidental lab release is the only real way to know that a 'new flu' is circulating, when there are so few cases, and symptoms that are identical to the flu.

I believe the Chinese were studying the virus, and then due to an accident, or just sloppy lab work, even in China the lab techs are overworked and underpaid, someone got infected. Knowing human nature, the person who had the accident or was sloppy tried to cover up what happened, because they didn't want to lose their job. Unfortunately the person was infected, and maybe became ill, they also spread the infection into the community. At some point the person who originally got infected was forced to admit their mistake, either because they were sick, or because people they knew were getting sick, and trying to cover what happened became impossible.

Once the Chinese government learned of the accident/sloppy lab work it would be really easy to do contact tracing and identify a handful of cases, it would also be really easy to tell the world that that virus started in the wet market, because those markets have already been idenified as a potential risk for a pandemic level virus.

If you disagree with my opinion, that's fine but please explain how the Chinese could possibly know they had a new virus/flu circulating, with almost no data, cases, deaths, or novel symptoms. They knew because it was a accidental lab release, that's how they knew.

Dr. Fredirick Klenner was curing polio with intravenous sodium ascorbate, in the 1930's.

https://isom.ca/profile/frederick-klenner/

Clinical Guide to the Use of Vitamin C http://vitaminc.co.nz/pdf/CLINICAL-GUIDE-TO-THE-USE-OF-VITAM...

Other papers published by Dr. Klenner. https://www.mv.helsinki.fi/home/hemila/klenner.htm

Depending on skin type but people exposed to 30 minutes of sun at noon produces between 10,0000 and 20,000 IU of Vitamin D3. As the angle of the sun lowers the UV rays get filtered by the atmosphere, which is why in winter you can't make Vitamin D if you are too far away from the equator.

I'm willing to bet that if the body produces that much Vitamin D3 that it's probably safe to take that much as a supplement.

If they couldn't breakup Microsoft they have no chance of breaking up Google. A waste of time and effort.

I don't think we've lost our way, I think there are a number of very wealthy individuals, and countries working hard to re-route everyone.

Dunning-Kruger gets thrown around a lot, but in this case it's spot on.

David Dunning - "If you're incompetent, you can't know you're incompetent ... The skills you need to produce a right answer are exactly the skills you need to recognize what a right answer is."

These are dogs chasing cars with the goal of driving the car, once they catch it.

Luckily most people aren't very motivated, self directed or willing to risk everything. Of course these guys don't really understand what they've put at risk.

What I want explained to me is why the right, and even the middle of the road right seems like they've lost their minds. They are willing to support and ignore the really crazy far right, like it's normal.

Is it just their racism finally bubbling to the surface after being artificially suppressed all these years? I don't just believe that they've been brainwashed by the right-wing media, I think there needs to be something else under the surface that makes the susceptible, and I think it's racism. Am I wrong?

I read that article 3 times and I'm still not sure exactly what the point was. It was a just a rambling jumble of disconnected thoughts.

So a lion in a cage is equivalent to a human working for a boss? Yeah, OK.

I've been at 5 startups and 3 very large companies. I've had more freedom at the large companies, granted I was running sub-divisions at the big companies, but I still had more freedom.

I'm currently at a startup and between the CEO, the Chairman, and the other BOD members I feel like I'm in a cage wearing a tracking device, even though I'm in a cage. It's Saturday and I'm taking a break from working to browse through HN, full day today, full day tomorrow, wash, rinse, repeat, same as it's been for the last 2 years.

I'm so glad I'm at a startup so that I can work like I'm meant to work.

My take away is that the tax system needs to be radically simplified.

Eliminate Capital Gains tax, all income is taxed as income.

All tax rates are lowered the effective tax paid for each tax bracket.

All deductions are eliminated except for primary residence.

Two new brackets are created:

2M 54% tax rate 10M 70% tax rate.

I think it's going to be much, much higher.

It's easy to make decision for other peoples lives without consequences for yourself.

They don't get lazy.

Think of it like a career change at age 42.

Imagine being married with a couple of children and at 42 you tell your wife that you are going to spend all of your free time, and a lot of your money working on becoming a lawyer. You want to do this because you think your current career is topped out and you want to be prepared for the future. In 6-8 years you'll be ready for the career change, but you'll need to start at the bottom of the laywer pool and work your way back up, your expenses won't change, nor will your obligations, just your income, and it will go down substantially.

I worked in a startup and we had a product that cost $1k per seat and it was full featured and slick as hell, but we started getting competition from a company that was selling a bare bones product for $99 a seat. Our customers really liked their price, but they wanted our features, in the end price won and we started losing business to the competitor.

Because of my company we actually legitimatized a market for an certain type of after market computer cards, we spent a ton of time and money helping to build the surrounding ecosystem so that our product could have a market. Once we invested all the money, the competitor came along and could ride the ecosystem we built, but we still needed to cover all of our costs, hence our high price.

I spent a ton of time arguing with the BOD about pricing and volumes, but they had financial models they had to meet and an $89 product had no place, luckily for us we got acquired because of our expertise and the work that we did to create the market. If we hadn't been acquired we would have been overrun by our competitor, and it had noting to do with lazy.

I was born not to sleep. Newborns typically sleep 22-23 hours a day. I was sleeping for 1-2 hours. I almost destroyed my family. If you have children imagine your child only sleeping 1-2 hours day.

From birth until I was about 12 I lived on 1-3 hours sleep a day, but I slept every day.

When I hit puberty I started having days and days of no sleep, my record is 11 days without sleeping I was 15. From 14 until my mid 50's my routine was get 2-3 hours of sleep, then be awake for a 3-8 days, then get 2-3 hours of sleep, then be awake for 3-8 days, wash rinse repeat, over and over again.

I once was working a trade show setup in my late 40's, round the clock prep, my company had 3 shifts of people doing all the prep work, I was there for all 5 days every shift. That's when my co-workers realized that I was actually awake, most people think that I was sleeping and didn't know it, or get cat naps, lied etc. Because nobody can even consider being awake that long but the thing is that when I get sleepy I actually fall asleep, it just rarely happens and when it does happen, it doesn't last very long. Usually I'm just awake.

Yes I went in for sleep studies but I needed to be wired up at all times, and it's a real drag being wired up and then trying to sit in a room for 6 days until I get sleepy. I did it twice, once for 5 days another time it was 4 days and both times I didn't fall asleep what they learned is that the normal cycles that people go through to fall asleep didn't happen for me. When I die they can try examining my body to see if they can figure it out.

When I was in my mid fifties I found a iphone app called BrainWave is a Binaural beats program that will actually allow me to sleep on nearly a daily basis. It's been a godsend, because being awake all the time really can wear you out intellectually, emotionally, and spiritually.

As a technologist I'm surprised that you need this processed explained to you.

It's progressive improvement. It's trial and error, without this process we'd never ever make progress.

I've been a nix guy since 1983. Worked for a major nix player, wrote end user application software on the platform, built chip design software on the platform, wrote device drivers for all kinds of hardware, system admin for years and years, etc. etc. I'm not some newb who just fell off the truck.

In many way *nix is still stuck in 1983 because it's a craftsman's platform, which is why there 10,000 distros, oops 10,001, no 10,002, oh 10,003, ugh! Linux is great on servers, because all servers require craftsman for the care and feeding, and Linux is so much better than Windows in that regard.

I gave up my Linux machines because I'm no longer interested in being my own sys admin. Frankly I was done being my own sys admin back in the 90's but I felt the need to keep my propeller spinning, and stay true to my geek roots.

In 2008 I bought a Mac Pro 8 core machine, and that's still kicking, my son uses it for Machine Learning as part of his graduate program, and it's just as fast now as when I first bought it. It was left behind with the last OS upgrade, but it will work just fine for another 4 or 5 years on the old OS.

In 2009 I still had a Linux laptop, but it was painful back then. With SnowLeopard it became easier to create an maintain a Hackintosh then it was to manage a Linux laptop I was off Linux for good.

For a hobbyist(craftsman) Linux is great, for a server that needs craftsman, Linux is great, for a consumer, buy a Mac.

I would have been a great idea on December 30th.