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The next decade will be the decade of survelliance. Nearly dust size receivers will cost nothing and will be generously used everywhere: from concrete blocks to clothes. The US will come up with a clever use case so people will buy this themselves (finding a matching pair of socks will finally become a trackable problem, thanks to receivers in all socks), while authoritarian countries will implant these chips in lieu of passports and credit cards. Paired with 5G, this will be a perfect always online monitoring system.

I don't think there will be any notable advancements in science: we won't create AI, we won't cure cancer and we won't switch to electric cars.

Regarding escalation of school shootings, it seems plausible, but only because (here is an unpopular opinion that will get 20 downvotes) the rich want to disarm the poor and use school/kids/safety as an excuse. And that's understandable: if I was rich enough to afford private schools for my kids in a classy neighborhood, I'd want to keep weirdos with guns far from my family, while at the same time Id have 24/7 former-marines guards armed with full auto weapons.

His plan was to get into big politics and an exec role was a way to find his campaign. 10 years is a totally believable planning horizon. I doubt he cares much about the petty issues with his former boss, but I'm sure he'll flex on them in the future.

Chances are, he (Ross) has outplayed the senior execs at Google. He was in the CA governor's team before and thus knew about the new trend to regulate tech, so he went to Google to build some wealth for his political campaign, skillfully played the victim's role, and precisely before the 2020 elections got himself fired for being too concerned with human rights. His next step will be to get into the Senate, make it clear to the new president that their views are aligned, acquire an even more powerful position and then come back to the Google execs who talked down to him.

So the high-level sociopaths have taken over to increase profits at any cost, and Ross has chosen to leave for big politics and use the moment to show his principled approach. P.S. everybody should read the gervais principle book: it's 101 of the corp politics.

They aren't. It's just a very coarse point where to stop.

Afaik, a union can tell you what you can and cannot do, while I only want a team of well funded lawyers to change some laws. And the u word attracts unnecessary attention. Let's call it a club, actually.

We need a stronger law: any employee should be able to choose how many hours or days per week to work AND work for any other company at the same time (NDA applies, but non compete bs doesn't). Execs do this all the time: they can be on boards in multiple companies, run other companies, while possessing material information about them all.

The way I see it's working is the total comp negotiation goes as usual, but the employer isn't allowed to ask how much time the employee indends to work and whether one works for other companies. The salary and other comp is paid bi weekly as usual, but is pro rated to the number of hours or days worked. All the machinery is already in place: big corps have very detailed per minutes compensation for vacations, various on call duties and so on.

This will be strictly better for the IRS, because more competition means more taxes, but much worse for the dividend seeking investors.

Obviously, this will be a decade long legal battle with tens of millions in expenses, and it can't be done without a full time team of motivated and very expensive lawyers. However if 100k engineers spend 1k/year as membership fees, this organization will have a 100m/year budget and can keep courts busy forever.

That's why we need lawyers on a payroll that would figure out all the details.

Study calculus, from the definition of real numbers and to taking complex integrals via residuals; then study linear algebra to some theorems about eigenvectors. 1 month total, assuming you're somewhat talented and determined to spend 12 hours a day learning proofs of boring theorems. After that you'll realise that most of the ML papers out there are just ad-hoc composed matrix multiplications with some formulas used as fillers. At that point I think it's more useful to learn what ML models work in practice (although nobody will be able to explain why they work, including the authors) and mix this practical knowledge with the math theory to develop good intuition.

I'd compare ML with weather models: we understand physics driving individual particles, we understand the high level diff equations, but as complexity builds up, we have to resort to intuition to develop at least somewhat working weather models.

Good for them. As for the tech workers, they need something like a guild with membership fees and staff lawyers that would sue the state for allowing binding arbitration and non compete agreements (i.e. do what California did).

My hunch is that 1on1 is time when a manager tries to build a working mental model of his/her report: the manager tried to use empathy to read the employee.

Why can't you do it under lsd? Is it the skill to think is somehow disabled or it's just a flood of distracting events that make it hard to stay focused?

There is a simpler explanation. Assuming our world is discrete, like a mathematical graph, every world state has one or a few next possible states. If we imagine all possible states from past and future linked together by causality links as a huge mathematical graph, any two states have a shortest path between them. The length of this path is what we perceive as time or as the speed of light. Same idea applies to chess: there is large, but finite, number of chess board states and they are linked by moves allowed by the chess rules; the number of moves on the shortest path connecting two positions is what we'd call the speed of light in chess.

In its current form, ccpa is useless. The companies will just demand all personal data for any purpose or deny access.

The latter. The 4th volume of lamrim (by tsong-kha-pa) is a good summary with references to other books. That volume has been translated into English and us called "discerning the real" or something like that.

Tsongkhapa gives a reference to a more detailed "manual" called "the 10 levels of sravakas", but that book hasn't been translated, although Max Muller made some initial sketches.

Sounds like a very well put summary of lamrim. The book also tells how to break the loop: learn to focus thoughts, understand the concept of emptiness, analyze this concept with laser focused attention. So I've been wondering what happens when someone on lsd enters this highly-focused mode and directs attention at the concept of emptiness.

There is also evidence that broken bones become stronger and it's especially visible in martial arts practicioners who regularly break and restore bones at microscopic level.

Even though this is true, I wouldn't advice anyone to break bones: the US hospitals are really good at emptying pockets.

May I ask you, how much it costs to buy a place within 2 miles from your office? I bet, it's a solid seven figure number and at that point your argument is like complaining about how hard it's to switch from Bentley to RR.

The only problem with biking is that the land surface area is 2 dimensional and thus grows too slowly to accommodate everyone :/ but if someone buys me a reasonable place within biking distance then sure, I would sign a contract that obligates me to bike at least 75% of my work days (we can negotiate a different number) as long as I live at that place.

The cynical me hints that "for the kids" is just a nice way to say "I need an option for 50% that I get to execute, should I leave our startup." With this logic, the price of the house doesn't matter.

They want independence from the US, but they won't survive in open waters without the US warships. Otherwise, if this island has any value at all, it'll attract Mexican cartels or Russian mafia or whatever else is floating in the international waters these days.

A solution could be to let engineers work for multiple companies at once and laws to prevent employers from penalizing such behaviour.

My personal controversial opinion is that life doesn't work like that half million people math. In reality, one either can meet a billionaire with very little effort, or won't meet one regardless of effort. Another controversial opinion: that ability to get the desired results with little effort is something that needs to be earned, it's not a casino.

Many comments here about skethcy startups and for good reasons. But isn't the solution obvious? Allow software developers to work for multiple companies at a time: 10-20, whatever. Just like investors diversify the risks by investing into many, often competing, startups, employees could also work for many companies.

HN could implement an interview style vetting. A new post is shown to a N interviewers who vote yes/no. The stddev is sqrt of number of votes. Once the number of upvotes crosses the 95 tile, the post is admitted. Once the number of downvotes crosses the 95 tile, the post is rejected. Otherwise the post stays in the undecided area until it expires.

What stops Russia or China to send their troops there?

Does this clause have any teeth?

If I want to work on OSS in my spare time, I'll do so under a pseudonym and won't bother to ask for permissions. If I choose to make a new AGPLv3 project on GitHub, I'll just do so. And if some lawyers decide to nail me, good luck.

But they are created of thin air. Govs print more money to keep up with population and productivity growth. How these new money are distributed is a different question. The only thing that makes these money worth anything is a general consensus to accept them for some real work. And that consensus is driven by the desire to own things which is fueled up by the media. If everybody chooses to become a monk, these billions won't be worth anything. Overall, riding this wave of human greed isn't a bad thing: all these things around us, built by capitalism, allow us to have at least a few hours of free time per day. Before that people had to work 5am - 11pm to grow and hunt food.

+1 for the Gervais principle. It's a short book that makes you depressed for a week, but also makes it very clear why our societies work this way. The book doesn't say anything new, but it explains with examples a few simple facts about us.

However, the Gervais principle book is a very shallow version of lamrim that aims at explaining how the real world works. It also puts people into 3 categories: the clueless majority driven by forces, the small minority that's trying to escape these forces and the those who've largely escaped them and are now free. The sociopaths from the gervais principle are on the right track in general, but they make a common mistake on this path that lamrim discussed at length and so they slide into the nihilism dead end.