rxtexit

Of course you get down voted.So many delusional people on this forum that believe themselves to be experts in all domains because they get well paid to write javascript.

We will just forget that von Neumann advocated for nuclear first strike based on game theory.

Not that far, I think this is Meta Orion but it is still a little bit early. https://www.meta.com/emerging-tech/orion/

Without irony, I actually find the South China Morning Post probably the most unbiased, straight on US news.

It also acts as a filter for important US events since they aren't motivated to put out 24/7 bullshit like US based news.

Major US news organizations, be it right or left leaning are just complete trash. Not much higher standards than the National Enquirer at the grocery check out line.

I can't blame the news organizations though since news/politics have become a type of dominate team sport for entertainment in the US in the last decade. Really only second in popularity to the NFL.

I think part of the problem is that people have the wrong mental models currently.

I am a non-software engineer and I fully expect someday to be a professional "vibe coder". It will be within a domain though and not a generalist like a real software engineer.

I think "vibe coding" in this context will have a type of relationship to software engineering the way excel has a relationship to the professional mathematician.

The knocks on "vibe coding" by software engineers are like a mathematician shitting on Excel for not being able to do symbolic manipulation.

It is not wrong but missing the forest for the trees.

To me, it is just obviously wrong. Reality is not reasonable and it is actually unreasonable that we would even expect reality to be reasonable.

Our reason is a highly flawed instrument that we have pushed far past what it was designed for.

We have done an amazing job though as these social machines that live in various collective social delusions.

Seeing these collective delusions and the unreasonableness of reality is exactly the point of taking psychedelics.

Forget LSD, ask anyone who has taken salvia divinorum to describe how unreasonable reality can be lol.

Crying of Lot 49 is wonderful and I am not really a big fiction fan.

I will have to give Vineland and Inherent Vice a shot. Gravity's Rainbow is just a lost cause for me with the size let alone the content.

I find this perspective just incredibly dull.

As if the measure of interesting is the attention of trash, click bait journalists.

To me, it is why most people and places have become increasingly dull and monotone over my lifetime.

It is like we have developed a society of dull, shitty stage actors, constantly trying to perform 24/7 but there is no audience other than all the other shitty stage actors.

They would certainly go for more than that. Ross didn't paint anything I find even remotely interesting but for $1k, I would buy 20 or 30 Bob Ross paintings right now and sit on them too.

I can't imagine them selling for much less than $20k a painting with a name that everyone knows.

I am full remote for a very small, non-software business but I think even for us we are probably losing productivity vs the office.

I think child care is a big driver but no one can come out and say this.

I am more productive remote but I wouldn't be if I was also baby sitting a 5 year old while working. A big reason I am more productive is living alone and not being distracted.

A company can't demand a remote worker pay for child care so the kid isn't at home like in an office.

I also think my increase in productivity doesn't offset the office slackers who are doing basically nothing at home. I think the office can squeeze some productivity out of the slackers while it is a lost cause remote.

In the aggregate, I think for most companies it has to be a net loss of productivity to be 100% remote.

While it is a huge increase in my general well being and happiness, the highly productive workers are going to be highly productive either way and not that much more productive remote. It is everyone else that causes remote to not work as well at the margin. Then if a competitor does RTO, the company almost has to hedge and RTO as well.

He was basically a complete loser during his lifetime is my understanding.

I believe part of his clothing was because he was totally broke. A broke surrealist eccentric alcoholic who's music was largely rejected for being overly simplistic during his lifetime is the picture I get of him.

I would also add Satie's Nocturnes are just as good and just as beautiful.

Zappa listed his influences on Freak Out. I love Satie but don't really hear him in Zappa's music.

Pamela Zarubica, Art Laboe, Hal Zeiger, Jim Guercio, Henry Vestine, Alice Stewart, Lillian Rudolph, Mark Cheka, Herb Cohen, Tom Wilson, Fyllis, Lucille, Jack Tillar, Don Cerveris, Vic Mortenson, Terry Kirkman, Frankie Lee Simms, Sonny Boy Williamson, Buddy Guy, Albert Collins, Little Walter, Maurice Ravel, Joe Polly, Don & Dewey, Lee Zagon, Steve Mann, Skip Diamond, Silvestre Revueltas, Arnold Schoenberg, Joe Perrino, Jerry Hillberg, Donna #1, Donna #2, Loeb & Leopold, Sacco & Vanzetti, Gene & Eunice, Robert Craft, Carl Greenhouse, Dave Aerni, Bob Keene, Nick Venet, Jim Economides, Alvis Haba, Leo Ornstein, Elvis Presley, Barry McGuire, Don Julian, Tiny Tim, Cordwainer Smith, Theodore Sturgeon, Robert Scheckley, Randy De Wees, Dick Barber, Eberhard Kronhausen, Yves Tanguy, Lenny Bruce, Ravi Shankar, Chatur Lal, N.C. Mullick, Jules Feiffer, The Bokelmans, Floyd, Ernie Tosi, Shirley Eiler, Mr. Ballard, Brian Epstein, David Crosby, Herman Rudin, Joe De Santis, Bruce Gordon, Frank DeCova, Roland Kirk, Wolfman Jack, Snuff Garrett, Molly Bee, Ernie Freeman, Lew Irwin, Fred C. Dobbs, John Tasker Howard, Cecil Forsythe, Charles Brown, James Joyce, George Di Carl, Diane Baker, Melvin Belli, Bulent Arel, Maurice Kagel, Leonard Allen, Dr. Brossman, Jerry Murnane, Uncle Ed, The Hypnotist, Animal Huxley, Salvador Dali, Vincent Persichetti, Carol, Sabicas, Charles Middleton, Lance Reardon, Sabu, J. Arthur Rank, Luigi Nono, Sylvia Brigham, Steffie, Avedis Zildjian, Little Arthur Matthews, Bob Dylan, Joan Baez, Bill Stulla, Rosemarie De Camp, Bobby Jamieson, B. Mitchell Reed, Cordy, Ruthie, Joyce, Jesse Kaye, Phil Spector, Evy, Lynn Johnson, Pete, Leonard Gorrzyca, Don Vliet, Pepper, Lauren, Charles Mingus, Pierre Boulez, Anton Webern, Igor Stravinsky, Willie Dixon, Guitar Slim, Edgar Varese, Muddy Waters, Howlin’ Wolf, Elmer Valentine, Phil Tanzini, John Beck, Mario, Bob Reiner, Eric Dolphy, Bram Stoker, Cecil Taylor, Bill Evans, Johnny Otis, Preston Love, Slim Harpo, Karl Kohn, Bob Narciso, Johnny Guitar Watson, Tim Sullivan, Sonny Tufts, John Wayne, Clarence Gatemouth Brown, Junior Madeo, Jeff Harris, Bobby Atler, Daddy-O Curtis Crump, Karlheinz Stockhausen, Joe Huston, Chuck Higgins, Big Jay McNeely, Jim Sherwood, Sandy Schwanekamp, Nadine Reyes, Kaye Sherman, Donald Woods, Richard Berry, Huggy Boy, Vernon Greene, Hunter Hancock, Willie Mae Thornton, Lightnin’ Slim, Roger Huntington Sessions, Charles Ives, Lawrence Ferlinghetti, Terry Wimberly, Johnny Franklin, Teddy Bunn, Jeepers, Paul Buff.

Avril 14th is absolutely lovely but I think even Richard would probably say it is a Satie ripoff.

I think they can make abstract links across domains.

Like the prompt "How can a simplicial complex be used in the creation of black metal guitar music?" https://chatgpt.com/share/684d52c0-bffc-8004-84ac-95d55f7bdc...

It is really more of a value judgement of the utility of the answer to a human.

Some kind of automated discovery across all domain pairs for something that a human finds utility in the answer seems almost like the definition of an intractable problem.

Superintelligence just seems like marketing to me in this context. As if AGI is so 2024.

Exactly, the train has already left the station.

I think Rick Rubin has it right that this is a kind of "punk" coding and I think vibe coding is actually a good term in that regard.

This rings especially true for me as a non-software engineer that took decades to appreciate punk music. I grew up on "virtuoso" shred guitar music and jazz. "A real musician spends hours a day in the woodshed learning their craft. Not just anyone can pick up a guitar and start making music."

I think the analogy also works because the virtuoso had a huge leg up on the untrained musician if they also decided to make simpler music.

On a longer time frame with the analogy, the next fed chairman obviously will not have a degree in clarinet from Juilliard like 99 year old Alan Greenspan.

It isn't true, it is obvious bullshit.

It is like making the argument that the most accurate view of life is doing nothing because we are all going to die anyway.

I just got a quest 3 a few months ago. The quest 3 itself is amazing but I feel like they already have given up on the "metaverse".

It is pretty shocking how little there is inside Horizon. There isn't even that many people ever using it.

What is most strange to me is the experience on the Quest 3 is absolutely incredible. Whatever they set out to do with the headset, mission accomplished. Most the Horizon Worlds though feel like uninspired weekend projects.

It isn't a fair test at this point though because the stupidity of the average human would be too obvious.

How can you not see that if everyone gets X amount of UBI, the cost of everything goes up until you can no longer live on X.

It is such basic economics I just can't believe we even have these debates.

It is something I would have thought of when I lived with my parents as a clueless teenager.

If everyone gets $13k a year the price of everything will go up until people will no longer be able to live on $13k a year. Then you have to raise the UBI amount and then raise even more money by the government. Repeat.

To me, it is a non-starter unless you also had a massive housing build out to drive the cost of housing/rent down. We can't do that now though so that is also a non-starter.

Then even if you did massively build out housing, most the UBI will still be captured by rent/housing as some areas will become extremely low status and people will use the UBI to move to higher status areas.

All UBI really does if everyone gets it is change what $0 means. Not to mention, if you replace what people are getting currently from the government with UBI they are getting totally fucked. People on disability would get completely fucked since they are getting a basic income now but even though the UBI would be more in total, that will just purchase much less if everyone is getting the same amount.

It is a beyond stupid argument. What is imprecise is not counting calories at all. It is so easy to fool yourself and think you are eating 30% less calories than you really are. You also can get an idea of your micro nutrient breakdown and what you might be lacking.

It is a stupid argument.

The choice is between the mafia or this. This is better than the mafia.

Any other argument is basically utopian.

I love mafia history though so I think many people just don't understand how powerful the mafia was in 20th century America.

Of course, it wouldn't be the Italians this time. It would be the Mexicans. A horrific thought.

The copium is I think many people got comfortable post financial crisis with nothing much changing or happening. I think many people really liked a decade stretch with not much more than web framework updates and smart phone versioning.

We are just back on track.

I just read Oracular Programming: A Modular Foundation for Building LLM-Enabled Software the other day.

We don't even have a new paradigm yet. I would be shocked that in 10 years I don't look back at this time of writing a prompt into a chatbot and then pasting the code into an IDE as completely comical.

The most shocking thing to me is we are right back on track to what I would have expected in 2000 for 2025. In 2019 those expectations seemed like science fiction delusions after nothing happening for so long.

My guess would be this is just nonsense.

No one has an eating too much protein problem. The average person has a sitting on their ass problem that leads to all kinds of health issues, especially when combined with a too many calorie problem.

There is absolutely no evidence that long term high protein consumption leads to these things.

I think it is that the alternate paths are just so easy to romanticize.

I have been doing this lately with how maybe I should have went into the military after high school.

Of course, the romanticized version doesn't include losing a limb in Afghanistan.

It just easy to take the good fortune that did happen for granted.

IMO this is exactly the wrong mental model.

You can't hammer a nail a 1000 times and pick the best hammered nail.

You can have the hammer iterating over the structure 24/7, finding imperfections in previous hammered nails.

This is imposing arbitrary constraints on the model and that when you give a human just a hammer, they tend to start to view everything like a nail.

People have no imagination either.

This is all fine now.

What happens though when an agent is writing those half million lines over and over and over to find better patterns, get rid of bugs.

Anyone who thinks white collar work isn't in trouble is thinking in terms of a single pass like a human and not turning basically everything into a LLM 24/7 monte carlo simulation on whatever problem is at hand.

I know some women that have some issues with men in general, largely and understandably from childhood abuse.

They express this though with dissociation from men when possible.

They aren't going to harass men online, quite the opposite.

It just seems like misogyny is vastly easier to study than misandry. These concepts are so asymetric that I am not sure misandry is even a good characterization of the process.

I went to a state school and would never even get in now.

Stanford has a problem but I was never going to get into a school that the prestige matters. This just doesn't matter for the vast majority of students.

In the long run, the state school problem is easily fixed by an AI first, ultra low tuition, accredited option.

I actually just looked at my state school thinking of going back in my 50s but the tuition makes it a complete non-starter.

I just think of how cheap we could do an AI first class with 1 or 2 in person, controlled exams like any license exam that cheating is just not going to be an issue.

The prestigious schools have a much more difficult problem but there are pretty simple ways to have in person exams that most people are not going to cheat on.

I use to think this but no one I have read believes data is the problem.

Amodei explains that if data, model size and compute scale up linearly, then the reaction happens.

I don't understand why data wouldn't be a problem but it seems like if it was, we would have ran into this problem already and it has already been overcome with synthetic data.