ploika

Logit is log odds, not log probability: logit(p) = log(p / 1 - p)

Some decision tree algorithms use it to decide what variable to split on when creating new branches.

Not necessarily. I don't know about other countries, but I remember there being a campaign here in Ireland (with one of the highest rates of cystic fibrosis in the world) to get Orkambi covered under the Drug Payment Scheme when it was new.

Opinion columns are not the same as editorials. But anyway, the Financial Times is well able to publish pieces that say "this currently profitable endeavour will blow up in everyone's faces". It's a serious newspaper.

HN is social media.

I can't justify it - it's pure preference and opinion, irrationally held. A big part of it is probably that type of programming I generally need to do is closer to using an overgrown calculator (with DataFrames) than doing proper Software Development to build a thing.

I much prefer having the code over _here_, and then having the results in a separate pane over _there_. Jupyter style mixing of inputs and outputs tends to confuse me, and in my hands gets very messy very quickly.

The slides in this light hearted talk from JupyterCon in 2018 probably give a better explanation than I could.

https://conferences.oreilly.com/jupyter/jup-ny/public/schedu...

I also primarily write ML-focused Python. For me, having originally learned R and C at the same time, nothing has ever surpassed RStudio as a dev environment. For the past several years my preferred setup has been tmux and Vim with vim-slime in one pane and IPython in the other.

(Personally, and speaking only for myself, I hate Jupyter notebooks with a burning passion. I think they are one of the worst things ever to have happened to software development, and definitely the worst thing ever to have happened to ML/data science.)

Bit of a tangent maybe, but according to some expert I heard on the radio this morning, it's a submersible and not a submarine precisely because the vehicle is so totally dependant on the support ship. That includes everything from communication to getting in and out.

Surely you don't consider your grandparents' childhoods to be "eternity" ago.

It's not just about the USA. Twitter has to follow the law wherever it operates. The way the company went about announcing redundancies in the Dublin office could well fall foul of Irish employment law (IANAL etc), and people have legitimate cause for annoyance if Musk feels he's rich and powerful enough to get away with doing it anyway.

My GP has extra qualifications hanging on the wall for things like minor surgery, ear syringing, that kind of thing. Others near me would mention things like asthma treatment on the website. Beyond that kind of stuff you're not really dealing with General Practice anymore.

Genetics and psychology in particular seem way too specialised for a GP to be able to offer in any serious way. It's their job (for better or for worse) to refer you to the specialists once you need/want something outside of what a GP generally offers.

The EEC became the EU in 1993.

Scientists aren't a monolith though. There few better career boosts than proving everyone else wrong, and the satisfaction of poaching work off a competitor who messed up isn't restricted to any one industry. Research into dangerous viruses isn't going to stop, no matter what happened in Wuhan, and it's far from the only risky work going on in labs around the world anyway.

Whatever about the strength of the natural origin theory, the idea that there's a conspiracy of silence from all the scientists in the world (including ones who would love to give the Chinese authorities a black eye) just doesn't seem plausible. You said it yourself - all it takes is a single dissenter to bury a paper.

You can (almost) always buy CDs and rip them. I'd be mildly surprised if an artist was selling music without either a presence on Bandcamp or a store on their own website that you could download from.

I'm certain I've bought a handful of albums from Amazon and Google over the years that I've put onto various phones and MP3 players. Is that not possible anymore?

With Joyce it also helps if you're familiar with Dublin city accents.

"Price to Entice" is a very real thing where I live. It's basically a way of getting your listing seen by more people, and increasing the chances of a bidding war pushing up the final sales price.

I think cooking, and food in general, is a great one. There's endless creativity and depth in it.

Exploring tastes from a cuisine/culture you're not that familiar with; figuring out what combinations of flavours do and don't work together; using new "tools" with stuff you're already used to eating (wok versus slow cooker versus pressure cooker versus grill versus barbecue...); experimenting with fermenting; pairing dishes with wine or cheese or whatever. The list goes on.

It's one of my favourite ways to get away from a screen and keyboard.

Technical analysis (Bollinger bands and the like) would be treated similarly to horoscopes by many people who know how to work a Bloomberg terminal.

Does photojournalism count as art? I'd say it's a relatively safe bet that some photos of the Twin Towers on 9/11 will still be very recognisable in several centuries.

Especially with a young family to raise too.

A big polytunnel in the garden might make sense as a time-consuming hobby with practical benefits (though I still think it would be more expensive than just getting groceries), but not a farm.

I'm going to push back very hard on the notion that it's easier to feed your family by picking up farming than by going to the supermarket.

How secure is your job/industry? Not every sector will be hit equally.

Now might not be the best time to work in a startup that sells discretionary goods/services.

If you've got a solid job in an industry not too vulnerable to supply chain shocks or high interest rates you should weather the next downturn, as long as your expenditure is under control.

Would TravelSky step in? To my very limited understanding they have a very similar offering, mostly focused on the Chinese market.

A lot of Russians remember when their country collapsed in front of their eyes. It's probably fair to say that even Putin's harshest critics would be hesitant to go through that twice in 30 years. Not that I'm defending him by any means, just that (by design) getting rid of him will be very ugly and never easy.

There are a couple of radio shows that cater to my music tastes quite well, I own a lot of albums, and I go to gigs pretty regularly, but I was surprised at how much value I get out of my Spotify subscription.

I'd absolutely live without it, but it's well worth the cost of a bottle of cheapish wine a month for me.

Trails of brown envelopes (bribes) have been sniffed out repeatedly, and then left to grow cold. Large scale developments were made and begun without any plan whatsoever to connect them to basic and necessary infrastructure such as sewage, or schools.

Can't argue with this, in fairness.

The media have pointed fingers at immigrants, dole scroungers, and market forces - anything but policy. They give airtime to politicians who have been repeatedly proven to be actively working against us and caught in lies over and over. They smear anyone speaking truth.

This is just not true. It's almost libellous it's so wide of the mark. I don't know where you're getting this from. Nobody of any substance has ever blamed the crash or the housing crisis on immigrants, people on the dole, direct provision or anything like that. Immigration in particular has been an absolute non-issue the entire time.

Irish housing policy for the last decade has been to sell property to vulture funds and foreign investors at firesale prices tax free, while the average Irish worker has none of the same advantages and no chance of getting on the ladder whatsoever.

This is not true either. Vulture funds buy non-performing loans (not property, loans), of which there are many, and for which reason we have higher than average mortgage rates. It's distasteful, but without them our current account fees and loan rates would be higher than they already are.

REITs are not vulture funds. They generally build to rent: they finance the construction, and then collect the rent. Without them there would be thousands fewer apartments in Dublin in particular. Cork city went a full decade without a single apartment complex being built. They serve a purpose. They don't pay corporation tax, but they do pay tax. See here: https://www.revenue.ie/en/tax-professionals/tdm/income-tax-c...

The funds swooping in post-construction and buying entire blocks of houses or apartments that would otherwise have gone on the open market, they're a different story. They can die screaming.

Our government funds landlords with schemes such as HAP (1.5 billion euro directly to landlords since 2017) instead of building fucking houses. They then use those schemes to twist the numbers, pissing in our face and telling us its raining despite clear record homelessness and child poverty. We give foreign companies billions to build houses which we then rent off of them for decades and don't own at the end. It's sheer, clear insanity. And this Oxford chap seems completely unaware, yet wholly confident in his "understanding" of the issues we have.

HAP is a bad scheme. Totally agree. The "Oxford Chap" is a Trinity academic who writes the daft.ie reports on housing in Ireland. He knows what's going on as well as you do.

This crisis was NOT built on misunderstandings, or myth, or innocent mistakes and apathy. It was CONSTRUCTED. And at every point, the wrong people have profited at the expense of the 40% of Irish who don't own a house.

Nobody manufactured the crisis on purpose. That's tinfoil hattery.

A lot of the complete-but-unoccupied homes in rural areas are holiday homes I believe, but I can't give you a reference for where I read that. Another big chunk are basically barely-habitable hovels in probate.

You won't find many empty 3-bed semis with a BER above F outside of urban areas. I still think he was broadly right about the ghost estates nationwide.

He covered the empty estates issue well enough I thought: by the mid-2010s they were mostly fully constructed and occupied, including in rural areas. That chimes with my experience, having lived in a few different parts of the country (urban and rural) over that time period. It was rare for completed housing estate to be bulldozed.

Interesting and accurate (though he's the academic, not me, so that's not really my call to make).

Ronan Lyons is a fairly well known name for people who would read the Business section of the newspapers. He compiles a a quarterly report for Ireland's largest property website that gets pretty much guaranteed coverage upon release.

What's happening in much of the world today isn't hyperinflation, it's just fairly high inflation, after a long period of very low inflation.

The two options you describe sound to me like they're only viable in a very centrally planned economy, and are fairly independent of general inflation. You can't really deliberately move prices like that unless you're willing to interfere in markets to the extent that, say, the Chinese government does.

Stock markets will do their own thing. The price of a share of a given company will go up and down based on ever-changing estimates of future earnings of that company.

Real estate demand is fairly inelastic, so prices there won't really go down unless you either massively increase supply (staring down NIMBYs and keeping costs under control - challenging on both counts), or decrease demand (somehow make huge numbers of people move to places with less pressure on housing, kill people's earning and saving potential, convince huge numbers of people to move back in with their parents and/or houseshare with others - also challenging on all counts).