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philipportner

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ml systems, compilers, databases phd at tu berlin

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if you assume that training requires about 3x the compute of inference (one forward pass, one backward pass, parameter updates), and we take DeepSeek-V3 since their numbers are public.

they used ~14.8 trillion tokens with about 2.66 million GPU hours. 14.8 * 3 = 44.4 t inference tokens.

obviously, this is back of the envelope math, but at 100t/s you would need like ~14k years. scale this to >100k GPUs and your in the hours to a couple days range.

Hasn't changed at all since AI agents became a thing. tmux, nvim with a few plugins, mainly fzf and LSP support. If I do use an AI agent, I just run it in another tmux window.

I'm not sure you can prompt a full, accurate, copy of a nontrivial codebase out of them. Even with zero temperature their accuracy is just not that high.

Granted, these are some of the most widely spread texts, and not codebases, but just fyi: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.02671

For Claude 3.7 Sonnet, we were able to extract four whole books near-verbatim, including two books under copyright in the U.S.: Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone and 1984 (Section 4).