palisade

right panic, wrong fear

starlink are too low to cause kessler syndrome... but his starmind might

chip production and network acceleration here we come

well args in his original games, not sure about the new ones

thank you, buying both their games. i'm a big fan of his entire series. i'd just assumed he was gone off the scene

there's also ARGs hidden in all of them, not sure if you're all aware of that

Those who have never known anything better are okay with much less. For example, anyone who used Fable when it came out are saying that it is very difficult to go back to lesser models now. Even our strongest aren't good enough in comparison.

Someone with AI psychosis would say it was easy. I'm saying the opposite. I'm stating that it'd be cool, but at the moment I don't see how it is feasible. And, for fun I tried to solve one small aspect of the problem.

I also didn't bring up the concept out of nowhere, this is in response to an article about open source AI. The premise of the post is releasing control to the public. What is more open than a decentralized system? And, why wouldn't you brainstorm in a comment on such a thread?

I also didn't ask an AI for the idea, it's just an idea I have. There's a difference.

I've been contemplating a decentralized model training system for some time using volunteer machines that we all contribute. But, it is astronomically difficult. The communication speeds are untenable.

And, there is the issue of data poisoning from untrusted nodes. I've almost cracked that last issue with a self-healing checkpointed rollback system that doesn't have to throw out anything that follows the corrupt datum.

But, I'm just one person with an idea and I don't have infinite funds to make this happen. This isn't a small project.

Maybe there would be interest in something like this, now that entire frontier labs are being banned from making further progress.

The total power of all GPUs on the planet dwarf their capabilities, if we had a way to harness them in a distributed way efficiently. We wouldn't be able to train a Fable as fast as them, but eventually having access is better than never having access.

You're mistaken, this is a cratering of the userbase inside and outside of the US. The ban is on any foreigner whether abroad or living in the USA, so Anthropic has no choice but to completely shut down access to the model for the whole world including the US.

Their IPO is well and truly fucked now. This also means no other frontier lab in the US is allowed to exceed Opus 4.8 capabilities.

If you're a luddite or a decel you should literally be dancing in the streets right now. And, if you're a tankie you'll be dancing right next to them. And, if you were hoping for a Star Trek-like future, you just adjusted your timeline for the worse.

Hm, I wasn't trying to. Baka baka baka, jim-kun!

I asked Claude to write a one word response:

Touché.

I'm verbose, and no one was ever interested in anything I ever had to say before. And, they certainly wouldn't be now if I used AI to do it.

These days I only bother commenting if I really feel I need to get something off my chest, but I don't assume anyone gives a shit. I frequently just delete my responses. I don't generally feel anyone needs what I'm saying.

It takes a bit of self-awareness to realize that no one is interested in what you have to say, so don't bother. And, I think it takes twice as much self-awareness to realize that they certainly don't care about what a bot has to say, unless they're the ones asking.

That is only 6% of our Navy. Not half.

Boogie Wonderland https://www.wario.style/s/42pJyn4i

OH yea, I confused it with the movie name.

Surprisingly, the wikipage fails to mention it was a failed experiment and doesn't mention the ocean issue at all.

Meanwhile biodome couldn't keep an artificial ocean from acidifying.

LLM agents don't know how to shut up and always think they're right about everything. They also lack the ability to be brief. Sometimes things can be solved with a single character or line, but no they write a full page. And, they write paragraphs of comments for even the most minuscule of changes.

They talk at you, are overbearing and arrogant.

For reference in case anyone is wondering, it is based on:

https://github.com/152334H/tortoise-tts-fast

The developer of tortoise tts fast was hired by Eleven labs.

Thanks, I replied to your other comment.

The research I've cited has indicated this is a genetic transfer among female-to-female births of a need for more cesareans.

"A female-to-female familial predisposition to caesarean section was observed. It could be caused by biologic inheritance, primarily working through maternal alleles and/or environmental factors. The results imply that both mechanisms could be important."

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18540028/

"Large-scale epidemiological studies indeed evidence that women born by C-section are more likely to deliver by Caesarean than women born vaginally, owing primarily to genetic rather than social factors."

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1712203114

Yes, that's what they're indicating. And, it is saving lives. I myself was cesarean section, as was my mother. I wouldn't be here without it.

That's the potential conundrum, if it turns out to be vastly increasing the need to save those lives than in the past due to a evolutionary pressure on the gene pool. If the WHO is right and we're going to start seeing 50 - 63% increases by 2030, what's in store for the human race if this rate of expansion keeps up?

Will we reach a time when no one can be naturally born and almost our entire race has to be conceived in external gestation devices or cease to exist? And, when we reach that point will we look with concern towards Africa and wonder at how sad it is they're still conceived naturally.

Edit: I don't have the answers. I'm not sure what we should do to course correct or if we need to. But, it is definitely something that should be looked into before it is too late, if it isn't already. And, that is why I brought it up in the context of this breakthrough, to ask if we've considered similar consequences. And, if we have a way to mitigate them if that turns out to be the case.

"The cesarean delivery rate increased from 5% in 1970 to 31.9% in 2016. This sharp increase can be attributed to various factors, including changes in maternal age, medical advancements allowing more complicated pregnancies to proceed, and evolving obstetric practices. In 2022, the United States recorded more than 3.66 million births, most of which resulted from spontaneous or induced labor. Labor dystocia remains the most common indication for primary cesarean delivery. Globally, cesarean delivery rates continue to rise, and reducing unnecessary cesarean procedures remains a priority in the United States, where 32.2% of all births in 2022 were cesarean deliveries."

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK546707/

"If this trend continues, by 2030 the highest rates are likely to be in Eastern Asia (63%), Latin America and the Caribbean (54%), Western Asia (50%), Northern Africa (48%) Southern Europe (47%) and Australia and New Zealand (45%), the research suggests."

https://www.who.int/news/item/16-06-2021-caesarean-section-r...

Note: Coincidentally, WHO's article I've linked is lamenting that Sub-saharan Africa only had 5% cesarean due to less availability of the procedure. It is their perspective that the increase in percentages is a good thing and indicates progress, instead of being concerning. And, they find Sub-saharan Africa's low numbers concerning, instead.

Side Note: I also found lots of interesting articles which I haven't posted here, about epigenetic side effects caused by caesarean deliveries like leukemia, illnesses and other genetic issues. But, that seems out of scope for your question. You can make a quick search and find these, though.

"A female-to-female familial predisposition to caesarean section was observed. It could be caused by biologic inheritance, primarily working through maternal alleles and/or environmental factors. The results imply that both mechanisms could be important."

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18540028/

"Large-scale epidemiological studies indeed evidence that women born by C-section are more likely to deliver by Caesarean than women born vaginally, owing primarily to genetic rather than social factors."

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1712203114

Does this mean when they grow up, their own offspring will also have this defect and require a correction? And, if so, does this mean it is now introducing this defective gene into our gene pool?

I know this is an issue with caesarean section. It is becoming more prevalent because those who require it are surviving, making it more likely to happen in their offspring.

I think the solution is going to take the form of synthetic mirror neurons, if we can ever successfully replicate those.

I'm surprised no one is mentioning Brave. They refuse to take Chrome's change.

That cult is kind of the opposite tho, they were looking forward to the impending hell of AGI and thought they were doing things that would get on the good side of the evil overseer AI of the future. If anything they weren't going crazy over it they felt comforted.

In the past... we'd just eat the eggs, get the flu, spread it about a bit, take a day / week off work, go back to work. You know, normal life. Now we overreact and just cull all the eggs and/or chickens and jack the prices up. It seems kind of weak tbh. You're never going to purify the world and make it perfect. One day someone in the future is going to say, "Ew they ate real food instead of processed food pellets?" unironically.

Then a disease will arrive that will make the entire population vanish because their immune systems never had to interact with anything.

Is this really the point OpenAI wants to start debating? When OpenAI steals everyone's data, it is fine. Right? But, let us pull the ladder up after that.

Qmodem is what got me into BBSes. I later switched to Terminat. Sorry for your loss, he contributed a lot to early communications that eventually led to the internet. I'll always have fond memories of the BBS era.

The heap stuff is new I guess, we didn't have that back when I was writing programs in it. So, yea, not so safe anymore. :D I take back what I said about it being safer then. I can't go back and edit my original post, it's been too long.

The compiler did normally warn for data bounds checking, so I figured it would in this case. If that's not the case anymore then I'm wrong.

I hope you're right and it just solves itself.