nateglims

You've missed out on migrating to Zoom, Asana, and Sharepoint now.

Compared to recent trends it’s more like the entire 2010s was over hiring

Amazon runs anthropic models in it's own DCs with Bedrock.

Within Amazon, token usage is gamified if you use Kiro and your team isn't billed for it in the same way you are billed for AWS or have to account for your capacity in older systems. I've credibly heard of people gaming this internal ranking before anyone paid attention to it. There are also tons of enthusiasts doing all kinds of internal projects and sharing them.

There's definitely some pressure from managers when they hear about N00% productivity boosts in internal presentations, but where I am at they would figure out if you were making up tasks rather than working pretty quickly and the pressure comes from aggressive deadlines and a shift from the yearly OP1 process to a more agile one.

Groups that are excluded from unemployment statistics aren't a specific generation. They are retirees, students, people who gave up on seeking a job, etc.

* Employment was 10x better than today, and not by today's way of counting (which don't count group x y and z)

I'm pretty sure we count unemployment the same way. Those groups are just larger now because of age, education and economic malaise.

Wezterm has some support for it on nightly.

I just had an idea for an RLVR startup.

It basically does

The value of listed American enterprise-software companies is down by 10% over the past year.

I would wager being remote made him a target. It seems like a stretch to say it's just the global job market when the layoffs are global.

The layoff includes people in India.

Reality doesn't disagree with him in that the ROI is still not here yet. Maybe the coming replacement of software engineers will start to ramp up equity gains due to productivity, but it's real hard to get there by replacing your receptionists and lowest tier of support personnel.

The title is click bait. 3 of the 5 people interviewed were optimistic and one of the pessimists is an MIT professor, not a goldman analyst. The rest of it is market outlooks from 2024 for chips and power that don't seem that far off.

I'm a little confused by this analysis. Are you saying that all enterprise software has been replaced with MS word and AWS?

To be fair, it's not entirely their own fault. Competition is strong, especially from Google and Apple. Even with perfect decisions, they likely would still have lost big since their peak. The market for alternative Browsers isn't as big any more as it used to be.

Their peak in share was also pre-chrome. They've basically been losing the battle slowly for over a decade.

Firefox improved in quality significantly between 2014 and the recent decline. And it's not like Brave has shown incredibly good judgement in these areas.

I'm sympathetic to snowden and think he should just be pardoned, but in retrospect was this actually huge news? Other than reaffirming that telcos were a weak link and that we should encrypt everything, what was a major revelation?

I don't think americans broadly care if we are spying on any of the countries listed in part 1 or 2 of this. Mexico, Brazil, Venezuela, Bolivia and China?

You can use ChatGPT for minor stuff and still have a negative view on AI. In fact the non-tech white collar workers I know use chatgpt for stuff like business writing at work but are generally concerned.

Negative sentiment also comes through in opinion polling in the US.

Its a weak proxy for people who are not in tech.

In polling japan and sweden are very similar in terms of sentiment though: https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/10/15/how-people-aro...

Sure, I meant the anglosphere. But in most countries, the less people are aware of technology or use the internet the less they are enthusiastic about AI.

Outside of tech, I think the opinion is generally negative. AI has lost a lot the narrative due to things like energy prices and layoffs.

I think the interest rate and shareholder pressure were the most immediate causes. In 2021 you could get head count to do trivial projects at many tech companies and by the end of 2022 you had layoffs and hiring freezes.

I think the theory is if you get to that point, it's already over.

What decisions were MBA instead of engineering decisions? It seems like intel has just made a lot of bad bets or failed to put their mass behind good ones.

The heights nvidia has achieved seem incidental and have depended heavily on the transformer/LLM market materializing.

Everything risks aggravating NIMBYism. It's hard to see how housing costs can come down in a lot of cities simply because housing is seen as an investment and people won't idly standby if the value decreases because of policies.

Are you a mathematician? I’m not an expert on the math field but it seems like they are hitting the same issues everyone else has: current LLMs still more or less need to be supervised by an expert and struggle to do something actually novel or build out a complicated proof correctly.

I think it has a key advantage for China specifically though which is it consumes significantly less water and they have a lot of water poor territory.

The oakridge experiment ended and not a lot of R&D has been done on salt reactors. It makes sense that China is still basically in research and testing phases for molten salts.

I think this is the crux of it. The article discusses Ukraine but they weren't making millions of drones, the private capital wasn't there and the bureaucracy that coordinates it wasn't primed until the war.

Personally I never thought it was fine, but the solutions were all bad in some way that made direct venv and requirements files preferable. Poetry started to break this but I had issues with it. uv is the first one that actually feels good.

The API complexity really threw me when I last tried async python. It's very different from other async systems and is incredibly different from gevent or twisted which were popular when I was last writing server python.