namelessoracle

this is how document review works now basically. It used to be lots of lawyers got hired to go through the documents, now AI does it, and flags things for actual lawyer to review (along with suggestions), so what was the work of a couple of dozen lawyers is like maybe 2.

this is one of the huge issues for the unemployed lawyer problem, as those jobs were the entry level for straight of school lawyers. I expect similar problems with dev roles coming soon.

In about half the US

So there isn't one.

This already happens to an extent though?

Replace LLM with "clerk" and "generated case notes" with "copy pasted from my standard legally approved phrasing" playbook. Government workers who fill out standard reports already have standard forms pre filled with the results they know they are landing out, with certain sections that differ ready to be edited while the rest stays the same, look at things like warrants as an example. When I worked a government job i was literally handed templates by my supervisor of "pre approved ways to phrase things", that they percieved would help avoid lawsuits or any contest.

Try setting up a business for something relatively minor like helping people contest a traffic ticket (no representing them in court) and see what happens. You dont need a full legal education to do basic contestation of traffic tickets, but the legal system requires it.

There is a plethora of things that are minor, don't require going to court, and can be handled via bog standard forms and documents that are just "replace the names" and that lawyers have their paralegals do for them in their entirety. But the paralegal cant go into business on their own can they?

What is the equivalent of the nurse who can get you antibiotics in the US legal system?

For all the consternation about Copilot and AI coding tools, its looking like legal work is as much if not more setup for disruption.

Document review is already being done by AI, lawyers are using AI to beef up closing arguments and review arguments, AI researchers to go through the relevant cases for citations have been worked on for awhile.

Lawyers being lawyers have immediately reached to "make it illegal" and setting up protections for their trade like they always done. Roberts is commenting that they are going to be disappointed if they think they can get legal protections that X or Y must always be done by a human.

A lot of them can't step down. They have debts that to repay that require them to stay in that position (both financial debts, and political ones), or family members who can only continue doing what they are doing if they stay in that position. Say a small family business that consistently gets works, but only to curry favor with the Senator. They quit, their grandchildren's business takes a dive, so the family begs them to stay on.

In Feinstein's case, its pretty clear she was forced to stay on by her party while they made arrangements for her successor, there is a lot of people and factions in California who want her seat in the Democratic party.

Also the competency crisis is real, alot of them dont have successors. Often by their own actions in an attempt to consolidate power, but they've left the field barren now thats its time for them to leave.

what union opposed the change? The Alliance group mentioned is not a Union of teachers. https://www.aqeny.org/

Unions aren't mentioned at all in the article. Your claim is also a bald faced lie. More so than the OP. This article supports OP's claim https://nypost.com/2023/03/16/nys-education-leaders-again-pr..., I can trivially find other articles from other sources where the New York teachers union has made it clear they dont find how they are evaluated by test scores acceptable. That may even be a reasonable position to have. There is more data out their to support OPs claim than yours that they are against it.

have you checked the current state of somethingawful?

Many of the moderators get paid. Just not by reddit.

24/7 surveillance except where/when you need it to the most sums up so much of our world today.

Sure, there's also the point that while the junior to staff has connections, they might have also earned enemies too which will seek to impede stuff they want done. Where as the new staff has a fresh slate with everyone.

Generally speaking though, people i've seen promoted to Staff are more effective at the role than people who come in at the role, because Staff seems heavily weighted towards being able to influence at most companies. And being a known quantity counts for a lot. (also to become a staff someone higher in the food chain had to have already vouched for you and be willing to grant you some degree of patronage)

Also the value prop for what you are saying of "new pattern or practice" only applies if the staff gets to do green field dev, its rare a brand new staff without political capital can force a pivot on an already in development product that has patterns already set. In short its rare it gets to manifest, and when it does get to manifest it can take a year or 2 to manifest, and people who are willing to jump into staff roles probably have their next spot picked up for their next salary hike already picked out ;)

Whats weird is that I've heard the opposite too. That being an old employee is a suckers game for taking the 2 to 4 percent each year.

For instance the staff level who was with the company from junior and climbed the ranks is probably making alot less than the staff who came in as a staff, because climbing the ranks means you get percentage based increases or reset to the floor for the rank, and the staff who came in could negotiate higher than that. (You cant really negotiate comp for a promotion, its take it or leave it). Even though the junior to staff probably has more institutional knowledge, domain knowledge and political connections to get stuff done in the company.

If you put in 2 weeks notice and you get fired on the spot its a slam dunk un employment claim. (assuming you can show that yes you gave notice and you weren't fired first) Most places would rather just pay you the 2 weeks if they really dont want you around than deal with unemployment. Lots of corporate environments firing people takes more than 2 weeks anyways, and you would just be creating extra work for HR for what would seem like no reason.

Trump more politically aligned in a anti globalist and pro protectionist way. It's Biden who aligns more with the "free markets and global economy" position where this article would service to chide rather than encourage.

"This is dangerous for globalism" would be taken as a "keep going!" to a Trump supporter.

How are they supposed to colloborate of these without doing some of these on their own?

Maybe AI can replicate everything humans can do. But this technology isnt that. It just mass reads and replicates what humans have already done, but actual novel implementations seem out of its grasp. (for now) The art scene is freaking out because a lot of art is basically derivative already, but everyone pretended it was not. Coders already knew and admitted they stole all the time.

The other patterns of AI that seem to be able to arrive at novel solutions basically use a brute force approach of predicting every outcome if it has perfect information or a brute force process where it tries everything until it finds the thing that "works". Both of those seem approaches seem problematic in the "real world". (though i would find convincing the argument that the billions of people all trying things act as a de facto brute force approach in practice)

For someone to be able to do a novel implementation in a field dominated by AI might be impossible, because core foundational skills cant get developed anymore by humans for them to achieve heights that the AI hasn't reached yet. We are now stuck, things cant really get "better", we just get maybe iterative improvements on how the AI implements the already arrived at solutions.

TLDR, lets sic the AI on making a new Javascript framework and see what happens :)

What scares me is a death of progress situation. Maybe it cant be an expert, but it can be good enough, and now the supply pipeline of people who could be experts basically gets shut off, because to become an expert you needed to do the work and gain the experiences that are now completely owned by AI.

The slice Im curious about is what happens, when you let loose your AI art generator and start copy/trademarking everything it creates to basically make sure all kinds of art that could have been created is potentially infringing for you?

The art equivalent of patent trolling or domain squatting basically. Is that possible legally?

Its a known tactic in competitive online games where you can see your opponents IP address to try to "boot them" via DDOS their local IP so they go down or have lessened performance and you win the match. Also harass or shake down kids they think have money. Fortunately the vast majority of people have dynamic IPs, and could likely get a non effected one by just unplugging their router and letting it get a clean IP.

Because of this, a lot of games companies will try to mask the actual IP of the other users now, and Steam has tooling for games they support for devs on their platform.

DDOS can be the definition of a heckler's veto. It's like blasting super loud music so nobody can hear what a person is saying.

Dont like what a site is saying? DDOS so it cant load and people cant read it. For bonus points you are preventing site from getting clicks and thus ad revenue.

There are communities on discord that setup donation links to make sure sites they dont like keep getting hit by DDOS via crowdfunding.

Its standard PR playbook at this point. Activate some accounts to harrass your client so now they are the victim instead.

A famously litigation happy company not filing immediate legal action (starting with a cease and desist and then escalating) when accused of wrong doing in a very public and damaging way is all you need to know about who is in the wrong.

Im sure eventually someone at Microsoft will tell them enough and cut the man a nice settlement check in a couple of years. Right when discovery is allowed to go forward and all of Martys emails and communications are allowed to become public.

What logical reason would Pfizer have other than damaging information being revealed about them?

They sell medicine, people don't pick what medicine they get for the most part, their doctor does. (yes there are exceptions) The number of people who would push back against a medicine because "pfizer had ads next a twitter post with racial epithets" seem vanishingly small.

Not really unless they have some programming magic. Some of the stuff the console devs squeeze out is pretty magical sometimes.

But his company is IOI. At best he is hoping he creates enough groundswell that he can buy GSS if it comes about.

They are digital spaces that people now live a significant portion of their life in. (its what they do when they aren't working, or even when they are supposed to be working, most of their social interactions come from it, its a significant part of their identity)

Welch's apprentices at GE went along to wreck havoc on several companies as well.

Brunswick stew basically IS the leftovers from a BBQ put in a stew yeah.

The flavor can vary widely though based on what the leftovers were and if vinegar or more sweet BBQ based.

While its usually pay, sometimes other perks are part of it too. Higher rank = get away with more at most places. If the Staff needs to disappear for a couple of days due to personal reasons everybody wishes them the best. The Junior/Mid will get a lot of questions asked. Thats my professional experience from observation.

When you become low level manager this resets btw, Senior Managers and Directors will want to know where you are, nobody asks why the Director wasn't feeling it for 2 days though.

Other part of it is control. Higher rank means you get to decide which technology and how the problem gets solved and get to play empire building games. Which is fulfilling to some people. Some people want to feel like they are making the decisions, other people like to feel like they have influence on others for self worth. Other people enjoy high level strategic work over doing actual implementation of the work. You pretty much have to get promoted to do strategic style work in tech. My analogy is you enjoy playing a starcraft style RTS where you get joy out of sending the exact right amount of marines to beat that enemy in the most efficient manner, but hate having to do an FPS where you play that marine and have to fight that enemy yourself.

The only time stopping viruses has ever worked is via vaccines. Exposing people to it and letting them build immunity to it.