Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI 3 years ago
I seriously feel crazy when reading stuff like this. At best this seems to describe the statistics of the consensus of the researchers - lacking any of the social, legal, political, and economic drivers of progress for each prediction. Also, how are these "tasks" or "jobs" actually defined (and how is the believability of each respondent considered when aggregating predictions as it relates to each)? What am I missing?