mgfist

uhhhh

The article doesn't touch much on why modern decor emerged as it did

The theory I subscribe to is a few fold:

1) People like to buy "generic" homes that are easier to renovate/personalize 2) But then they don't end up personalizing, because they're afraid to tank it's market value 3) Thus homes stay boring and generic

Both spectrums are hard. Solving last mile is really really hard, but if you do that's a huge moat (aka Amazon). If you avoid last mile, you best deliver value in some other way, which Costco does by giving you more per dollar than anyone else.

I don't think coding is solved in the way they claim, but certainly solved in some way for many people. I don't write code by hand anymore, everything is through claude/codex/pi.

Still requires lots of work to shape the output correctly, but it's still crazy to me that I literally don't write code any more. And in that way, coding is solved for me.

there are plenty of places where machine learning algorithms make sense, but customer service is not one of them.

I don't care about human vs AI, I just want my issue resolved. Whatever does that the best and fastest. Or even better, for there to not be an issue in the first place.

I have my qualms with Anthropic/Claude but they've also had to scale unfathomably fast and that is just hard to do regardless.

he is emphasizing that they used their own words against them. everyone knows the security threat is a pretext. the message is that he is smart and they are stupid and he won, which is what I call gloating.

In this case, the govt used Anthropic's word in the way Anthropic wanted them to.

Anthropic has publicly stated that AI is too powerful and needs to be regulated. They've done this repeatedly. More recently, they've withheld releasing Mythos claiming that it's not safe.

Sacks isn't using Anthropic's words against them. He's more or less doing what they asked!

One trick is to ask them that question first to gauge their perspective on it first

This is obviously political and the entire narrative is fabrication.

I agree with this

David Sacks is publicly gloating about it: https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2065853007619588171

I do no like David Sacks but how do you say this is gloating about it?

Again, I do believe this is political, but Sacks is saying "you said this is dangerous and wanted regulation, and we believe you. Fix this because it's dangerous and we'll let it out again".

How is this gloating?

That's where competition and creative destruction comes to play.

That's not the argument. No one is asking users to be grateful for OSS. They just want users to not be dicks to the maintainer.

Would you continue volunteering if the beneficiaries spat in your face and cursed you out for it?

You can criticize all you want, but he can also just stop maintaining it if he gets too annoyed by the criticism. Maybe that's a better outcome for you, idk.

Yes but you can't get away from a 5 year timeline, and then you have to project how many other fabs will be opening

A fab for high end memory costs $20B and 5 years to build.

It will happen, but yeah it takes time and money

Coding is a pretty small slice of the markets in play.

I don't think that's true, mostly in that a lot of usecases are solved via coding models + a harness.

Google's models are driving cars right now.

Yes + other models like alphafold. But those are (relatively) specialized models. Besides, the comment I was responding to was saying Google is sandbagging the market to keep it calm or something. I don't disagree that Google is doing well overall and has some clear advantages

A human being who states X (implying they know it to be true) will behave in a way that is consistent with X being true.

That is literally not true and why we talk about "stated vs revealed preference" and such.

Those are 2 different things so yeah I naturally would have a different reaction.

This makes no sense. Google is beholden to its own shareholders, not the markets at large.

In any case, it's well known that devs in Google have liked anthropic/openai models for coding more than gemini, so unless they're hiding their best models from the people within, I think it's just the case that they're behind.

Whatever LLMs are or are not, they've completely changed what I do for work. 9 months ago I was coding, today I prompt. Every line of code I commit is generated by LLMs. If you want to call it text search, be my guest. Doesn't change what it's done for the industry.

In what way? I didn't attack his character like he did to the blog author.

As a recent interviewee, I much more prefer work samples. Less stressful, more in my control and less bound to whether I got lucky and clicked with the problem in a live interview. It's also just much more akin to what work is like, and therefore requires far less studying. The fact that live interviewing is a completely different skill to actual work is a really bad smell.

We must've read 2 different posts.

And even if you're interpretation is correct, you sound pretty rude. You're really gonna mock someone for not liking the interview process and trying to make it better?

I started a new job recently after 9 months off. Last Sept I was coding almost entirely by hand, using AI for q/a, debugging and such.

In my new job I haven't written a single line by hand. I now almost entirely work in claude code / codex and in github PRs. Occasionally I open vscode to read code, but very rarely. My company probably spends ~$100 a day for my token use. I'm not even going crazy with parallelization or subagents and such.

I 100% believe the demand growth based on my personal experience.

Pretty unfathomable growth. I'm pretty sure I listened to Dario saying something along the lines of keeping Anthropic on track for 10x ARR growth (in December) and thinking that that was a bonkers idea for a $9B run-rate company, and now it's looking like that might be an underestimate ...

the unfortunate reality is that the ideological complex of capital (even if weakening, and no longer effectively reproducing itself) is still strong enough that most in the West can't even imagine a better world (other than "less bad capitalism")

That's one way to put it. Another perspective (mine) is that capitalism enables anyone to try and make things better, and if you make things better for the right user, they will reward you.

And we all celebrate it since we can't do any work

Obsidian has a number of full time employees who all want to eat and afford rent

I like it

If nuclear became #1 power source and instead of 25 year cadence we had IAEA scale 7 events every 1.5 years, would you still argue it's a net win?

Events like Fukushima would be worthwhile tradeoffs. Events like Chernobyl would not, but that would require nigh non-existent safety regulations.

To put it in layman's terms - I'd much much much rather live right next to a US operated nuclear power plant than a US operated coal plant. In fact I do live rather close to several nuclear power plants.

Im also not against solar or wind, but energy diversity is important for national and energy security purposes

Bhopal helps my argument. The consequences of that were far worse than Chernobyl and yet I’d bet for every 1,000 people who have heard of Chernobyl only one or two would know about Bhopal.