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kyrieeschaton

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MMT does not depend on or imply the relation between debt and inflation, it addresses the metaphysics of "government debt" as such. In fact it suggests you should not "inflate away the debt", as if governments were subject to an actual fiscal constraint of spending = taxes + borrowing (the premise MMT rejects).

20% of all dollars were created in 2020. The only thing preventing that from translating into the broader price level is that money velocity collapsed due to the Covid shutdowns. Instead most of that has channeled into financial and property asset prices.

Once velocity increases, as is the plan if you assume 2021 is the year we "recover" from Covid restrictions, the Fed will have a choice between inflation and deflating the money supply (eg by selling a huge portion of their accumulated financial assets). The latter implies a rise in interest rates that harms economic recovery and government borrowing costs, potentially reducing available fiscal stimulus.

I would like to read an analysis of how they plan on veeeery carefully extricating themselves from this situation but as far as I can tell the strategy is to wing it.

"Securities" is a pretty well understood term.

Mutual funds, the most legible way to get an estimate of the holding cost of securities (since they are required to transact at net asset value) routinely charge between 0.2-1% fees, depending on size and asset class.

Clearinghouses, transfer agents, and cash management firms don't work for free, which is the problem that cryptocurrencies explicitly solve; neither do compliance, KYC, fraud, etc., which most cryptocurrency protocols elide altogether.

What's the energy cost of a financial sector that takes a ~3% cut of all retail transactions, puts up physical bank branches to manage money, empowers a federal reserve to manage the value of currency with more or less competency... Comparing BTC energy costs to some mythical world where we just burn free lunches for heat is not honest.

Even fairly strong correlations break down on restricted ranges of inputs. Eg, if you're hiring between 80-90th percentile candidates (top ones get better offers, lower ones get filtered out), yes, the correlation will get swamped by noise; not so much if you are hiring between 0 and 100.

That is specious. People remember during the opening days of the Covid fiasco, when "disinformation" encompassed interpretations of publicly available data that were forbidden exactly until the moment they were mandatory (airborne transmission, fecal transmission, immunological vectors, potential treatments, and so on). In fact it still does!

Simultaenous with pausing buys of GME they were allowing accounts and positions to be opened and margin trades to occur, so it cannot be that they simply needed to limit their capital requirement full stop. The capital requirement is a prerequisite for being in the business and this is not an unforeseen circumstance, it's why they have lines of credit (which in fact they did draw on, just not enough to support the business they purport to be in) on top of their working capital.

He delayed publication for years (in the proverbial desk drawer) while he attempted to develop a positive and politically acceptable spin on the results (self censorship). He is also probably one of the top ten most prestiguous living social scientists. Consider the incentives of researchers with less accumulated social capital who are far easier to attack for their findings.

Data collected by eminent political scientist suggests ethnic diversity, amongst other things, massively lowers social trust

"Wow just wow what a 'racist campaign for the return of segregation'"

I wonder why it is so difficult to do or publish research in this area?

You can consider "hyperinflation" as a consensus that the government is lying about the value of its currency. How does a consensus develop that someone is lying? It's a complex process, and doesn't have a neatly aggregatable answer.

This is incidentally why Sargent considers the end of hyperinflation to be coincident with a regime change - a liar cannot become credible nearly as easily as he can be replaced.

The circumstances are that an english-tweeting western-sponsored Yale World Fellow with approximately zero actual Russian support found himself "poisoned" (nonfatally, of course) in a way politically useful to the west in their ongoing project of destabilizing Russia, as diagnosed by western security services.

It's odd to hold as an assumption that the Russian government is the only entity that can synthesize this molecule.

It's also odd to take the word of "a laboratory of the German armed forces" as some sort of independent source in a clear political conflict.