japoco

Which is either heads or tails.

A same side bias is either a heads bias or a tails bias.

No, first of all due to imperfections in the manufacture of real coins, there are actually no fair coins. Also the bias in the probability affects the first throw as well as all the rest. If your dataset is composed of first throws/rest of the throws, you’re going to see they are correlated.

This is probably just because the coins aren’t actually fair. If the coin is slightly biased towards heads, the first throw is more likely to heads, and so are all subsequent throws. Same for tails.

I was pretty intrigued by Aphantasia a while ago, as I can’t picture anything at all with my eyes closed. Then I asked all my friends and none of them could either, apparently. So I’m wondering what “picturing” means in the definition of aphantasia? With my eyes closed all I see is pitch black, but I can “imagine” myself seeing a red apple even with my eyes open, I don’t actually see anything though.

I think art is much easier for LLM-style AI models to do compared to writing. To make a nice picture you just need to place pixels near each other in a way that looks good, and we all know LLMs are phenomenal at this. Good text on the other hand is not just text that has a good flow and fits the prompt. It must follow a line of thought, and LLMs don’t do that by design, even though we could argue wether they have that capability as an emergent one, but I don't believe that at all.

Someone on twitter pointed out that their dating methodology is faulty. Carbon dating makes sense only if used on organic materials in human context. For example, dating charred remains in a hearth with human artifacts in its vicinity. It seems like the authors in the paper just took a sample from the ground and dated the organic material in it, which doesn’t make much sense. I can’t find the original tweet atm but I hope I’ve been clear enough.

You are severely underestimating how good vibes from a lot of people are at giving good estimates.

Somewhat unrelated, but I think philosophy will be instrumental in the development of actual AI. To make artificial intelligence, you need to know what intelligence is, and that is a philosophical question.

Lying needs intent. ChatGPT does not think therefore it doesn’t lie in that sense.

As with text, the current form of AI (generative AI) will be very good at creating music that sounds good, not good music.

unlike in Asia where the huge books actually winning accounts to improve their line and make more money

This is true but it should have a big footnote. Disregarding Asian bookmakers that like to void winning bets from time to time for no apparent reason, Pinnacle, which is the book you’re referring to, lets winning players bet at such low limits that making money off them is an excruciating process.

Chrome on iOS is basically a WebKit skin, so it’s still safari (at least for now, apparently both google and Mozilla are developing ports of their browser engines for iOS).

This is not what is happening here, the USDC peg to the dollar has nothing to do with this. The problem is that Binance converts every stablecoin you deposit there to BUSD, and so if you want to withdraw say USDC or USDT even they’d have to convert them, which is apparently what they’re having trouble to do.