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gersh

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Programmer, entrepreneur email gershb55 AT gmail DOT com

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Yeah, but can they out-perform LLMs at soft skills? LLMs are really good sucking up, and telling people what they want to hear.

There are about 37 billion tons of CO2 emissions per year. If you could get the price down to $100/ton, you can get the world net zero for $3.7t/year. US GDP is 25 trillion/year. World GPD is about 96.5 trillion. So, it would cost about 3.8% of world GDP per year. World global military is about $2.2t/year, so it would be higher than global military expenditure, but somewhat theoretically possible. If you substantially reduced emissions, it might be feasible to use carbon capture for the rest.

Self-driving cars haven't really failed. It looks like Cruise and Waymo are about to get permissions to operate 24/7 in SF.

I think the greater issue is that it is difficult to assess time-to-market. You to asses both what is useful, and how long it might take to build. Some things are just gonna need a lot R&D to work. AI-hype makes people underestimate how difficult it is to actually get things to work.

Those things may require government investment, but if there is going to be a lot of investment in those things then it becomes worth it to figure out how to do those things more efficiently. Startups can innovate on the technology for upgrading the grid, or methods of financing it.

There is a community at https://workonclimate.org/ focused on helping people find jobs related to climate. You can also look at https://climatevoice.org/, and look at how your employer is lobbying on climate. You can also look at climate bills/policy related to corporate disclosure at https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billAnalysisClient.... and https://www.sec.gov/comments/s7-10-22/s71022.htm to see which corporations are lobbying for or against strong climate policy, and try to work for those companies most supportive of strong climate policy.

If the oil companies have to use a more expensive alternative service, it will drive up the marginal cost of extracting oil, and make oil less cost competitive against renewables. Furthermore, Amazon will no longer have business incentive to support the continuation of the fossil fuel industry, which could influence how they lobby on legislation.