fatherwavelet

As if you are just a such a genius the models are of no use to you.

How can you not think that makes you sound like a complete moron?

I just don't understand how someone can have these models at their disposal not learn anything?

The general lack of intellectual curiosity is just mind blowing to me.

You are just such a genius. We all stand in awe. Thank you for letting me be in the presence of such towering intellect.

Some might even say Dirac like but I so NO, this simply does not go far enough.

I will remember this moment for the remainder of my life. Thank you.

We will have the age of the centaur across all white collar domains. How long that age lasts I don't think is all that relevant before it has even happened.

The question is not human in the loop but how many humans in the loop?

Then I think about what does a team of 3-4 centaurs look like? For me, it looks like the unemployment line. I am sure there are people on this board who are in the top 5% of whatever the domain is in question. They will be part of the centaur while most people are just redundant.

If you try to counter this with a nineteenth century economic heuristic about coal use , I don't think it works.

The worst to me is the way people dehumanize other people who don't agree with them.

The other side politically doesn't just have different views, they are barely human knuckle draggers. Basically neanderthals, so who cares if they go extinct.

I feel like Gemini 3 was incredible on non-software/coding research. I have learned so much systems biology the last two months it blows my mind.

I had only started using Opus 4.6 this week. Sonnet it seems like is much better at having a long conversation with. Gemini is good for knowledge retrieval but I think Opus 4.6 has caught up. The biggest thing that made Gemini worth it for me the last 3 months is I crushed it with questions. I wouldn't have even got 10% of the Opus use that I got from Gemini before being made to slow down.

I have a deep research going right now on 3.1 for the first time and I honestly have no idea how I am going to tell if it is better than 3.

It seems like agentic coding Gemini wasn't as good but just asking it to write a function, I think it only didn't one shot what I asked it twice. Then fixed the problem on the next prompt.

I haven't logged in to bother with chatGPT in about 3 months now.

I think people want to read how AI is not working , so those are the articles that are going to get traction.

Personally, I don't think the current frontier models would help the company I work for all that much. The company exists because of the skill in networking and human friendships. The company exist in spite of technological incompetence.

At some level of ability though, a threshold will be reached and a competitor will eat our lunch whole by building a new business around this future model.

It is not going to be a % more productive than our business. It is like the opposite of 0 to 1. The company I work for will go from 1 to zero really quick because we simply won't be able to compete on anything besides those network ties. Those ties will break fast if every other dimension of the business is not even competitive and really in a different category.

To me it is like steering a car into the ditch and then posting how the car went into a ditch.

You don't have to drive that much to figure out that what is impressive is keeping the car on the road and then traveling further or faster than what you could do by walking. For that though you actually have to have a destination in mind and not just spin the wheels. Post pointless metrics on how fast the wheels spin for your blog no one reads in the vague hope of some hyper Warhol 15 milliseconds of "fame".

The models for me are just making the output of the average person an insufferable bore.

I had a 1990 Ford Taurus as my first car. I had got it used and I remember it being completely impossible to afford a new car at the time.

It was sticker price of $33,000 adjusted for inflation:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ford_Taurus_%28second_generati...

I don't think it would even feel safe to drive at all compared to what we have got use to with modern cars. It broke down 3 times while I had it and stranded me on the road. No cell phone of course to call anyone.

These were the mythic "good ol days".

I had not used Claude much until an hour ago since probably before GPT5. I had only been using Gemini the last 3 months.

Sonnet 4.6 extended on the free plan is just incredible. I am just complete floored by it. The conversation I just had with it was nuts. It was from Dario mentioning something like a 20% chance Claude is conscious or something crazy like that. I have always tried that conversation with previous models but it got boring so fast.

There is something with the way it can organize context without getting lost that completely blows Gemini away.

Maybe even more so that it was the first time it felt like a model pushed back a little and the answers were not just me ultimately steering it into certain answers. For the free plan that is nuts.

In terms of being conscious, it is the first time I would say I am not 100% certain it is just a very useful, very smart , stochastic parrot. I wouldn't want to say more than that but 15-20% doesn't sound so insane to me as it did 2 hours ago.

I am not against this in spirit but what are the higher order effects and unintended consequences?

The only thing that is more annoying to me than market fundamentalist, neo-liberal bullshit is emotional appeals that sound right on paper but have a total disregard for higher order effects and unintended consequences.

Their "ontology" is not bullshit but they speak about it in a bullshit way. I think they refer to it like a product or something they invented as a form of marketing. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ontology_(information_science)

If you just google ontology you probably end up reading some Heidegger and conclude how deep these guys must be.

Whenever I hear Karp say it I always think of it like he is saying "Database" or "The Database". "What makes Palantir different is Database".

I think so much of Palantir is performative and for sales performances.

I like the analogy but I think you are underestimating how much random knob twiddling there is in all art.

Francis Bacon and The Brutality of Fact is a wonderful documentary that goes over this. Bacon's process was that he painted every day for a long time, kept the stuff he liked and destroyed the crap. You are just not seeing the bad random knob twiddling he did.

Picasso is even better. Picasso had some 100,000 works. If you look at a book that really gets deep to the more obscure stuff, so much of Picasso is half finished random knob twiddling garbage. Stuff that would be hard to guess is even by Picasso. There is this myth of the genius artist with all the great works being this translation of the fully formed vision to the medium.

In contrast, even the best music from musical programming languages is not that great. The actual good stuff is so very thin because it is just so much effort involved in the creation.

I would take the analogy further that vibe coding in the long run probably develops into the modern DAW while writing c by hand is like playing Paganini on the violin. Seeing someone playing Paganini in person makes it laughable that the DAW can replace a human playing the violin at a high level. The problem though is the DAW over time changes music itself and people's relation to music to the point it makes playing Paganini in person on the violin a very niche art form with almost no audience.

I read the argument on here ad nauseam about how playing the violin won't be replaced and that argument is not wrong. It is just completely missing the forest for the trees.

Even besides this, do you feel such incredible existential hate/jealousy towards monkeys, baboons, gorillas, chimpanzees, bonobos,etc and want to see them wiped off the planet to extinction?

Or do you feel a type of connection to these animals and want to preserve them?

The AI doomer argument is so stupid. It is an eschatological religious idea for a mind based on scientism.

I also wouldn't doubt that most AI doomers hate one or both of their parents and the AI doomer mindset is a projection.

The good old days when you could trust everything posted on usenet to be true.

We must live on different planets.

Like the good old days when the media was basically complicit in support of Iraq having weapons of mass destruction?

It seems to me that the news has always kind of been mass bullshit. What has changed is we democratized the production of mass bullshit.

Now everyone can make their own version of "Remember the Maine, to Hell with Spain!"

Not to mention, podcasts go deeper on subjects than any investigative journalist ever really could given the format.

It really depends on the music you listen to and what your ears are already use to.

I thought my fathers old setup always sounded amazing when I was younger. Coming back to it 20 years later though, it sounds stupidly scooped to my ears. Same speakers but what has changed is the music I was playing on them and what my ears expect to hear. 20 years ago I was more into guitar/bass/drum/vocal music that these speakers were made for.

There is really no such thing as "sound quality". There is just different EQ, frequency range, etc.

We have agency but it is almost trivial to hijack.

Setting up the argument between agency/no agency misses the point IMO.

It is because this subject is the closest to modern voodoo of all modern activities.

I rolled the bones myself and it seemed like it worked, therefor X.

No, I rolled the bones myself and it seemed like it worked, therefor Y.

We would first have to define what we are even talking about by "energy" and "workout" to have any kind of real conversation.

The popular mind on this subject is also not even up to the point we sequenced the genome. What people think of as truth is mostly repeating things from the 1990s.I rolled the bones myself and it seemed like it worked.

I just don't understand this view on Lex Fridman at all.

Fridman is quite good at letting the guest speak. The whole show is exceptionally good at keeping a conversation moving.

I think there are technical haters on Lex but that is stupid because Lex is in sales. He is selling a podcast. From a sales perspective, Lex is incredibly good.

It is like saying the chef is only a good cook because of the quality of the ingredients. Yes, exactly. The chef isn't a farmer growing their own organic vegetables for the dishes. The art is in the choice and ability to source quality ingredients and then bring it all together as a full dish.

A podcast is not a lecture or audio book.

I think the spirit is in the right place but the framing is too extreme.

I am never going to be a software engineer either but I took a CS101 class and then data structures and algorithms.

Going from zero to passing those classes was the most useful combination of things I ever learned.

I am so glad I got to do this way before LLMs because I think I am absolutely the type of person who would have used LLMs to cheat and learn nothing from the class.

I think at least those concepts are vastly worth struggling with without the help of LLMs.

I think we highly underestimate the amount of "human bots" basically.

Unthinking people programmed by their social media feed who don't notice the OpenAI influence campaign.

With no social media, it seems obvious to me there was a massive PR campaign by OpenAI after their "code red" to try to convince people Gemini is not all that great.

Yea, Gemini sucks, don't use it lol. Leave those resources to fools like myself.

I use Gemini Pro for basically everything. I just started learning systems biology as I didn't even know this was a subject until it came up in a conversation.

Biology is subject I am quite lacking in but it is unbelievable to me what I have learned in the last few weeks. Not even in what Gemini says exactly but in the text and papers it has led me to.

One major reason is that it has never cut me off until last night. I ran several deep researches yesterday and then finally got cut off in a sprawling 2 hour conversation.

For me it is the first model now that has something new coming out but I haven't extracted all the value from the old model that I am bored with it. I still haven't tried Opus 4.5 let alone 4.6 because I know I will get cut off right when things get rolling.

I don't think I have even logged into ChatGPT in a month now.

Exactly. LLMs are really just an extension of the internet. You can use the internet to expand on what you know or you can use the internet to rot your brain.

We have agency to decide and if the majority decide on brain rot I really don't care.

I have been learning things from the internet for 30 years and LLMs are just the greatest gift. If someone isn't leveraging these tools to increase what they know good luck.

Hobbes was 63 when he wrote Leviathan.

This is a pointless discussion though without talking about testosterone and dopamine levels. Doesn't really matter what your IQ is at 60, if your testosterone and dopamine system is that of the average old man you are not going to have the desire to write Leviathan or Critique of Pure Reason.

It is an objective fact though that the lack of DVD sales on the backend has completely changed the economics of movies and what gets made.

You also can't really compare the 90s to now when music and the movies were the dominate art form and there was no way to get rich and famous from just the internet.

I watched an interview with Jerry Cantrell from Alice in Chains and he said in the late 80s Seatle, he worked at a giant 50 room rehearsal space, almost apartment complex, that was opened 24/7. Music can't be the same as a time when being in a band was so popular that the economics could support a 50 band room rehearsal space that never closes. It is night and day different to now. Same with movies.

It is not really obvious to me that happiness should be part of the social contract.

Happiness is very slippery even in your own life. It seems absurd to me that you should care about my happiness.

So much of happiness is the change from the previous state to the present. I am happy right now because 2026 has started off great for me while 2025 was a bad year.

I would imagine there was never a happier American society than the year's after WW2.

I imagine some of the most happy human societies were the ones during the years after the black plague. No one though today gains happiness because of the absence of black plague.

To believe a society can be built around happiness seems completely delusional to me.

In 1979, median income in China was $100 USD a year.

In 1979, median income in the US was $16,530 USD a year.

Not exactly an apples to apples comparison.

It only doesn't add up if you are viewing him like Warren Buffet in terms of finance. Obviously, his audited track record of returns is nowhere to be found.

It very much all adds up if you view Epstein as a financial genius in terms of financial crimes.

This idea he was some intelligence created stooge is just absurd. I would suspect he was an intelligence asset exactly because of his ability to launder money and commit financial crimes. His wealth came from taking a cut. The size of his wealth was a reflection of the amount of financial crimes committed. That level of financial crime is how you get a sweetheart deal to keep those crimes in the shadows.

Also the kind of thing that would get you suicided. This podcast/social media narrative that he was a created intelligence asset to blackmail the rich and powerful is probably misdirection to not focus on the actual financial crimes. The cover up has been executed to perfection considering the misdirection narratives have taken on a life of their own and we know basically nothing about the financial crimes he commited.

I listened to the two hour interview that was posted. It sounds nothing like this. He was extremely well spoken. How carefully he spoke is what stood out most in the interview to me.