HN user
The biology of the virus may not have a “weak phase” just because transmission rates went down. We load balanced transmission rates with distance.
That doesn’t mean the virus got weaker. Rates go up as soon as distance is removed? Doesn’t seem like the virus wants to slow down as a matter of its “real” physical properties
Statistics improve but what’s that mean for raw numbers?
Instead of 10s of millions on ventilators, and millions dead it’s millions on ventilators and hundreds of thousands dead?
Statistics are great for science but awful for social policy.
For the same reason that you don’t want someone deciding what religion you should regurgitate. You could end up in the wrong cohort someday.
How does that explain the spiking that occurred as soon as states re-opened?
Politicians are load balancing the healthcare system, not the infection rates.
It wasn’t on westerners radars until February in any serious way.
It spread through Winter 2019, Spring 2020, and is spreading during Summer 2020 when trying to “re-open.”
Pretty sure measurable science to support the idea exists. Oh sure that trend may change, but come on, RIGHT NOW it’s literally showing no signs of fading away if we “live normally.”
Why do you need 18 more months of plotting data to decide on what’s literally happening right before your eyes?