bwhiting2356

very cool. some feedback: tricky to mouse over the tooltip to click links within the tooltip

nice to see humans writing

Conversations that go on forever (and spend money forever) makes for a very unhappy customer

Could be lack of imagination on my part but I truly can't imaging shipping 1000's of lines of code that I can't understand (beyond low-stakes prototypes). That means there's a ceiling on productivity gains.

We should aspire to increase our quality of life, but keep perspective on what are new problems and crises, what are old problems and may still be unsolved. Cheap and abundant housing supply for everyone to live alone is and old problem and unsolved.

You assume the goal is to move out, but it might not be. Extended families have lived together in many parts of the world throughout history. Expectations of living alone are relatively new.

Biosphere 2 one of their main problems is that growing food was labor intensive, as I've found with my own hydroponics experiments.

If you prefer to live in a low density exurb, you have many options for affordable housing, there's just a lack of good paying jobs and services in those areas.

It affects their ability to hire and retain talent.

they have a healthy datacenter business. Does that justify their valuation?

what's the point of being vertically integrated if they're just going to rent out their compute (https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/ai-startup-re...). This signals to me they don't have an internal use for it

without needing to download everything

how does your agent run tests or click around the UI to verify changes if it doesn't have the full code?

re: concerns at a societal level. More people are making software than before. People who have been coding for a long time have moved up an abstraction layer and are further from the code. But many people are actually closer to the code than before.

The number of people now involved in software development has now increased because of a lower barrier to entry. I know many people who would previously use a no-code tool or hire offshore devs, or simply not have their problem solved, who are now vibe coding. Many of these people couldn't write very much code manually if they had to, but they're closer to understanding software than they were previously.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sweden_Democrats rightward shift

If the value of MSFT tanked after he was no longer managing it, people would have said he didn't do a good job setting up effective systems.

they keep moving goal posts. Show me an entrepreneur making 10M AOC says fairly earned it.

It's about efficiency not just corruption. When you call taxi dispatch a human answers and coordinates with other humans. Takes longer and they sometimes drop the ball.

anti-trust

AI should be used for all the bullshit tasks that no one wants to do. There are garbage dumps full of stuff that can be reused and recycled. But it's not high enough ROI to pay someone $25/h to sort trash, so it isn't happening.

not a question just a comment - I read The Lean Startup years ago, still think about it about once a week. I regularly give away copies to people starting companies who I see going down a bad path with no tight feedback loop.

not to be a shill, but isn't it good for the non-profit to own a big piece of a successful company?

It's hard to convince kids why they should learn advanced abstract math, beyond what is necessary to calculate the tip on a restaurant bill. The number of high school students who will use advanced math beyond high school is very small, but those that do will have high impact, which is both in society's interest and their own interest as high earners.

The kids that study and apply themselves, I don't think it's so much that they can see they understand the benefits of linear algebra at the time, it's that their parents and the social network they're a part of sends them signals that this is what they should do to be successful and they're rewarded for doing well in school.

Amazon was founded in 1994

the churn is... a version bump to the same api? If you want to compare you can write some evals.

I see this as a bunch of unsolved game theory problems. USA vs Soviet Union I just see as a battle of competing empires. There have been competing empires for all of history, we haven’t figure out how not to do that yet.

At the smaller scale, I’ve lived in coliving housing most of my adult life. Mostly positive, but problems that make people retreat away from cooperation. Once a week potluck but otherwise people cook their own food. Chronic mess/clutter/dishes/laundry headaches.

Musicians can't do their performance over zoom and the job can't be outsourced to another country.

Recording is increasingly outsourced, unfortunately. There are great orchestras in Eastern Europe.

Jevons paradox. Cheaper tokens does not mean we will spend less.

5% of every knowledge workers salary to go into tokens. 20% if you're a developer.

When you break it down like that it seems reasonable. I'm spending about $5k/mo on tokens, seems more and more normal.

Maybe i’m a cynical capitalist, but I expect everyone to be operating in their own self interest. There are few true saints. Startups are high risk high reward. 9/10 fail. If a VC gets less upside when it works, the successes wouldn’t pay for the failures.

Co-op for consulting actually seems like it could work.