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blaufuchs

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Yeah I should have been clear that I'm disagreeing with Bonesaw and not the author here, whose article I enjoyed. I was just genuinely confused how one could add "500M + 300M + rest of world" and arrive at "significantly <1B", but I haven't been on Xitter in a minute now.

Did I miss something here? Or is Bonesaw just completely trolling?

The true population of the world, Bonesaw said, was significantly less than 1 billion people.

Even if we assume Bonesaw is correct and China has 500M people, India has 300M people in the cities and 0 rural population... that's only 200M left to reach 1B between all of the Americas/Europe/Africa and the rest of Asia.

Will it lighten maintainer load?

Yes that is the stated purpose, did you read the linked GitHub comment? The author lays out their points pretty well, you sound unreasonably upset about this. Are you submitting a lot of AI slop PRs or something?

P.S Talking. Like. This. Is. Really. Ineffective. It. Makes. Me. Just. Want. To. Disregard. Your. Point. Out. Of. Hand.

I know, I didn't realize he was alive in the 90s! Hearing him (sarcastically) say "now having 10 parameters isn't unusual, correct?" makes me wish he could've seen the 60B-parameter curve fitting we're doing nowadays.

TFA does say this too, right after the Hamming lecture.

"So instead of considering n-balls to be spiky, it’s the space around them that outgrows them."

This one really kills me during Fogust in the Bay Area. I wake up and see the sun is gonna break through at ~1pm, oh no actually 2pm, oh no actually 3pm... oh no it's just another completely overcast day. I can understand missing a day or two, but it's bizarre when it happens day after day for weeks on end. You'd think the priors would get updated at some point.

This is pretty damning. They clearly went out of their way to withhold the dragging until the dam burst and they admitted to the pullover maneuver in their blogpost [1]. There's no doubt that admitting it up front would have hurt, but this has got to be another case where the cover-up was worse than the crime. I can't say I'm surprised though, as an observer in the AV space it seemed pretty clear that Cruise was moving too fast for their own good. They must've been under intense investor pressure, which is why they tried to sweep it under the rug in the first place.

It does make you wonder about their internal rationalizations though, after all few people think they're the baddie. Probably something like "We're so close, and this was an extremely long-tail incident initiated by human driver. The public/DMV wouldn't judge us fairly, and we'll handle this edge case in an update."

Things were already looking dire when they canceled the stock buyback program mid-event (leaving people with tax-liabilities for what are probably now worthless RSUs [2]). Monday will be interesting, I expect that this the end of Cruise as we know it.

[1] https://getcruise.com/news/blog/2023/a-detailed-review-of-th... [2] https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/16/cruise-suspends-employee-s...

How would this computer fare against the top 10 best players collaborating(or even top 90-100)?

Against the AlphaGo of 2015? They might win, but probably not (I think you're overestimating how much collaboration would help). Against today's AlphaGo/KataGo/FineArt/etc there's literally zero chance, even with a two stone handicap. Same goes for 100 GMs playing collaborative chess against Stockfish.

(that said, I agree calling this the singularity is overkill)