Might depend on the terms you have in mind, but current consensus seems to be more like 4-5 years as we speak on https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-me...
HN user
antoinexp
"Not for cars, but for everything else." While I agree with you there are some usages where it does make sense and shouldn't be neglected, it is also worth noticing that the current consensus on Metaculus is an estimate of 6% market shares for those usages in 2030: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/552/fcevs-vs-bevs-what-p...
[Edit] consensus established in February 2020
As a side comment however, Roger Penrose has this argument about some kind of quantum effects from microtubules in cells https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Penrose#Consciousness (but to go as far as to say that this might be the reason in the end why consciousness is not a computation is still a whole debate however, and his theory is far from making a consensus I am afraid)
Mines: https://viewer.legacysurvey.org/?ra=167.2301&dec=26.6135&lay... I may be completely wrong, but it looks like these two galaxies are on the verge of merging together.
Indeed, and they have this tool https://github.com/cdr/code-server which is pretty much like vscode in a web browser launched through a potential remote server. Is Theia any better?