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alopha

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SpaceX S-1 2 months ago

Starlink is a cash machine because the costs are externalised to the rest of the company, all in it's a money pit.

[dead] 5 months ago

I still don't understand this idea. A different interface every time would be the highest cognitive load imaginable.

[dead] 5 months ago

I've spent my career designing and building systems to help humans understand data and control computers. While I find this hard to swallow it's also hard to argue with. Tens of thousands of engineers and designers rebuilding slightly different drop-downs is an inefficient world that is unarguably coming to an end.

As so much of the first-line decision-making moves to LLMs there's definitely going to be opportunities for much richer and complex output from LLMs - how we can create terse and expressive visual summarisations/interfaces for where humans need to make decisions. But it's a much smaller world.

Where I suspect the wheels are going to come off for some though is that it's far, far easier to create a complex, difficult to understand UI than a simple one. And if simplicity and clarity are what enables effective LLM utilisation attempting to skip all that bothersome UX work will go poorly.

Trump was threatening Netflix for having a democrat on the board last week. They seized 10% of Intel. They forced Nvidia to tithe 25% of China revenue into a slush fund. The FCC has been used to censor comedy. The ship has sailed and the only consequence has been hand-wringing.

And just stop buying those cigarettes. This is where cultural differences matter, the US has much less concern about the negative societal impact of products than many countries, particularly its erstwhile allies. It's also precisely why it's imperative other countries decouple from US owned social media unless they want to import US values.

37Signals tried that with once.com . Given they're now giving those away for free and haven't said a thing about it suggests it was an abject failure. What you're paying for with SaaS is outsourcing - deployment, maintenance, security, reliability etc are someone else's problem.

The code is the easy part but there's ongoing humans needed to make it work. If Agents get to the point they can genuinely autonomously SRE & patch a service everything changes but that still seems a long way off.