JohnPrine

Seems like this article had a large impact on your understanding of the housing system. Could you post it so that others can read it too?

oil is a commodity, and yet the oil industry is massive and has multiple major players

not sure what this sort of naval gazing accomplishes. software companies are designing their products around user preferences. you or anyone else are welcome to create the kind of software you think we "should" have, but if it doesn't line up with the revealed preferences of the users then I'm not sure what the point is

giving a single counter example does not mean "most of the world" is not true here

do you really think that if I said "he is american" that 96% of the world isn't going to think I mean the USA?

Thanks for the insight. Very cool to get your perspective on this

Agreed, blind people and sighted people are able to experience different kinds of beauty that are inaccessible to each other. As a sighted person, if there was a technology that could describe the beauty that a blind person experiences in a given moment I would think that would be pretty cool to try.

Please, don't hype accessibility just for your personal fun. There are people out there with real problems, and dangling impossible solutions before their "eyes" is pretty much cruel

Do you think it's going to be impossible forever? bandwidth and latency seem like the surest things to improve in AI tech

The thesis is simple: these programs are smart now, but unreliable when executing complex, multi-step tasks. If that improves (whether because the models get so smart that they never make a mistake in the first place, or because they get good enough at checking their work and correcting it), we can give them control over a computer and run them in a loop in order to function as drop-in remote workers.

The economic growth would then come from every business having access to a limitless supply of tireless, cheap, highly intelligent knowledge workers

I don't think this is true

lol you got me

I'm starting to think there's no difference between this website and reddit

there are ways to support yourself without supporting a corporation

you'd rather everyone die than to see experience requirements for certain jobs go up?

if y'all think that being in the dark about market wages is going to result in employers offering higher salaries then I don't know what to tell you

it wouldn't surprise me if what we think of as intelligence is nothing more than brute force attempts at prediction with educated guesses

Are you saying that companies lose the ability to secure financing once they go public?

Thanks for the comments, that was really enlightening. Not sure why people on a tech forum seem so eager to dismiss an emerging technology rather than using their imaginations a little

But second, it's easy to say, 'it's probably fine' from the outside, when your neck and your future isn't at risk.

Yeah this was basically going to be my response to the first part of your response. Israel wants to be around for hundreds, maybe thousands of years. You can't accept existential risk, even if small, if that's your goal.

And too much force could provoke them. It's not that simple.

I agree. My comment was just trying to look at the question of why the initial invasion by Hamas was seen as an existential threat great enough to justify an all out counterattack. I don't know how to answer when enough is enough, and I could easily believe that Israel isn't even considering that question out of rage.

The damage to Israel's international reputation could outweigh any security it gains through deterrence - the fact that Hamas hasn't freed their hostages or stopped firing rockets suggests that they don't want Israel to stop fighting for this reason

Israel is surrounded by nations which want to see Israel destroyed, and which have banded together in the past to attempt exactly that (e.g. the Yom Kippur War in 1973). If Israel fails to retaliate against aggression forcefully enough it could embolden the surrounding nations enough to form a new coalition and attack.

Could you give a clear mechanistic model of how the US would handle such a danger?

He means the article is saying they will need $3 million in today's dollars to retire

I lean libertarian but I'm very much in favor of AI regulation

It takes energy to produce food and various goods

OpenAI is clear about the fact that ChatGPT can hallucinate, where have they ever said otherwise?

if they can make me feel like I'm having a face to face conversation with someone who lives hours away then that would be fundamentally different

Can you explain your understanding of the orthogonality thesis? I don't think the ability of intelligent agents to plan conflicts with it

Why are you bothered by a simple line of follow up questions about a belief you expressed publicly?

I'm not trying to bother you. I'm genuinely curious about what makes people oppose AI safety research.

What makes you sure it's not going to be a problem?

You seem to agree that if at some point in the next few decades AI will be something we need to worry about, so I'm trying to figure out exactly what it is you oppose.

Would you have opposed research into renewable energy in the 1970s since global warming was still a few decades away from being something we needed to worry about?

Interesting. In your opinion, how should we decide when we're close enough that we're talking about something concrete?