6 years of CS2 skin market data, indexed S&P-style (open methodology)

by Jorgincs • 3 months ago

3 2 3 months ago

Jorgincs• 3 months ago

Author here. Some context for anyone clicking.

Pulled 6 years of steam market data and built 5 tiers from blue chip down to broad market, plus one for containers/cases. The cases one was the surprise, +792% in 6 years. Drop removal creates a supply shock that has no real equity analog (steam permanently retires old containers from drops). Broad market index is +58%. Also got a 0.77 correlation with monthly cs2 player count which i wasnt expecting to be that high.

Methodology fully open at /en/methodology, no signup, no ads, nothing to buy.

Mostly looking for feedback on whether monthly rebalance is too aggressive given how thin some constituents get, the eligibility filters (price floor $5, min 50 listings, ≥12mo history), or anything obvious im missing.

Solo project.

sgarman• 3 months ago

How useful is pre 2025 data after Valve made such large changes to how skins work? https://www.reddit.com/r/pcgaming/comments/1oe5x07/counter_s...

Did you have to account for this or not really?

6 years of CS2 skin market data, indexed S&P-style (open methodology)

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