Palestinian public opinion poll Oct 2025

https://www.pcpsr.org/en/node/1000

by tguvot • 9 months ago

4 13 9 months ago

tguvot5• 9 months ago

From poll summary:

Palestinian opinion is polarized: the Trump Plan is widely known but support is split, with Gazans more favorable than West Bankers. Majorities back Hamas’s response yet reject disarming Hamas; most doubt the plan will end the war or deliver statehood. A leadership crisis endures—dissatisfaction with Abbas and the PA, Marwan Barghouti leading, and Hamas outpolling Fatah. Since Oct 7, support for the attack persists even as expectations of Hamas victory wane. Gazans are more open to negotiated arrangements;` West Bankers favor armed struggle. Across both, skepticism of external plans coexists with demands for elections and self-defense.

JumpCrisscross4• 9 months ago

“For the sixth time since October 7, 2023, we asked respondents from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip what they thought of Hamas' decision to launch the October 7 attack, whether it was correct or incorrect: 53% compared to 50%, in May 2025, and 54% in September 2024, and 67% in June 2024, and 71% in March 2024, said it was the right decision. The increase in this poll came from the Gaza Strip, where it stands today at 44%, an increase of 7 percentage points, and 59% in the West Bank, compared to an identical percentage in May 2025.”

…wow. I never thought the Israeli claims that Gaza would go right back to terrorism if given the chance held water, yet there it is.

Is this a reliable pollster?

tguvot5• 9 months ago

they exist for 30 years or so https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palestinian_Center_for_Policy_...

and i think numbers that you quote are also indicative of Israeli claim that recognizing Palestinian state will reaffirm that approach that hamas took is correct in eyes of palestinians

JumpCrisscross4• 9 months ago

recognizing Palestinian state will reaffirm that approach that hamas took is correct in eyes of palestinians

The only reason this is relevant, beyond baseless moral outrage, is from a threat of terrorist contagion. Given the cost of the Gaza war to Palestinians, I’m not seeing too many other groups being that stupid.

What matters is what happens in the future. If an independent Gaza just reärms and attacks Israel again, that’s not a good way to organise that area. I’m still unconvinced there isn’t a polling error in this measure, because more than half of Gaza’s essentially endorsing what has happened to them seems a little bit off to me.

gus_massa2• 9 months ago

Perhaps I'm paranoiac, but in that situation I would assume that the poll is run by a cover Hamas member and they will be very unhappy if I give the wrong answer. (Or my answer may be leaked later, or something.) That's way it's important to ensure votes are secret.

tguvot5• 9 months ago

underground network of hamas agents that perform polls since 1993 in west bank ?

SilverElfin• 9 months ago

The results are not surprising but I bet readers would be even more surprised by polls in other countries. In Saudi Arabia, some polls show over 90% supported Oct 7 and deny that it involved murder or rape. Other Islamic nations have similar results. This poll from Gaza and West Bank is surprisingly mild by comparison.

Palestinian public opinion poll Oct 2025

Related Stories