For Ukraine's defence industry goals against Russia, the sky's the limit

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/12/for-ukraines-defence-industry-ambitions-the-skys-the-limit

by eatonphil • 2 years ago

1 4 2 years ago

The disinformation landscape of this conflict is insane. This article paints a decidedly optimistic picture, however I fear the reality is far more bleak.

Unreliable casualty numbers aside, Russia simply has way more men, and can eventually attrite Ukraine into a demographic death spiral. Indeed, with the exodus of ~20% of its population since the start of the war, this demographic trajectory may now be inexorable. Eastern Ukraine, where much of the most fertile land is, and where most of the fighting has occurred, is now likely littered with bomb parts and unexploded ordinances, and the prospect of the jackals of the American arms industry turning it into a live weapons laboratory is particularly grim.

khokhol2• 2 years ago

Russia simply has way more men, and can eventually attrite Ukraine into a demographic death spiral.

Not so, because to fully subjugate another country (that is strongly determined to defend itself) a mere 3x population differential, as Russia has over Ukraine, is not sufficient. Really you need more like 10x. This is one of the main reasons why nearly all the European colonial efforts, and American efforts in Vietnam and Afghanistan ultimately failed.

And why Israel knows it will never be able to subjugate the population of Gaza for any length of time.

The jackals of the American arms industry turning it into a live weapons laboratory is particularly grim.

Basically another version of the "Dontcha know, it's really the West's fault that we have this conflict in the first place; poor misunderstood Russia was simply forced to defend itself, you see" line.

armitron• 2 years ago

It's supremely naive to think that Russia wants to fully subjugate Ukraine and instead of allowing one to observe clearly how this war is unfolding, such thinking creates a false reality that is ripe for exploitation and susceptible to propaganda.

The Russians will simply grab and keep the oblasts with large ethnic Russian populations and ensure that the rest of Ukraine remains a broken state. They've already captured 20% of Ukraine and if this war continues, this will certainly increase, but will not reach even 50%. One would be stupid to think that Putin is interested in another Afghanistan.

For Ukraine's defence industry goals against Russia, the sky's the limit

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