Resilience in Complex Systems (2021)

https://irhum.github.io/blog/resilientsystems/

by grobby • 3 years ago

103 5 3 years ago

irhum.github.io

grobby2• 3 years ago

I found the part "Humans in Complex Systems" quite interesting. My understanding of it is that technology could fall short of being an adequate solution to a more systemic problem wrt climate change. In addition to that work, I've been digging around the perspective of system dynamics [1] on the issues the global civilization is facing [2].

I feel the crowd here is more biased toward a solutionist view on those issues - I might be very wrong. Anyway, I was curious about different perspectives on this topics.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_dynamics

[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPb_0JZ6-Rc

mjb• 3 years ago

That was a good read. However, it seems like the section on geo engineering does exactly what the rest tries to warn against: predicting behavior using simplified first order models.

I'm biased towards believing the conclusion the author draws, but the reasoning here is suspect.

grobby2• 3 years ago

My understanding on the section on geoengineering is that it's merely pointing out that the underlying dynamic of the whole system wouldn't change with a new technology. The dynamic in question is that humans are applying too much pressure on their environment, the CO2 emissions are only a symptom.

In the fox-rabbit analogy, the fox (humans) find a way to eat rabbits that increases the delta parameter but the equations themselves don't change.

svnt• 3 years ago

It seems like a good example of recently learning a principle. Enough time and effort passed that they gained a working understanding of a noteworthy aspect but have yet to integrate it.

Their presentation is on complex systems, but the author’s thought process still develops linearly and rationally.

From what I can see they identified the problem and a solution, underdeveloped the solution, and presented the result anyway.

aerialfrog• 3 years ago

Emergence happens as multiple feedback loops interplay with each other.

Resilience in Complex Systems (2021)

Related Stories