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I think strong general AI is coming soon

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K4urTDkBbtNuLivJx/why-i-think-strong-general-ai-is-coming-soon

by cowtools • 4 years ago

7 3 4 years ago

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3

cjg• 4 years ago

https://archive.ph/kjOTw

Planktonne• 4 years ago

This isn't meaningful or insightful; it's a mess of extrapolation [1] and rose-tinted assumptions from someone who really, really wants to believe. It's exactly the same mindset that sees Jesus in a piece of toast, just with a different aesthetic.

[1] https://xkcd.com/605/

mark_l_watson• 4 years ago

I think it is very difficult to predict when breakthroughs will happen.

I have been an AI practitioner since GOFAI in the 1980s to using deep learning in the last eight years. I think we will continually be amazed by the power of language models like GPT-3 and text to image models like DALLE, but that isn’t AGI.

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