Japan Solves Coronavirus Crisis with Magical Math

http://www.japansubculture.com/japan-solves-coronavirus-crisis-with-magical-math/

by bamboozled • 5 years ago

22 3 5 years ago

pmyjavec• 5 years ago

Living in Japan right now...it's sure been a very bizarre time watching cases in Tokyo go from ~ 1000 in Tokyo down to 300 in about a week with no apparent explanation!

vladTheInhaler• 5 years ago

Wow, that story was so much more depressing than the title let on. I was hoping for some sort of work on allocating resources for contact tracing or something.

delhanty• 5 years ago

Also, the delta variant (B.1.167) is just on the verge of breaking out in Japan:

2021-06-07 B.1.617系統の変異株（デルタ株等） n=87 (+34)
2021-05-31 B.1.617系統の変異株（デルタ株等） n=53 (+24)
2021-05-24 B.1.617 インドで最初に検出された変異株 n=29 (+21)

https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/seisakunitsuite/newpage_00054.htm...

From the latest PDF linked there.

Hiroshima prefecture has gone from 1 case to 7 cases in 1 week.

Kanagawa prefecture has gone from 3 cases to 8 cases in 1 week.

We can suspect from experience in other countries (India, Malaysia, the UK, Vietnam, Taiwan, ...) that delta will out-compete other variants.

So if we wish to guess what COVID-19 cases in Japan will look like 3 months out (post-Olympics) it's best to focus on the rise in the delta variant.

Japan Solves Coronavirus Crisis with Magical Math

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