Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12440957

by data37 • 10 years ago

13 22 10 years ago

news.ycombinator.com

Which Ones?

Davidbrcz• 10 years ago

Linux

saretired• 10 years ago

TeX/LaTeX

twunde• 10 years ago

Containers (not Docker per se but descendants of it and competitors). Driverless vehicles

victorhugo31337• 10 years ago

TCP/IP/Ethernet

niftich• 10 years ago

UEFI

NaCl crypto / libsodium

HTTP/2+ over QUIC over UDP

wasm

flukus• 10 years ago

GNU tools. I expect them to be relevant longer than I am.

chadcmulligan• 10 years ago

C compilers

collyw• 10 years ago

Fucking Facebook probably.

thellimist• 10 years ago

https://www.commitstrip.com/en/2016/06/28/best-cms-2016/

ThePawnBreak2• 10 years ago

vim, emacs, linux, chrome, jvm, windows, directx, visual studio, javascript, C++, google, facebook, aws, gcc, llvm, photoshop.

p333347• 10 years ago

The only ones I am willing to wager on are corporate infrastructure related software and domain specific software (like CAD tools, movie animation tools etc). For similar legacy reasons, I am willing to add Linux derivatives and GNU C compiler, but won't wager on them.

acagle• 10 years ago

Thanks to Minecraft, I expect a whole new batch of Java developers over the next several years.

mod• 10 years ago

Didn't it get ported after MS bought it?

LarryMade2• 10 years ago

Quickbooks on a Windows 7 machine

jbms• 10 years ago

Matlab/Simulink. Brilliant tool, and lots of brainpower and money being invested in continuously developing it.

samfisher83• 10 years ago

Excel. Going on 30 year strong.

veddox• 10 years ago

Looking at what's already been around for >10 years:

vim, emacs, linux, windows, mac os x, nethack (plus a whole stack of programming languages like C).

ThePawnBreak2• 10 years ago

That's an excellent observation. Probably a better question would be what software younger than 10 years will still be around in 10 years. I'm thinking Go, Rust, Servo, DeepMind, Uber, Slack, Android, iOS (not sure about the age of the last 2), all the cloud providers' software, and a lot of other stuff. Probably docker as well.

billconan• 10 years ago

photoshop, autocad

AnimalMuppet• 10 years ago

In addition to what others have said: Lisp and Haskell will still be around and relevant. (Relevant being defined as "as relevant as they are today or better", not as "large fractions of new software being written in them".)

Hate to say it, but I'd bet that Windows in some form will still be around, with an API that is recognizably similar to today's.

Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

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