The Singularity May Never Be Near

by cynthiar • 10 years ago

15 2 10 years ago

vmorgulis• 10 years ago

The Singularity maybe not but a new economic mutation with robots like globalization in the 80s.

lefnire• 10 years ago

Seems like a verbiage quibble; like the whole argument boils down to his original difference of exponential vs true mathematical singularity. He recognizes that we'll see superhuman intelligence (AGI), which will very likely grow and grow; but that said growth may be slow, and even cap. IMO having a growing AGI is the real point, exponential/singularity is a side conversation.

Human intelligence grows slowly (as he pointed out); but our technology grows rapidly, as it builds on previous generations. Few computer programmers can build a computer from scratch (circuits to disks), but their contributions continue to explode the information age. So even if an AGI grows slowly, it's contributions will stack (and possibly exponentially) to _major_ effect.

The Singularity May Never Be Near

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